UPDATE 19 July: Steve Goddard has followed this post with a supplement, and provides more detailed information. http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/07/18/sea-ice-news-14/
WUWT following up on my posts a day or two later seems to be becoming a trend over there.
The NOAA is taking the liberty of declaring 2010 the hottest ever, even though it’s only July! So what’s all the hurry? Well, you have to get them scary global-hotting headlines out while you can, and any way you can. When you’re desperate – you’re desperate.
They’ve seen their own forecasts for the rest of the year, and so they know it’s their last chance. Just check the leading climatic indicators on my homepage and you’ll see why.
Now on Arctic sea ice, allow me to use the same NOAA “scientific” method and declare that the Arctic has experienced the slowest July ice melt ever! (Well, at least so far).
Look at the ice melts from June 30 – July 15 for the following years, taken from AMSR-E.
Sea ice melt
Year 6/30 to 7/15 Daily rate
2002 1.126 million sq km 75,000 sq km / day
2003 1.014 67,000
2004 1.019 68,000
2005 1.152 77,000
2006 1.210 80,000
2007 1.742 116,000
2008 1.216 81,000
2009 1.413 94,000
2010 0.807 54,000
Never has ice melted so slowly in mid summer as it has this year. Indeed sea ice melt in July 2010 is less than half the melt rate in 2007. It’s far below anything we’ve seen on record. Would the NOAA already call it a record low melt for the month?
And as Lubos Motl pointed out 3 days ago here, total global sea ice is above normal. Also see here. Indeed sea ice is rebounding, and surprisingly just at a time when it’s supposively the “hottest ever”. Someone is wrong, obviously.
Do you think anyone in the media is going to run this story?