Accuweather here writes that hurricane Hermine is the first to make landfall in Florida since Wilma way back in October 2005, 11 years ago.
Chart: NOAA, public domain
In the heydays of global warming, in the early 2000s, scientists and activists loudly claimed hurricanes would become more frequent and even more powerful due to global warming supercharging – things would only get worse. And unless we changed our fossil-fuel indulgent lives, Mother Nature would certainly punish mankind like never before.
Odds: 1 in 2300!
Yet, since those hysterical days, hurricane activity over the East Coast has unexpectedly all but disappeared. Not a major hurricane (Cat 3 – 5) has hit the US east coast in close to 4000 days, thus making the period the quietest in recorded history. The whopping odds of this according to one estimate was only 1 in 2300. Read here and here.
Rare! Children see first east coast hurricane ever!
This means that almost all children under 14 have no or barely any recollection of a major hurricane hitting the US east coast.
For Florida, ABC News here reports that Hermine is the first hurricane of any category to hit the state in a decade.
In summary, the exact opposite of what climate experts predicted in 2005 has in fact happened. They could not have been more wrong. Hermine it turns out, just barely made hurricane status. ABC writes:
The Category 1 storm hit just east of St. Marks around 1:30 a.m. EDT with winds around 80 mph, according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center. Hermine later weakened to a tropical storm as it moved farther inland.”
The latest is that Hermine has weakened to a tropical storm and is located over Georgia. The track for the next hours is shown below.
Chart: NOAA
Though it’s early, the storm could pose a threat to southern New England.
Of course one calm 10-year period of hurricane activity does not mean it’s going to stay that way by any means. It’s just a question of time before hurricane activity naturally picks up again.
“In summary, the exact opposite of what climate experts predicted in 2005 has in fact happened. ”
In 2007 Warmunism peaked with AIT. So Al Gore pretty much called the top.
They were so sure they got it and could use it to achieve world dictatorship via the UN. That was the whole purpose of it. And it failed.
I miss the computer generated flooding city simulations and all that. And anyone remember this one from 2004?
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Day_After_Tomorrow
It is only a “Hurricane” by Satallite and Radiosonde data, it never got above a Tropical Storm by surface based measurements as usual.
I put in a FOIA Request to get the station data about this. I am skeptical that the NHS met its own criteria for a Hurricane measurement.
The media said 80MPH Gusts not average wind speed, not even close to a Hurricane by the looks of it.
And in other unrelated news: Japan’s fifth reactor since Fukushima has restarted with 22 more in the pipeline with applications to regulatory authorities for restart. Meanwhile in Germany …
Europe’s economy will never realize its potential as long as Germany’s reactors remain shut.
I live in Florida. I was here for Charlie, Francis and Jean. THEY were hurricanes. Hermine brought some much needed rain where I live, near Tampa. My A.C. makes more “wind.” than we got here with that one. Not that I’m complaining, mind you. I can do without any more of the big ones that sent my insurance costs through the roof, thank you very much.
We were on the dirty side of Wilma, very close to the eyewall, in Oct 2005 as she crossed Fort Lauderdale headed east back into the Atlantic as a strong Cat 2. Was a long night as we watched pole mounted transformers explode in the North Beach shopping/restaurant complex across A1A. L’Hermitage would have been mostly OK (big emergency diesel generators back up building systems, we had 25 gallons of water in 5 5 gallon fold up containers, and enough Sterno fuel and dry rations for 5 days in the Gobag) except for the small tornado that decided to spin between the two 27 story condo towers on our 10 acre complex on the Atlantic beach. Took out three corner units that had 150mph certified hurricane glass fronts– were not tornado certified. Our three br three ba unit is in a recessed ‘alcove’ directly facing the ocean, so other than both west and east balconies getting thoroughly ‘pressure washed’ no personal problems. Took 12 months to repair all the damage on the ~three acre pool deck though. Complete rebuild from scratch. Nothing was left except the pool shells. Restaurant, gone. Landscape planters, gone. Not one palm tree left vertical. Railings, gone.
Nature taketh
Das Stimpt. Sie hat unserese genommen. Gruesse.
Ouch. I’m glad it wasn’t any stronger, or you might not have been here to write that.
Here is the historical context on Florida hurricanes.
https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2016/09/02/florida-sets-fair-weather-record/
Sadly, as the world cools, there will be more hurricanes. This will be blamed on CAGW. Going to be interesting when the world finally wakes up.
I’ve been in a strong wind, near 80 mph. Actual mph is unknown because I was miles from a place that had instruments.
At this speed, things not tied down start to move through the air. In my case there was dust/grit and plant parts – twigs with leaves still attached.
Where there are people (with things), items such as lawn chairs, garbage cans, signs poorly built, and much other stuff fly through the air with the greatest of ease. Then the stuff hits other things. That’s not good.
Our strongest gust over the last 3 days was 38 mph. We often get to 40 sustained and near 50 gusts. Things move and limbs break and sometimes take power lines down. The wind 3 days ago brought an 8″ diameter limb down, but no damage (just next year’s firewood).