I hope that’s still politically correct. If not, no apologies.
A couple of loose ends to tie up as I prepare for the Berlin Conference.
First, bitter cold and snowfall have dominated the German headlines. This kind of thing was not supposed to happen – that is until about 2 weeks ago when scientists at the Potsdam Institute For Climate Impact Research suddenly changed their minds after one of their models showed European winters would be getting cold instead (because of global warming).
So let’s look back at what the PIK said just a year ago in FOCUS magazine in a report called: “Germany Will Be Sweating“, in December, 2009, just before Copenhagen:
Less snow, dry-hot summers and mild-wet winters. Scientists at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research show us the most important climate trends for Germany. By the middle of the century the temperature increase and the resulting evaporation in some regions could lead to water shortages.
In the Alps, winters with snow cover will be shortened.
In the western areas, there will be less and less snow cover.
Then the PIK-effect kicked in. Just 10 days after the FOCUS report had come out, i.e. during the Copenhagen conference, the worst winter in over 40 years began to besiege Germany. (H/T to a reader comment here at Readers Edition).
And here’s another one from Bild tabloid, dated 27 November 2006 titled: Winter is Becoming Extinct:
Professor Mojib Latif (52), climate scientist at the University of Kiel: ‘In a hundred years we’ll practically have no more winters.
And the warming is going to accelerate! Scientists have calculated that the average temperature in the next 100 years will increase by up to 4°C. In 20 years it will be possible to go swimming in the Baltic Sea in October and to grow peaches in Hamburg.
Finally, WUWT brings up a new peer-reviewed paper by Ryan O’Donnell, Nicholas Lewis, Jeff Condon, and Steve McIntyre that shows claims of a warming Antarctic in a peer-reviewed paper by Steig et al were bogus.
Interesting are Anthony’s comments on how reluctant the peer reviewers appear to have been when this sceptical paper landed on their desk. If it had been a paper showing accelerated warming, melting etc., then publication would have been a lot simpler. The peer review probably would have taken only 10 minutes over a cup of coffee. “And don’t worry, we’ll even write up the press releases for you and get this published right before the next conference.”
Anyway, while I’m in Berlin, I’ll post from time to time to provide an impression of how things are going. Hope you drop by.