New NoTricksZone Site!

Well, here it is!

This is where I’ll be posting from now on. I started blogging on the 1st of April this year, thinking I’d maybe get a few dozen visitors per day. But these expectations have been far surpassed. Since April 1st I’ve gotten over 96,000 visitors on the old site, averaging almost 1000 over the last few weeks. And almost 10,000 have visited the lists of climate gates I’ve posted, making it the most popular page. It’s good to see others are finding it useful.

Of course this is small fry when compared to the other big climate blogs, but to me it represents a good start. This is why I thought now is the time to make the move to a new upgraded WordPress site, which will offer more features and better service for readers.

There are still some minor details that need to taken care of on the new, site, but this will be done over the next days. The main thing is that I can do what I like to do – write more posts!

A White Washer

Taking it easy today. Thought this was kind of funny. I’m surprised the thing ran as long as it did. See man throw brick in the machine when on high-spin.

[youtube=http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=16AFYmZxIGw&hl=de_DE&fs=1]

Arctic Sea Ice Level Projections Adjusted Upwards

The July Arctic sea ice outlook for September is out. Click here.

Here’s a graphic of the prediction made by 16 different institutes this month, now that they are all 30 days wiser.

Now compare this to the projections made 30 days ago, late June.

Then again, some are incapable of learning anything. Anyway, at least five now concede that we may not even reach last year’s low. Strangely, after July’s slow melt, some have grown even more pessimistic.

Then again, optimism has never been a trait one finds in climate “science”. Who do you think will grab the headlines?

Duisburg Love Parade Disaster: Sceptics’ Warnings Were Dismissed

19 dead and up to 400 injured, many seriously.These are the latest gruesome numbers from yesterday’s Duisburg Love Parade, crowd-control disaster. It’s a classic case of what can go wrong when warnings are ignored or played down. City officials were warned that the location was seriously inadequate, but nobody wanted to be a party-pooper.

Germany’s techno-music Love Parade first started in 1989. Most have been held in Berlin, until the city got tired of the chaos and filth they left behind, and the event had lost money anyway.

Yet, everybody hates to see a good party end, and so other places were sought to host the million-plus visitor event. This year’s choice proved to be a disaster.

The catastrophe occurred at a tunnel under a street that served as the main entrance to the event. The following video vividly shows the catastrophe in motion. Especially interesting is the 0:31 mark of the clip. there you see the fully packed ramp leading down to the tunnel.

LOVE PARADE DISASTER VIDEO

Just the shear physics of the situation alone are staggering.

If you estimate 100,000 people on that sloped ramp, each with an average weight of 70 kg, you have a total weight of 7000 tons trying to move forward. If the ramp has a slope of 3°, then sine 3° times 7000 tones yields a gravity force vector of 366 tons pressing down against the wall. Not a good place to be. Granted that’s just a real rough calculation, but it gives you an idea.

A sure sign that the old rail yard location, where the event took place, was not going to work was its relatively small size. It had an area of 2.2 million square feet, meaning that the place was going to be overly packed with just half a million people. Organisers expected 1 million, 1.4 million showed up. 1.5 sq ft per person. Experts say the area was suitable for a maximum of only 300,000.

Throw in youth, alcohol and drugs and you have all the ingredients for a crowd control disaster.

The police had warned city officials that the risks were too high and had advised against approving the event. But reports say no top city official wanted to be the party-pooper. The Love Parade got the green light.

Now, after the catastrophe, with the nation and continent in shock, officials are scrambling and the finger-pointing has begun. According to German newspaper Bild:

Duisburg mayor Adolf Sauerland defended the safety concept of the Love Parade against criticism.

In his view the reasons for the tragedy were not due to a poor safety concept, but rather very likely had more to do with individual weak points.

Tell that to the prosecuting attorneys Herr Burgermeister.

The State’s Attorney has announced that an investigation for negligent homicide will be conducted, and all city and official documents relating to permitting and organisation of the event have been confiscated by police.

The Love Parade organisation has announced today that there will not be any more Love Parades in the future.

UPDATE – USEFUL LINKS:
http://www.thelocal.de/national/20100726-28737.html
http://www.spiegel.de/international/germany/0,1518,708462,00.html

Wanted: Readers As Guest Writers!

Help the sceptic troops!

Readers often provide good leads and write interesting comments. I’m sure some out there have interesting things to write.

If you’re a reader at this blog and would like to post something here as a guest writer, then please send it in to me by e-mail. If it’s interesting enough I’ll post it here, with you as the guest writer. If English is not your mother language, but can write it to some comprehensive degree, send it in and I’ll clean it up for you.

I’m particlularly interested in climate/weather stories from other countries. Stories that have to do with green energy policies are welcome too.

Some guidelines:
1. The stories should be kept to less than 500 words.
2. Stories should be original, and not repeat something posted at another climate blog.
3. It has to be referenced – provide links to the sources.
4. Be careful with photos! Use only photos that are permitted to be used,  i.e. press release photos, Wiki, or your own.
5. You’ll have to provide your full name as an author.
6. Don’t take it personally if I decide not to post it. A number of my own drafts never see the light of day.

So who’s going to be the first guest writer here?
Hope to hear from you!

Climatic Indicators – New Feature At This Website

Check in every day to see what the planet is doing.

I’ve permanently added a list of links which I call Climatic Indicators,  just under “Categories”, to the right, on this homepage. These are links to charts or graphs that give a snapshot of the earth’s conditions. They can allow you to put together your own rough, longer term forecast. I can even guarantee you’ll have a better success rate than the Met Office!

Warning: These are sites that treehuggers and alarmists don’t want you to see because you may form your own opinion. So close the door and pull down the shades before looking at these indicators!

Never again will they be able to fool us.

Gate-Update – Next One On September 3

Many of you are aware that I compiled a list of climate scandals on May 20 (Gate Blowup) and an updated version on June 6 here.Rarely does a science give us so many scandals to write about. Indeed there’s quite an impressive cast of unseemly scientists and public figures out there who just keep the gate pipeline flowing.

Thanks for all the suggestions from readers. I’m adding many of them to a list that will be posted at this website on September 3. So stay tuned!

Obama's Green Dream Will Be America's Next Nightmare

EIKE has a piece today called Super Expensive Energy. It perhaps could serve as a reminder for President Obama, who thinks passing cap & trade and stopping reliance on fossil fuels will somehow plug the hole. My feeling is that Obama is using the oil disaster as a political instrument to drive through a dangerous cap & trade law.

Cap & trade means subsidising industries. Governments can do this as long as they can afford it. But that’s rarely the case. Most often they cannot. Europe is a prime example for Obama to look at.

Take a look at socialist Spain, for example. Driven by a green ideology, and all the promises it brings, Spain went ahead and subsidised wind and solar energy with unbridled abandon, thinking it could create thousands of new green jobs and usher in the next economic wonder.

Well, it has. But not the kind of wonder a sane person welcomes. Today Spain is bankrupt and unemployment is at (twenty) 20%. Spain has since been forced to drastically cut its subsidies, and the solar bubble has popped. Spain is now begging other countries for a bailout.

Even in a country that has abundant sunshine, like Spain, solar energy still cannot compete on the free market without generous subsidies. Consumers prefer reliable and inexpensive energy.

You’d think that with solar energy being completely uncompetitive in a country where sunshine is plentiful, leaders in other countries with gray, rainy climates would avoid such a source of energy. Not Germany. Even with its gray dismal climate, leaders went full throttle ahead in subsidising solar panels and energy. They simply forced the power companies to buy up green power from people who have solar panels on their roofs at exorbitant prices.

The power companies of course simply pass the higher costs on to the consumers. Industry is among the consumers of power. Companies that have energy-intensive processes are moving operations, and the jobs that go with them, out to countries that have much lower pollution standards.

Cooking your own goose

State-guaranteed price for solar power in Germany is far above the actual sales price to the market. Such a method was used in former communist East Germany (the country that built a wall to keep its people from running away). For example, a person there could sell a goose they had raised in his backyard to the local markets at the state-guaranteed price of 30 East German Marks. A few hours later the same seller could go back to the market and buy the same goose for only 15 Marks, slaughtered and ready to cook. Today it’s the same with green power producers. They sell their power for 43 cents/kwh, and then buy it back for 22 cents. Does that make sense?

Only if you want to send the economy to hell in a handbasket, and quickly.

In Germany green laws have been passed that will cost hundreds of billions of euros over the next 15 years, all based on the bogus claim they protect the climate. According to EIKE:

These billions burden the economy in 2 ways: 1) They lead to higher electricity rates for producers, meaning their products become more expensive, and 2) lead higher energy bills for consumers, and thus less buying power. Eventually this will choke the German economy and its growth, which eventually will hit already strapped governments fiscally. Absolute foolery.

2 Months Of Blogging

I started this blog on April 1st.

In April I got just over 8000 visits, and in May almost 28,000. Thanks readers!  I think I can allow myself a little indulgence of some sherry wood finish Glenmorangie to celebrate.

I got a lot of help from Big Blog, i.e.  climatedepotWUWT  and Bishop Hill. When these boys drop your name, you really see spikes in the traffic volume.

But I’m not doing it for the numbers (though I have to admit it feels good to see a spike).  It’s for fun, and it has been more fun than I ever imagined.

I’m gong to continue looking for stories that readers might not otherwise hear about. Repeating what the other blogs say is not my thing…though I may have done that a couple of times. I think it was Jeff Id at the Air Vent who said: to blog successfully, you have to spend a lot of time reading. THAT’S TRUE. Writing is acutally the easy part. Some bloggers have got to be going through reams of literature.

My highlight post for May was gate-blowup. It didn’t pull in the most traffic, but it’s the one I was most satisfied with. I’ll be updating it in the future.

And one more thing – not once did I have to snip a reader’s comment because of bad behaviour. To me that says a lot about the kind of readers us sceptics get. This claim that we’re all a gang of angry, belligerent malcontents is yet another warmist fantasy. Such rubbish they put out sometimes.

Keep stopping by!

Pachauri And The Chicago Climate Exchange

Pachauri CCX advisory board member

EIKE, the European Institute for Climate and Energy, a sponsor of the 4th ICCC in Chicago, has dug up a some information on the Chicago Climate Exchange CCX, where Maurice Strong and a host of other influential leftists are among its board members.

When it comes to cap & trade, i.e. emissions trading, we’re talking serious money here. According to Dr. Richard Sandor, an economist and CCX architect, cap-and-trade represents a $10 trillion per-year market.

Recognizing the enormous profit potential, Al Gore’s Generation Investment Management (GIM)  purchased a 10 percent stake in CCX and became the company’s fifth largest co-owner. Yet all this coziness shouldn’t surprise anyone.

But taking a closer look at the CCX Advisory Board, we find among the likes of Joe Kennedy, Ed Begly, Thomas Lovejoy – Rajendra Pachauri. It’s known that Pachauri has huge investments in carbon markets, but this is ridiculous. Talk about a scam. Yet another gate to add to the long list.

Conflict of interest? Nahhhh

Update: FYI, CCX Directors here and External Advisory Board members here.

Ivar Giaever – On Winning The Big Prize

Last week I featured Nobel Prize winner Kary Mullis: http://pgosselin.wordpress.com/2010/04/05/the-clergy-says/

Though not as eccentric as Mullis, Norwegian mechanical engineer Ivar Giaever describes how he won the Nobel Prize in physics. In the following video link, he tells what he feels is important to win a Nobel Prize. His tips:

1. Give talks, don’t be afraid of criticism.

2. Check yourself – try to prove yourself wrong.

3. It’s not proving theories, it’s about disproving famous ones.

4. You have to be curious.

5. You have to be competitive.

6. You have to be creative.

7. You have to be  self-confident.

8. You have to be very sceptical – don’t believe anything!

9. You have to be patient.

10. You have to be lucky.

http://www.lindau-nobel.de/MediaContainer.AxCMS?type=lectures&Meeting=105. (Click on Ivar Giaever on the right).

Note: These are tips for winning the Nobel Prize for Physics. For winning the Nobel Peace Prize, other completely different ones surely apply.