Although the interview is not available online, Die kalte Sonne website provides us with the main points:
HNA: For years you represented the main assertions of the IPCC. Now you are saying they are false?
Vahrenholt: Carbon dioxide is indeed a climate gas, but the IPCC in its summary report does not provide two important points: The irradiative strength of the sun and its magnetic field were until recently very strong, and have begun to decrease. Also both major oceanic cycles, which provide a change between warming and cooling, are now switching to cooling. For this reason for the next 20 years we are not going to see any warming, instead we can expect a slight cooling. This gives us more time for converting our energy supply system […]
HNA: What role does CO2 play in climate change?
Vahrenholt: CO2 is about 50 percent responsible for the global warming. But no one can calculate that precisely. We have to ask whether we can significantly influence the climate by reducing CO2?
HNA: Can we save ourselves the hassle of undergoing an energy transformation?
Vahrenholt: No. We have to replace oil, coal and gas over the mid-term and for that reason we need renewable energies. But we are over-subsidzing them and I fear that they will skid into a huge crisis of acceptance in already just a few years. Imagine if we do not get any more climate warming in the next 5 or 10 years, yet the citizens pay a huge sum of money. Eventually that is not going to work.”
Of course when that happens, and chances that it will are pretty good, the people are going to feel like they were conned. People will lose all trust in government and climate science. Frankly I think Vahrenholt is under-estimating the “slight cooling” that lies ahead. The sun and ocean cycles are lining up to deliver up to 0.5°C of cooling.
Final Note: According to Benny Peiser’s GWPF site, Fritz Vahrenholt will be speaking in England in June, more details here.
The 2012 Annual GWPF Lecture will be delivered by
Professor Dr Fritz Vahrenholt
Title: Global Warming: Second Thoughts of an Environmentalist
When: 13 June 2012, 7pm
Where: The Royal Society, 6-9 Carlton House Terrace, London SW1Y 5AG
Attendance at the lecture is by invitation only.