Germany needs an energy Marshall Plan
Consumers are now having to endure the excruciating economic pain of the country’s intensifying energy crisis – brought on by decades of botched green energy policy and heavy reliance on Russian gas.
Gas bills have already multiplied
According to Blackout News here, 21 million German households heat with natural gas and are now “threatened with exorbitantly high additional payments for their gas, already most bills have multiplied.”
German households having to pay hundreds of euros monthly for gas are the new nightmarish reality. Many are facing poverty for the first time.
“In recent days and weeks, some households have received notices for new installment payments that amount to seven to eight times the previous price. From October, they will now be fleeced by the state with its botched gas levy,” Blackout News reports further.
And there’s no relief in sight. Russia has made clear it will no longer deliver gas to Europe until the West lifts its sanctions against Moscow. The euro has since fallen below 99 cents for the first time in 20 years. A weaker euro adds further to the risks of even higher inflation, which is currently pummeling Europe.
Not only consumers are being severely impacted, but so are companies across Germany.
“As of September 2022, as many as 16% of them have completely shut down or drastically reduced production because they cannot pass on the gas prices to their customers, including the steel giant ArcelorMittal, which is shutting down production completely at two German plants,” reports Blackout News.
German needs an energy Marshall Plan
Germans have been spoiled by cheap, plentiful gas flowing from Russia for many years. But these carefree energy days are over as the country continues to shut down coal and nuclear power plants, thus contributing massively to the already acute energy shortage. The country’s dogmatic lunge to green energies included relying heavily on gas from Russia to fill in the energy supply gaps caused by volatile wind and sun.
Now the green energies scheme is disintegrating. Germany needs an energy Marshall Plan.
Plenty of warnings…”screwed up energy policy”
They were warned. At a UN General Assembly in 2018, then President Donald Trump warned Germany of a potential supply disaster from relying so heavily on Russia, but German leaders in attendance smirked, berated and ridiculed the US President.
German leaders smirking in response to Trump’s warning of relying heavily on Russian gas. Image cropped here.
Moreover, a vast array of skeptics and critics also had warned for years that Germany’s “Energiewende” was heading for disaster. They too were ridiculed and dismissed.
The disaster has arrived, as Trump warned, and my how the bill is coming due. Blackout News reports: “Consumers with the smallest CO₂ footprint are now paying the most for past mistakes – at least relative to their incomes. […] These people are now paying relatively the most for the screwed-up energy policy.”
Political gross negligence
Blackout News summarizes: “This redistribution is grossly lacking in solidarity. […] The burden could not be distributed any more unfairly.”
We’re talking tens of millions of Germans – and Europeans. If history is anything to go by, there’s a high risk of things getting really ugly this winter if leaders don’t get pragmatic and get their act together real soon.
These people should all be in prison. For the rest of their lives. With only solar panels to keep them warm during the winter.
In Siberia, Russia. Way up above the Article Circle.
You really don’t get it PG:
The current state of affairs isn’t a “mistake”… it was the plan all along, albeit the schedule was greatly accelerated by engineering a war in Ukraine…
What Germans are experiencing is the PERMANENT New Normal… this is the face of the Great Reset/ Green New Deal that the Green eco-fascists have been peddling for decades in one form or another. The German voters bought into this dystopia and remain adamant in their suicidal stupidity.
The West will shrivel and crumble while the BRICS led by Russia- China will inherit the earth.
Posa. Please reread.
1 – Pierre isn’t saying it was a “mistake.” He is only quoting “Blackout news.”
2 – Also, the “mistake” isn’t attributed to any one in particular. Certainly you are correct that this was the plan all along, but not everyone was in on the scam. So those not privy to the plan can be said to have been mistaken. And what a whopper!
Take a look at the German vote counts.
The German voters most certainly DID NOT vote for the Green idiocy.
The WEF is leading the Green tail wagging the German dog. The Green tail which only garnered 14-16 percent of the vote.
Jeff:
The only party in the last German election that was not on-board for a Green Agenda was the AfD… which scored a whopping 11% of the vote…
The other 89% of the vote was an endorsement of Engeriewende and Green eco-fascism.
Of course it’s a plan, but a plan that’s fundamentally flawed. The Socialists and Greens really believed in their plan.
Yes Philip… but the energy shortages facing the EU is not a “mistake”, ie an honestly incompetent assessment. Energy poverty, along with depopulation and Climate Lockdowns is the permanent policy, and has been all along. How many times have we been told that modern living standards are “not sustainable”?
If that’s true, then Freeze in the Dark is what you’re left with. It’s no accident or mistake.
Trump warned, as you say.
Then set about creating the very conditions to ensure such an outcome. I understand this “reliance” on Russian gas was sailing smoothly for many decades before Trump and his propensity to sanction all and sundry.
With Nord Stream 2 sitting waiting, but for Trumps stupidity, gas supply would not be an issue.
As for the Ukraine excuse, it’s not hard to see who the trouble makers have been in that regard, for many years now.
There are a number of chickens now on their way home to roost.
Ah, it’s all Trump’s fault. Of course. Why didn’t I realise that?
Dunno Jeremy, why you didn’t realize that. Maybe you haven’t been paying attention.
I suppose it’s also Trump’s fault that Germany decommissioned its nuke plants and squandered mega-billons on useless wind and solar? If Germany/Europe makes stupid decisions, is Trump obligated to enable their stupidity at America’s expense? I don’t think so. And Merkal didn’t have to go along with the sanctions, either. But she did, so it’s on her shoulders, not Trump’s.
That said, I am not saying Trump is infallible. But what I see as his errors aren’t the subject here.
It is unfortunate that Putin interfered in the energy transition.
Focus now is on the cost and availability of natural gas.
The issue ought to be on the failure of wind and solar facilities
to supply electrons day and night all year long.
When people realize unreliable facilities are the problem, not the solution,
progress can begin to fix the system.
Some people think there is a thing called “The Climate” to be considered.
There isn’t.
“It is unfortunate that Putin interfered in the energy transition.”
No. It’s unfortunate that the Anglo-Americans engineered a crisis in Ukraine and the EU Poodles went along with aggressive actions. The EU initiated Economic Warfare against Russia in 2013, and doubled down this year.
Ok. So warfare is a two way street. Is Russia supposed to roll over and play dead?
THE problem was/is the MSM’s outright lies, provided by the CIA and NSA, and continuous propaganda/Russiaphobia and Germany being the US lapdog, like Boris, which caused the Russian Sanctions – as well as, the Green New Delusion economic and energy suicide coupled with the insane Lockdowns and mass murdering vaccines. Blaming not becoming independent of Russian gas is like blaming not being controlled by low costs which make your products cheaper to buy which makes both industry and the population wealthier! Instead, your dictators want to make the US richer by buying their LNG, which it does not have enough of even if the facilities were in place
Boris was no US lapdog, in fact UK-US relations were distinctly frosty while he was PM. After the invasion of the Ukraine, the US was doing nothing for Ukraine. But they had Turkish drones and the UK (and others) gave them NLAW anti-tank weapons, together they were enough to stop the fascist drive on Kiev. It was only after that the US got substantially involved. And UK-US relations remain frosty, and will probably get worse opver the next two years.
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The Germans lost now three times in a row, WW1 thanks to der Kaiser, WW2 thanks to Herr H. and WW3, the energy war, thanks to Ursula von der Leijen.
What is it with these German leaders?
The german lost also under Merkel during the migration crisis in 2015 and the shutdown Plan for NPPs after Fukushima. Merkel also started the Energiewende Nonsens being finished now by the Greens ind the government.
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Twenty years ago we published:
2. “The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil
fuels.”
I would not change a word.
The Climate and Green Energy scam was never about the climate – it was always about destroying the economy to bring about the Brave New World of Global Fascism – “You will own nothing and you’ll be happy”. -WEF
For the record, we published in 2002:
1. “Climate science does not support the theory of catastrophic human-made global warming – the alleged warming crisis does not exist.”
2. “The ultimate agenda of pro-Kyoto advocates is to eliminate fossil fuels, but this would result in a catastrophic shortfall in global energy supply – the wasteful, inefficient energy solutions proposed by Kyoto advocates simply cannot replace fossil fuels.”
I published on September 1, 2002:
3. “If [as we believe] solar activity is the main driver of surface temperature rather than CO2, we should begin the next cooling period by 2020 to 2030.”
I updated my global cooling prediction in 2013:
3a. “I suggest global cooling starts by 2020 or sooner. Bundle up.”
For the record, I published in 2013:
AN OPEN LETTER TO BARONESS VERMA
British Undersecretary for Energy and Climate Change, 31Oct2013
By Allan MacRae, B.A.Sc.(Eng.), M.Eng.
[excerpt]
So here is my real concern:
IF the Sun does indeed drive temperature, as I suspect, Baroness Verma, then you and your colleagues on both sides of the House may have brewed the perfect storm.
You are claiming that global cooling will NOT happen, AND you have crippled your energy systems with excessive reliance on ineffective grid-connected “green energy” schemes.
I suggest that global cooling probably WILL happen within the next decade or sooner, and Britain will get colder.
I also suggest that the IPCC and the Met Office have NO track record of successful prediction (or “projection”) of global temperature and thus have no scientific credibility.
I suggest that Winter deaths will increase in the UK as cooling progresses.
I suggest that Excess Winter Mortality, the British rate of which is about double the rate in the Scandinavian countries, should provide an estimate of this unfolding tragedy.
See CorrectPredictions.ca for references.
Note to John Hultquist re your question:
No time for a better reply so this will have to suffice.
My history of the 2002/2013 global cooling predictions:
Climate follows the ~90-year Gleissberg cycle, with cooling happening at the end of individual ~11-year solar cycles, especially very-weak SC24. In 2002 I predicted cooling (with Tim Patterson, Carleton U) to start 2020-2030, and in 2013 I modified cooling to start by 2020 or sooner – re-calibrated by the cooling observed at the end of SC23 circa 2008-2013.
Global cooling started either Feb2016 or Feb2020 – I prefer Feb2020 because 2016 was a big El Nino. Temperature extremes are exacerbated by divergences of the Polar Vortex towards the equator. Extreme cold events are being recorded all over the world. See:
https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
https://electroverse.net/category/crop-loss/
OTHER PREDICTIONS OF GLOBAL COOLING, IN CHRONOLOGICAL ORDER SINCE 2003:
In 2003, Dr. Theodor Landscheidt wrote a paper predicting serious global cooling: “… a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected.”
…
In 2005, Piers Corbyn predicted cooling by 2040.
…
Khabibullo Abdusamatov and colleagues at the Russian Academy of Science stated in 2006:
“Global cooling could develop on Earth in 50 years and have serious consequences …”
…
Nigel Weiss, University of Cambridge, stated in 2006:
“If you look back into the sun’s past, you find that we live in a period of abnormally high solar activity. Periods of high solar activity do not last long, perhaps 50 to 100 years, then you get a crash. It’s a boom-bust system, and I would expect a crash soon.”
…
Leif Svalgaard, Stanford University, stated in 2006:
“Sunspot numbers are well on the way down in the next decade. Sunspot numbers will be extremely small, and when the sun crashes, it crashes hard. The upcoming sunspot crash could cause the Earth to cool.”
…
In 2007, Lin Zhen-Shan and Sun Xian wrote in “Multi-scale analysis of global temperature changes and trend of a drop in temperature in the next 20 years”:
“… Signs also show a drop in temperature in China on century scale in the next 20 years.”
_______________
MORE PREDICTIONS OF GLOBAL COOLING:
THE NEW LITTLE ICE AGE HAS STARTED
H. I. Abdussamatov 2016
“The quasi-centennial epoch of the new Little Ice Age has started at the end 2015 after the maximum phase of solar cycle 24.
…
PROFESSOR VALENTINA ZHARKOVA: “WE ENTERED THE ‘MODERN’ GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM ON JUNE 8, 2020”
“Modern Grand Solar Minimum will Lead to Terrestrial Cooling“. Published on August 4, 2020, Zharkova’s latest analysis suggests that June 8, 2020 was the date on which we entered the Modern (Eddy) Grand Solar Minimum.”
The opening paragraph reads:
In this editorial I will demonstrate with newly discovered solar activity proxy-magnetic field that the Sun has entered into the modern Grand Solar Minimum (2020–2053) that will lead to a significant reduction of solar magnetic field and activity like during Maunder minimum leading to noticeable reduction of terrestrial temperature.
…
Dr Zharkova’s co-author Dr Yelena Popova was interviewed about their 2015 paper predicting global cooling, starting circa 2020.
My good friend Willie Soon and co-authors published August 1, 2021:
“In addition, our ML model forecasts a new phase of extended solar minima that began prior to Sunspot Cycle 24 (ca. 2008–2019) and will persist until Sunspot Cycle 27 (ca. 2050 or so).”
DOES MACHINE LEARNING RECONSTRUCT MISSING SUNSPOTS AND FORECAST A NEW SOLAR MINIMUM?
V.M. Velasco Herrera, W. Soon, D.R. Legates, August 1, 2021
[excerpt]
In addition, our ML model forecasts a new phase of extended solar minima that began prior to Sunspot Cycle 24 (ca. 2008–2019) and will persist until Sunspot Cycle 27 (ca. 2050 or so).
Herrera, Soon and Legates in 2021 used a novel analysis and reached a similar conclusion, for cooling from ~2008 to ~2050.
Told you so… 20 years ago.
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For those who have outsourced their cognitive faculties to the state, or those who cower in fear at someone calling them a ‘denier’ or an ‘-ist’ of some sort, I have no sympathy. They may not have explicitly voted for it, but they have consistently re-elected the same gang of thugs who enact such nonsense.
Just be happy, as you shiver in the dark – at least nobody unfriended you on social media.
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Jordan Peterson on Ukraine and the collapse of the West
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=JxdHm2dmvKE
Oebele – It’s Merkel ultimately responsible for Germany’s profound stupidity on energy.
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Note to John Hultquist re your question:
No time for a better reply so this will have to suffice.
My history of the 2002/2013 global cooling predictions:
Climate follows the ~90-year Gleissberg cycle, with cooling happening at the end of individual ~11-year solar cycles, especially very-weak SC24. In 2002 I predicted cooling (with Tim Patterson, Carleton U) to start 2020-2030, and in 2013 I modified cooling to start by 2020 or sooner – re-calibrated by the cooling observed at the end of SC23 circa 2008-2013.
Global cooling started either Feb2016 or Feb2020 – I prefer Feb2020 because 2016 was a big El Nino. Temperature extremes are exacerbated by divergences of the Polar Vortex towards the equator. Extreme cold events are being recorded all over the world. See:
https://electroverse.net/category/extreme-weather/
https://electroverse.net/category/crop-loss/
OTHER PREDICTIONS OF GLOBAL COOLING, IN CHRONOLOGICAL ORDER SINCE 2003:
In 2003, Dr. Theodor Landscheidt wrote a paper predicting serious global cooling: “… a long period of cool climate with its coldest phase around 2030 is to be expected.”
…
In 2005, Piers Corbyn predicted cooling by 2040.
…
Khabibullo Abdusamatov and colleagues at the Russian Academy of Science stated in 2006:
“Global cooling could develop on Earth in 50 years and have serious consequences …”
…
Nigel Weiss, University of Cambridge, stated in 2006:
“If you look back into the sun’s past, you find that we live in a period of abnormally high solar activity. Periods of high solar activity do not last long, perhaps 50 to 100 years, then you get a crash. It’s a boom-bust system, and I would expect a crash soon.”
…
Leif Svalgaard, Stanford University, stated in 2006:
“Sunspot numbers are well on the way down in the next decade. Sunspot numbers will be extremely small, and when the sun crashes, it crashes hard. The upcoming sunspot crash could cause the Earth to cool.”
…
In 2007, Lin Zhen-Shan and Sun Xian wrote in “Multi-scale analysis of global temperature changes and trend of a drop in temperature in the next 20 years”:
“… Signs also show a drop in temperature in China on century scale in the next 20 years.”
_______________
MORE PREDICTIONS OF GLOBAL COOLING:
THE NEW LITTLE ICE AGE HAS STARTED
H. I. Abdussamatov 2016
“The quasi-centennial epoch of the new Little Ice Age has started at the end 2015 after the maximum phase of solar cycle 24.
…
PROFESSOR VALENTINA ZHARKOVA: “WE ENTERED THE ‘MODERN’ GRAND SOLAR MINIMUM ON JUNE 8, 2020”
“Modern Grand Solar Minimum will Lead to Terrestrial Cooling“. Published on August 4, 2020, Zharkova’s latest analysis suggests that June 8, 2020 was the date on which we entered the Modern (Eddy) Grand Solar Minimum.”
The opening paragraph reads:
In this editorial I will demonstrate with newly discovered solar activity proxy-magnetic field that the Sun has entered into the modern Grand Solar Minimum (2020–2053) that will lead to a significant reduction of solar magnetic field and activity like during Maunder minimum leading to noticeable reduction of terrestrial temperature.
…
Dr Zharkova’s co-author Dr Yelena Popova was interviewed about their 2015 paper predicting global cooling, starting circa 2020.
My good friend Willie Soon and co-authors published August 1, 2021:
“In addition, our ML model forecasts a new phase of extended solar minima that began prior to Sunspot Cycle 24 (ca. 2008–2019) and will persist until Sunspot Cycle 27 (ca. 2050 or so).”
DOES MACHINE LEARNING RECONSTRUCT MISSING SUNSPOTS AND FORECAST A NEW SOLAR MINIMUM?
V.M. Velasco Herrera, W. Soon, D.R. Legates, August 1, 2021
[excerpt]
In addition, our ML model forecasts a new phase of extended solar minima that began prior to Sunspot Cycle 24 (ca. 2008–2019) and will persist until Sunspot Cycle 27 (ca. 2050 or so).
Herrera, Soon and Legates in 2021 used a novel analysis and reached a similar conclusion, for cooling from ~2008 to ~2050.
Told you so… 20 years ago.
Engineers should have known. They had to know, that there was no hope that “renewables” would never work.
https://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2022/09/the-green-revolution-is-impossible.php
Where were/are their voices? The silence cannot be because they didn’t know.
Here we go again. Take a look at Tony Heller’s “realclimatescience.com” site for “global-cooling-scare- …. “ He once had hundreds of facsimile news pages on it.
https://realclimatescience.com/2017/08/1970-global-cooling-scare-front-page-news/
From the site:
“The ice age scare was front page news in 1970. Scientists said it was caused by burning fossil fuels, and would cause the Antarctic ice sheet to collapse – drowning coastal cities. [?] They wanted to melt the Arctic and poison Africans to save the planet.”
Front page of the Washington Post, January 11, 1970. Colder Winters Held Dawn Of New Ice Age. “That’s the long range forecast being given out by climatologists”
The actions needed to limit global cooling were unsurprisingly almost all those for global warming. Another small tip that warm or cold this is not about climate.
It is September 7th 2022. Happy Brazilian Independence Day!
The temp is 90 degrees Fahrenheit, not unusual, but warmer than normal for the month of September. Good weather for harvesting crops, ideal.
Two cold fronts entered in early August, normally, in years past, cold fronts were more towards later August and resulted in an early frost, not a freeze.
Not this year, very warm temperatures forecast to the end of September, the tomatoes and late sweet corn benefit.
A late summer warm spell is the only explanation.
A delayed killing frost is what it looks like from here. A Pacific oscillation in the works. Everything changes.
Great harvest of potatoes and sweet corn, a very good year. Record wheat yields are expected.
There are always trials and tribulations. Not always easy to see to eye-to-eye, always do business with them.
No sense in fussing and fighting, accomplishes nothing.
According to Justin Trudeau we are in a climate emergency. No need to worry about cold. It will be very warm this winter . No need for heating fuel.
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“brought on by decades of botched green energy policy” true
“and heavy reliance on Russian gas” FALSE
The fact that one country has a big reliance on another country natural gas is NOT the cause for the current energy “crisis”.
The CAUSE of the current “crisis” is a German product. The Germans OBEYING the United States of Terrorism Orders blocked NSII applied SANCTIONS to Russian goods and services and NATURALLY, Russians just said “Fuck You Morons”.
You’re just receiving what you deserve.
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