Remember the rare and exciting snowfall projection? That’s what the leading experts using their tuned models and super-computers told us. And whenever the rest of us had the audacity to doubt these longterm forecasts, we were scolded, got one across the knuckles, and branded as deniers.
The gods are surely laughing.
Germany’s central location in Europe acts as a rough barometer for measuring general weather harshness in Europe as a whole, and so we can say that Europe in general is not getting its promised warmth. Meteorologist Karsten Brandt at Germany’s donnerwetter.de has a report out (in German) titled: Snow Without End – 2010 Is On Track To Set A Record. Here’s what Dr Brandt says:
The year 2010 is about to go down in weather history. The number of snow days is at a record level, between 70 and 110 days so far. By the end of the year Bonn for example could see 80 snow days, in Berlin it will be well over 100, and it will be between 90 and 120 snow days in other cities. As a result, it will exceed the number snow days set in the record year of 1963. In many parts of Germany, so many days of snow have not been counted in the last 100 years.
Note that snow days here means the number of days that have snow on the ground.
Gee, I wonder if the German media are all scrambling to report this? Maybe Der Spiegel will resurrect its old 1974 Ice Age piece I wrote about yesterday. This time, they could blame it on global warming. But don’t get your hopes up – the odds of the media reporting on this are, I’d say, 1 in 10,000.
200% to 300% more frost and snow days.
In addition, Dr Brandt says here that governments ought to be preparing for harder winters and not for warmth.
In the next years we will have to anticipate many more hard winters. Compared to the 1990s and 2000s, the number of frost and snow days is 200% to 300% higher. The reason for this careful estimation is the weakness of the Gulf Stream and the longer-term changeover of the North Atlantic and Arctic Oscillation.
…the trend is definite: colder rather than warmer.”
This of course is all a very difficult act for the government to handle. The people are supposed to believe in warming, yet be asked to prepare for bitter cold and snow.