Correction: Yesterday I had the wrong chart up (2013). Now the 2014 winter chart is up.
This September is bringing with it already the first hints of winter for North America with snow predicted to fall over a vast area of the upper western USA, perhaps as far south as Denver, says meteorologist Joe Bastardi at his latest Saturday Summary.
Parts of Europe have already seen their first notes of winter, with snowfalls recorded in Austria, Germany, and Great Britain – read here.
About ten years ago many climatologists, those obsessed with the hypothesis of global warming, were already writing the last will for winter weather in many regions. They were convinced by their computer models and simulations, which foresaw a rapid rise in global warming. But then came the global warming pause, followed by about 8 years of modest global cooling, all accompanied by an unexpected string of nasty winters.
And listening to the latest forecasts for the coming winter, Mother Nature is once again set to defy the warming climate models.
First Joe Bastardi gives us a brief preview of his winter forecast for North America starting at the 11:52 mark of Weatherbell’s latest Saturday Summary.
The above chart shows Weatherbell’s projected temperature anomaly for the upcoming winter.
Joe says they had already issued the forecast back in April and bases it on weather patterns already observed in the past. He thinks that the models used by climatologists don’t consider all the factors or underestimate some of them. Today he says their models are now also pointing to a colder and snowier winter for large parts of the US with the likelihood how heavy snows near the northern Southeast.
The US Farmers Almanac also came out predicting a brutal winter for much of the USA. Managing editor Sandi Duncan says Americans need to prepare for a “shivery and shovelry” winter. “We’re calling for some frigid conditions, bitter conditions,” she said.
The American National Weather Service (NWS) currently is pointing to a normal winter for USA, with warmer than normal temperatures out west, cool in the south, and normal in the east.
Central Europe (Germany) winter forecast
The German language www.wetterprognose-wettervorhersage.de site writes that long-term models point to the September, October and November autumn as too dry but with near normal temperatures.
For winter the site writes:
December will be slightly too warm, January and February for the most part normal temperatures with a tendency for higher precipitation. In other words, this variant points to a slightly warmer than normal, but in some regions a very snowy winter.”
Sounds like a potentially good ski season in the Alps!