Over the last weekend and early this week Germany saw some 4 days of record-breaking hot weather, which also brought on severe thunderstorms that caused property damage, local flooding, traffic disruptions and killed a half dozen people.
Photo Mojib Latif (Source: GEOMAR)
The media went crazy, and so did some “experts”.
Immediately the high priests of climate and end-of-world theoreticians immediately seized upon the bad weather and linked it to man-made global warming and human environmental sins. And again they are calling for human sacrifices to be made at the alter in a bid to appease the angry gods.
UN IPCC Mojib Latif here connected the local German bad weather directly to man and “climate altering Greenhouse gases”.
For me the weather of the last few days was another piece of the puzzle: Climate change and its impacts are becoming increasingly detectable. Germany is feeling the impact of global warming. There are increasingly more hot days with temperatures far above 30°C. And also the phases of heavy precipitation are rising. This is precisely what the models for the case of increased atmospheric greenhouse gases have been predicting.”
Unfortunately, Latif neglected reading even his own IPCC report, which dismisses the link of bad weather to greenhouse gases. At the end Latif says that the international community must act quickly to reduce global greenhouse gas emissions.
At Sciblogs here, not even ultra-alarmist and AGW-dogmatist Stefan Rahmstorf of the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) is ready to go as far out on a limb as Latif. Rahmstorf writes that more frequent severe thunderstorms as a consequence of global warming is plausible, but grudgingly concedes the IPCC has no data to support it. He adds in a reader comment:
I also think it’s not appropriate to connect every weather event to climate change.”
Such weather patterns are “nothing new”
Chart right: www2.wetter3.de.gif
Veteran German meteorologist Klaus Eckart Puls of the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) dismisses a linkage to man-made CO2. In an e-mail response to my inquiry he writes that such an idea only comes from people who either know little about the weather statistics before 150 years ago, or people who are attempting to misuse seldomly seen weather patterns for political climate-alarmism purposes.
The weather service archives show: Such weather patterns have occurred and do occur in June over Europe time and again – fortunately not every day. Why? First of all we are now at the time of the year where the sun is at a peak and so we have about 15 hours of sunshine in Central Europe with clear to almost clear skies. So was the case in the days leading up to June 9, 2014. As a result the air over Central Europe heated up day after day. Moreover a stalled low pressure system positioned for days over the Bay of Biscay with a trough extending deep to the south pumped hot air from North Africa and into Central Europe. As the hot air swept over the Bay of Biscay, it picked up a lot of humidity and led to the formation of a strong weather front, which in turn spawned extremely powerful thunderstorms. What happened on June 9 meteorologoically was nothing new, but it’s fortunately seldom.”
Puls reminds us that “even the alarmist-leaning UN IPCC finds no trends to more extreme weather. Not only in its earlier reports, but also in its latest 2013 report.”
For readers who do not know, Mojib Latif is Germany’s version of David Viner. He too also predicted that winters with snow and ice would soon be a thing of the past.
Mojib Latif: “For me the weather of the last few days was another piece of the puzzle: Climate change and its impacts are becoming increasingly detectable. Germany is feeling the impact of global warming”.
2009__Motif Latif “predicted that in the next few years a natural cooling trend would dominate over warming caused by humans. The cooling would be down to cyclical changes to ocean currents and temperatures in the North Atlantic, a feature known as the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Breaking with climate-change orthodoxy, he said NAO cycles were probably responsible for some of the strong global warming seen in the past three decades. ‘But how much? The jury is still out,’ he told the conference. The NAO is now moving into a colder phase.”; report at ‘newscientist.com’ 04 September 2009 by Fred Pearce, Geneva.
Mojib Latif explains a lot as it pleases many, but “The jury is still out”.
The most dangerous place in the known universe is between Mojib Latif and a German state TV camera. He’s a fixture, and will modify his message as to what works best at the moment – of course he has the entire spectrum of predictions of warmism for that – the whole spaghetti graph of all the models in existence.
Basically he goes with what happened last, and predicts more of that for the immediate future.
This is just silly. If experts on climate like Mojib Latif and Stefan Rahmstorf can not only contradict one another but also themselves [!?], someone in the MSM needs to point this out and have them explain as best they can. If they can’t, they should be rightly pilloried (figuratively). Any discipline with pretentious to be considered as a serious science would demand coherence between predictions and reality. (The converse is also true: any discipline unwilling or incapable of demanding such coherence can not possibly hope to be considered credulous).
Skeptics of CAGW merely need to have these fellows commit to a prediction as a function of CO2 emissions. They’ve been doing that for the past 2+ decades, after all.
Then hold them to their predictions. If they get lucky, they may still have an audience. But if their predictions are falsified (which seems to have been occurring for the past 1.5 decades — the “plateau”), they need to find other jobs.
Kurt in Switzerland
See, Kurt, NOBODY in German MSM will hold them accountable; they all fear for their jobs. NOBODY in German MSM even KNOWS that a “science” that makes contradictory predictions is not a science at all (They fired Joachim Bublath 2008 because he knew it. One of his last shows or maybe the last one presented a realistic picture of climate science). The remaining MSM Journos are IDIOTS that couldn’t wait a table (the hard part is giving correct change). They are selected for blind obedience. Gullibility is a plus.
It’s deja vu all over again @NTZ:
Uncovered 16th Century Hallucinatory Images Suggest That Today’s Climate Science Is Nothing But A Persistent Human Mental Disorder
By P Gosselin on 16. Februar 2014
“Fire in the sky, torrential rains, droughts and Biblical floods – all supposedly brought on by the sins and wickedness of man. Is it really a surprise we are hearing it all once again today?”
– See more at: https://notrickszone.com/2014/02/16/uncovered-16th-century-hallucinatory-images-suggest-that-todays-climate-science-is-nothing-but-a-human-mental-disorder/#sthash.yryssleP.dpuf