In track and field a sprinter setting a new world record in the 100 or 200-meter dash by a few hundredths of a second is already considered a sensation.
Now imagine a sprinter breaking the 100 or 200-meter dash record by a whole half second, or a pole-vaulter beating the old record not by an inch or two, which would be spectacular, but by an entire foot! That would be unworldly and observers would call it a mutation leap forward.
Antarctic sea ice takes a mutation leap. Source: Cryosphere
This is precisely what has just happened with sea ice growth at the South Pole around Antarctica.
Not only was last year’s all-time high sea ice record beaten this year, but smashed it by such a wide a margin that is meteorologically unworldly. If anyone is searching for a sign of a “tipping point”, this could be one. Unfortunately the tip seems to be in the opposite direction!
At least week’s Saturday Summary, Joe Bastardi even compared the South Pole’s new record to King Kong belting a 700-foot home run out of the ballpark. Not wanting to get too carried away, we have to keep in mind that we are looking here at the satellite record only, which goes back to 1979. Yet, it is still truly amazing by any standard.
Of course everyone’s question now is: Why has this happened? Unfortunately no one has an answer or even plausible hypotheses. It is mysterious. What is clear, however, is that once again alarmist global warming climatologists, who 10 years ago predicted a meltdown was imminent, are embarrassed and speechless. The same can be said about the media.
Never has the consensus been so unsettled.
It could be that our happy Holocene epoch is showing its age, its end and the relapse of the world into an ice age is overdue.
The most recent millennium 1000 – 2000 AD has been the coolest 1000 year period of the current, benign Holocene epoch.
http://edmhdotme.wordpress.com/2014/09/12/the-temperature-context/
Which bit of GETTING COLDER does the world not understand ?
Not so fast; don’t forget this is the first Grand Solar Minimum of the satellite age. Maybe this is typical for the onset of such a minimum, we don’t know.
If this is an indication of the maximum ( ie the onset) of a Solar Minimum what might the minimum of the cycle have in store?
What? The indications are that the solar cycles are getting longer and weaker. We are entering a Maunder type minimum. I expect it to get slightly colder and colder each year as the Grand minimum stays. There might be snow catastrophes in coastal areas like in 1978/79 shortly.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EBwULNU_fVk&feature=PlayList&p=9E14FE4DA004DE8E&playnext=1&index=6
After watching many of Joe Bastardis Saturday summeries I think it would be right to think he believes that the Arctic and Antarctic ice flip flops in line with the PDO.
Global seaice remaining quite stable over the long term.
http://arctic.atmos.uiuc.edu/cryosphere/iphone/images/iphone.anomaly.global.png
There was one occasion though when he said that if we don’t see a reduction in the south as the North rebounds it could get interesting.
As the warmists say, “It’s obvious.” Global warming is heating up the Antarctic glaciers so much that they are melting into the sea and everybody knows that fresh water freezes quicker than sea water.
They have an answer for everything. Nothing can run against their cult-like dogma… even reality.
When they say this I say greater extent = more albedo. 🙂
http://nsidc.org/cryosphere/seaice/processes/albedo.html
So that’s…a quantum of sea ice.
Here in Australia, some German-speaking folk might say “Eisquanten”.
Very chilly winds from the South for this time of year in Australia.
Looks like I misspelled …now fixed.
GREENHOUSE SMASHED
No one has a valid counter argument. Keep watching, or try yourself to write a valid rebuttal here ….
http://judithcurry.com/2014/09/26/week-in-review-28/#comment-633140.
See my book “Why It’s Not Carbon Dioxide After All”
http://www.amazon.com/Why-Its-Carbon-Dioxide-After/dp/1478729228
The southern oceans surrounding Antarctica are anomalously cold. North Atlantic, Barents and Baltic also looking a trifle chilly.
http://weather.unisys.com/surface/sst_anom.gif
But but but – what about the poor freezing ice locked penguins?
They can shift north and cuddle with the polar bears!
The Polar Bears would like that, a lot. Especially, just before denning. Plump, fatty birds are very nutritious.
Actually, I am a little concerned about the penguins. Do I recall correctly that they need ice-free ground on which to nest and breed? Is it likely that in Antarctic summer they will get it, even if winter ice remains high?
Don’t worry about the penguins. Soon they’ll be able to walk across the ice to Chile !! 😉
One scenario: Increasing antarctic sea ice, which is of course caused by global warming, will reflect more sunlight away from the earth and cause the earth to cool. I told my children 10-15 years ago don’t be surprised if some day the higher authorities tell us that global warming is causing global cooling.
And a prediction: If this should happen nothing will change. The global warming enthusiats will continue to call skeptics “deniers”.
What would be cool is a paper (or have I already missed it?) linking the “pause” – “hiatus” to the increase in southern hemisphere albedo.
Really cool, global warming would be controlling global warming! Well why not? Global warming moves in mysterious ways its wonders to perform!
Could all this ice build up be the reason for so many volcano’s erupting? I would think that a build up of ice should compress the earth’s crust below it and exert a certain amount of pressure that could make volcano’s erupt.
The more volcano’s erupt the more sulfur dioxide thus the less sunlight that warms the earth.
Any thoughts?
Eric, in a word NO. We’re discussing “sea ice,” which floats on top of the ocean, and therefore would cause no compression of the crust – it just displaces the amount of water required to for bouyancy.
Slightly OT, but related? From what I can gather the amount of ice on the Great Lakes last year caused a lttle bit of interest?
Well I got to wondering about this year and according to:-
“Daily Lake Average Surface Water Temperature
From
Great Lakes Surface Environmental Analysis maps”
http://coastwatch.glerl.noaa.gov/ftp/glsea/avgtemps/glsea-temps_1024.dat
The temperature of all the lakes is lower than at the same day last year with Lake Superior living up to its name being more than 4c lower;-
2013 Day 264 13.51c
2014 Day 264 9.36c
Ice baby?
I don’t usually discuss climate with anyone in person, but recently someone did say the following to me in person: “I hate how deniers always point to Antarctic ice.”
And as someone who believes in looking at all the evidence (that is, a “denier”), I hate how global warming enthusiasts always point to Arctic sea ice, but never mention Antarctic or total sea ice.
You obviously don’t know Paul. He’s been doing some of the most amazing analysis of solar and other cycles. E g here
https://cyclesresearchinstitute.wordpress.com/tag/paul-l-vaughan/
I was obviously giving what my response would be to the person being quoted.
With Obama now leading the international army of global warming alarmists, who resort to “voodoo science” to try and scare the world, they conveniently ignore reality, and all the climate model predictions and projections that have been utterly wrong.
At the most basic level, they insist rising atmospheric carbon dioxide is causing dangerous global warming. Yet in the NASA video at the following link, NASA clearly explains that carbon dioxide and nitrous oxide are the two most efficient coolants:
http://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/sunearth/news/solarstorm-power.html
Watch the NASA video and decide for yourself who is right and who is wrong.
Not a contradiction. Above LTE height CO2 becomes net emitter to space, below absorber. Due to shifting probabilities of thermalization vs dethermalization depending on average free path length of photons. Same for the other triatomic gases.
That is why in the 1970ies alarmists saw rising CO2 as cause for coming ice age (1975 Stanford Endangered Atmosphere conference, Holdren, Lovelock, Schneider, Meade), later switched to Global Warming, same antropogenic cause, rising CO2. They explained ALL temperature change with rising CO2; only the system parameters are assumed differently.
To keep the climate models flexible enough to tune them for better hindcasting they therefore have 100+ parameters, which are all guessed empirically.
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Read an article in the daily mail yesterday that one side of the antarctic is melting drastically and the increase of ice on the other side is caused by warmer water! Also, the loss of ice on one side is affecting gravity! The sky is falling, the sky is falling !!! http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sciencetech/article-2774948/Is-global-warming-weakening-Earth-s-gravity-Satellite-finds-variations-Antarctica-ice-melting-fastest.html
When a 40 ton truck drives a hundred miles that also affects gravity.
The journalist mafia is trying to delude the public with wild exaggerations.
They love to do that.
Can some one please explain how GOCE manage to create the impression that Antarctic ice is falling ?
Are they cherrypicking dates ? or only counting land-ice or something
Only land ice. GOCE measures gravity. Sea ice has no measurable impact on gravity.
Yes I see.. I do feel a bit misled by skeptic blogs not making it clear there has been a steady decline in land ice when saying sea ice has been growing.
However the deceptive warmist continue their game of spin in today’s WP article http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capital-weather-gang/wp/2014/10/07/scientists-explain-why-record-high-antarctic-sea-ice-doesnt-mean-global-warming-isnt-happening/
the article doesn’t actually do what it says in the title, but does admit that sea ice is gaining as land ice declines (order comments by most favourited)
Land ice declines? By 125 cubic km per year? I don’t even know whether that’s a blip or a multi year average, but anyway. Have you any idea how many cubic kilometers there are in Antarctica? wait…. 26.5 million says the BBC.
http://www.bbc.com/news/science-environment-21692423
Please keep in mind that ice volume is an integrator of temperature and therefore has a 90 degree phase lag in all frequency bands. The melting will stop when temperatures drop the fastest. Not when temperatures BEGIN to drop.
cheers Dirk, I did think of perspective, thanks for checking it.
So it seems we can say that in the last 20 years sea ice has increased by magnitudes more than land ice has decreased in what cherrypicked time period the alarmists choose.
I cannot compare actual figs easily, as sea ice figs I have in square metres not cubic metres : 2014 sea ice varied between 16-20million m2 as opposed to 20 year average of 14-19million m2.