Winter To Drag On Across Central Europe, …March 2016 In Germany So Far 1.5°C Cooler Than Normal

According to the German DWD national weather service, March 2016 so far in Germany has been some 1.5°C colder than normal so far, and real spring weather remains out of sight. More on this here.

The forecast temperature anomaly for the next 7 days for all of Europe looks as follows:

Europe March18-25 2016

Source: NCEP, chart cropped here.

As far as Easter is concerned, there’s a lot of disagreement between the weather models. German weather site wetter.de writes:

Let’s put it this way. For the Easter days the European ECMF model and the American GFS strongly disagree with each other. While the European calculates a powerful high for Easter Monday, The GFS sees a low. The temperature differences are correspondingly different as well.”

One thing we can be sure about is that this March for Central Europe will go down as a cool one, and thus further extending the trend of springs arriving later and later.

The following chart shows March temps for Germany over the past 27 years. Once this year gets factored in, we will see an even greater cooling trend.

 March mean temperature for Germany has fallen more than a degree Celsius over the last 27 years. Chart: Josef Kowatsch

 

12 responses to “Winter To Drag On Across Central Europe, …March 2016 In Germany So Far 1.5°C Cooler Than Normal”

  1. Curious George

    The map shows the Soviet Union.

    1. John F. Hultquist

      Now that’s funny.
      We all know the SU is red.

  2. sod

    I am a little slow, so help me out here. When i noted, that January was rather warm with 1.6°C above normal, i was told that this does not matter.

    https://www.dwd.de/DE/presse/pressemitteilungen/DE/2016/20160129_deutschlandwetter_januar_news.html

    Now March being 1.5°C colder than normal somehow is important?

    We had a really warm and sunny day today, and the rest of the month doesn t look like winter either. So i have some doubts about that final March number anyway.

    1. John F. Hultquist

      In January you expected warmer. You got warmer. Thus, no big deal.
      In March you expected warmer. You got cooler. Oops!

      Hope this helps.

      1. sod

        “In January you expected warmer. You got warmer. Thus, no big deal.
        In March you expected warmer. You got cooler. Oops!”

        why would my expectation matter?

        January and february were warmer than normal. March might be a little colder than normal.

        But march is not really a special situation. So what is the point?

        1. David Johnson

          You just don’t get it do you?

      2. AndyG55

        Was talking to Vlad, from northern Russia.

        He and his missus paid out less for HEATING this year, and were able to GREATLY ENJOY the 2 or 3 extra degrees they were BLESSED with in the middle of their winter.

        Still close to freezing, though. Definitely NOT WARM.

  3. John F. Hultquist

    From one of the links:

    … don’t expect the mercury to rise …

    The writer must be my age. Mercury thermometers are few and far between these days. Meteorologists still have them (rumor) but the average person is advised to look elsewhere. In 9th grade science class we got to pour some from a small wooden vial and push it around and put some in our palm. Great fun — none of us died.

    1. yonason
  4. 4TimesAYear

    There’s a balance. Alarmists are too blind to see it. When we get milder weather, they get colder some place else. A couple years ago when Russia was getting their mild winter, we were getting polar vortexes and record breaking cold temperatures. https://www.wmo.int/pages/mediacentre/news_members/documents/winter_2014_Russia.pdf

    1. sod

      “There’s a balance. Alarmists are too blind to see it. When we get milder weather, they get colder some place else.”

      That is simply not true.

      February 2016 was unusually warm. That is a fact, and we know it, because we measure temperatures at different places and then fill a grid with the numbers.

      A few places were a little colder than normal, but the vast majority was much warmer.

      This does not balance out at all.

      And if you do not accept the thermometer data, the satellites are telling the same story:

      http://www.drroyspencer.com/2016/03/uah-v6-global-temperature-update-for-feb-2016-0-83-deg-c-new-record/

      No balance at all. Much warmer than normal. Fact.

  5. Der Osterhase bringt den Frühling – Die Großwetterlage stellt sich um! Die globalen Temperaturen gehen zurück! – wobleibtdieglobaleerwaermung