Joe Bastardi here gives us a heads-up on what the planet has in store for us in the months ahead, warning:
…wait till you global temp watchers get a load of what is coming.
Joe is just using the NOAA’s own data. Look at the NOAA’s projection for the months ahead.
You can find this chart: NOAA here
Take a good look at surface temps at the poles for early next year. It’s no wonder Joe has been predicting massive Arctic sea ice recovery starting next year, and adds:
I mean both poles cold and then 75% of the earth under normal? Geez, I know there is cooling that is going to go on, but this is a bit drastic.
If it’s the almighty climate models that are the reason to keep forecasting warm, and they are showing this kind of crash ( such an event could take the running 13 month temp of the earth next year to -.2 or -.3…as this La Nina, low solar cycle and cumulative volcanic activity means business, then things may be quicker than I thought.
Joe’s been predicting something like this for many months. Some people have been scoffing at his forecasts. Well now even the alarmist NOAA is confirming Joe’s forecast. I always say: If you need pretty good forecasts, then Go to Joe!
11 responses to “NOAA Forecasts Great "Drastic" Cooling!”
Oh, but that’s weather! /sarc
On average, average temperatures will be average. Maybe.
You can bet on that, usually.
Well, well, well… There is still an honest man in the public weather science business after all. And willing to lay it out there for the world to see without the obfuscation which the lying weenies have been doing.
Joe B is my hero, and Accuweather is now my fave spot for weather knowledge.
Go git ’em, pardner.
Why do the models “project” such cooling. ?
Is it over-egging volcanic aerosols AGAIN..
Yes, low solar activity, and oceanic current phases would seem to point to continued, and possibly more dramatic cooling, but does anyone know WHY the models now decide to “project” cooling. ?
Are they taking a “Mount Pinitubo” view (sorry can’t be bothered checking spelling for it).
From a modellers point of view.
It is time to NAME the game guys…
Also mentioned / discussed at,
Reply: The cooling for the months ahead is due to the oncoming La Nina. A longer term cooling, if one does materialise, is open to speculation, i.e. solar cycles, ocean cycles etc. -P.G.
In context of a looming 70-year “dead sun” Maunder Minimum similar to the “Little Ice Age” trough of 1645 – 1715, in perspective an end to global temperature rebounds dating from c. 1880, such projections show atmospheric and solar factors uniformly reinforcing on the downside.
Absent the 1,500-year Younger Dryas “cold shock” which ended c. BC 7300, our current Holocene Interglacial Epoch would likely have ended c. AD 450, coincident with the Fall of Rome. As it is, since 1950 Earth’s “Long Summer” has faded into Fall. Jnnk-science hysteria aside, a resurgent 102,000-year Pleistocene Ice Time is by no means unthinkable.
You ask: WHY the models now decide to “project” cooling. ?
Because the models hit a tipping point. Most people have already felt the cooling in last year or two but it has taken this long for the GCMs (computer models) to show it. Now I know of another real type of lag. 🙂
There’s some chance that Katla will blow in the near future. This will only add to any cooling effects.
Reply: …and would provide the warmists with a convenient excuse for the coming cooling. -PG
Thanks for the report…
I re-posted it.
[…] NOAA forecasts drastic cooling, but it took someone else to point it out to them. […]
It seems “Global COOLING” was on the agenda at the June 2010 Bilderberg Conference. These two papers may be why:
Solar scientists natter on about TSI not changing more than 0.1% but they never bother to mention Solar Energy has decreased by 9% from the geologic maximum that took the earth out of the Ice Age.
Temperature and precipitation history of the Arctic
Institute of Arctic and Alpine Research and Department of Geological Sciences, University of Colorado, USA et al
Solar energy reached a summer maximum (9% higher than at present) ca 11 ka ago and has been decreasing since then, primarily in response to the precession of the equinoxes. The extra energy elevated early Holocene summer temperatures throughout the Arctic 1-3° C above 20th century averages, enough to completely melt many small glaciers throughout the Arctic, although the Greenland Ice Sheet was only slightly smaller than at present.
From sciencedirect Abstract
Public Draft: http://www.climatescience.gov/Library/sap/sap1-2/public-review-draft/sap1-2-prd-all.pdf
Seems even the CAGW types can see we are nearing the end of the interglacial but of course they say Mankind has kept us out of deep kimchee, I mean Ice.
They say” we conclude that under natural boundary conditions the present insolation minimum holds the potential to terminate the Holocene interglacial.” That is Science speak for we are in the type of conditions that could dump us into another Ice Age if something like Joe B’s Triple Crown of Global Cooling happens.
Lesson from the past: present insolation minimum holds potential for glacial inception
Ulrich C. Müller & Jörg Pross, Institute of Geosciences, University of Frankfurt, Frankfurt, Germany
“Because the intensities of the 397 ka BP and present insolation minima are very similar, we conclude that under natural boundary conditions the present insolation minimum holds the potential to terminate the Holocene interglacial. Our findings support the Ruddiman hypothesis [Ruddiman, W., 2003. The Anthropogenic Greenhouse Era began thousands of years ago. Climate Change 61, 261–293], which proposes that early anthropogenic greenhouse gas emission prevented the inception of a glacial that would otherwise already have started….
From Sciencedirect Abstract
The Authors do however say there will be no returning Ice Age but that is based on the assumption of “continuously increasing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and no change in the sun.”
“The community of climatologists predicts a progressive global warming that will not be interrupted by a glacial inception for the next 50 ka.
These predictions are based on continuously increasing anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions and on the orbital forcing that will provide only muted insolation variations for the next 50 ka.
The paper was written in 2006 while Hathaway was saying on Dec. 21, 2006:
” Evidence is mounting: the next solar cycle is going to be a big one. Solar cycle 24, due to peak in 2010 or 2011 “looks like its going to be one of the most intense cycles since record-keeping began almost 400 years ago,”
I have already bought my farm in the sunny south…..