Winter To Arrive Early Across Central Europe As Solar Activity Remains Quietest in 200 Years

The weather models are all now pointing to wintry weather pushing into Europe next week, after a year of near record warm temperatures. Is a cold winter in store?

German skeptic weather and climate blogger Schneefan (Snow Fan) here writes that the winter most likely will be starting early this year, but it remains a question if the colder, more wintery conditions will persist throughout the winter.

The current low solar activity favors it will, as studies show Europe’s winters turn harsher when solar activity is quiet. Over the past few days, the models have been in agreement in showing that cold wintry weather is approaching in the days ahead.

Schneefan writes that the big 3 weather models ECMWF (Europe), GFS (USA) and GEM (Canada) have all been projecting the same development:

Shown above are the prognoses dated 10 November, 2018, from ECMWF (Europe), GFS (USA) and GEM (Canada) for the 20th of November. Source: Wetterzentrale

Yesterday the three models forecast the following for November 19:

Source: Wetterzentrale

The stratospheric models from ECMWF und GFS also point to an early wintery weather pattern change, with a large trough extending over the entire Mediterranean and an extensive high over Scandinavia and Northern Russia:

Comparison of the ECMWF (150 hPa, 14 km altitude) and GFS (100 hPa, about 16 km altitude) prognoses November 20. This unusual large weather pattern signifies a change in the wind patterns and favor cold Russian air moving over Europe . If the models are right, it would mean an early start for winter in Europe. Source: ECMWF and GFS.

WO/GFS already foresees frost for Eastern Europe this weekend:


Snow is also forecast to spread across large regions of eastern Europe early next week:

Large parts of Germany and Europe could see snow cover at the end of November:

Schneefan writes that the conditions could be similar to those seen in the winters of 2005/06 and 2010/11. One reason, Schneefan writes:

We now find ourselves in a multiple-year solar minimum of weak solar cycles that is the weakest in the last 200 years.

Just recently the GFS06 showing a northern position (Greenland/Atlantic blocking) and further massive winter invasions from the north on November 29, 2018.

So while Europe may be enjoying agreeable mild weather for now, models show that it may very well end abruptly. Preparations for winter should be done over the coming days.

Global warming eliminating snow and ice remains a myth. Soon expect to hear warmist scientists claim the cold is due to the warming causing polar vortices. Don’t buy the nonsense. It’s BS science.

The truth is that this is just winter as usual, and the climate has not really changed that much.

9 responses to “Winter To Arrive Early Across Central Europe As Solar Activity Remains Quietest in 200 Years”

  1. SebastianH

    Oh no, the ice age is coming! Did I mention that I were outside last weekend wearing shorts and a t-shirt?

    The truth is that this is just winter as usual, and the climate has not really changed that much.

    We’ll see about that. It sure has been a long time since we had any decent snow where I live. Maybe in 2001? So since this is a winter after a big El Nino (with the likelyhood being high that another El Nino arrives), maybe we get similar snow. That would be great 😉

    1. Hivemind

      “…been a long time since we had any decent snow where I live…”

      That’s what you get for living so far south.

  2. Fredar

    Just saw a Finnish newspaper claiming that “unusually warm weather” continuing till february.

    Well, soon we will see.

    Don’t like snow anyway. I don’t understand the fascination for cold white stuff raining from the sky.

  3. Bitter&twisted

    So we have a cold weather forecast.
    That’s exactly what it is- weather, just like when we have hot weather.
    For the first time in living memory the troll got it right.
    Had too eventually😁

    1. Kurt in Switzerland


      Hate to disappoint you, but the quote in italics from the first comment is indeed from the article, not something from the troll.

      1. SebastianH

        Don’t think he meant the quote as it doesn’t say anything about this being weather. Someone did understand the sarcasm in the first part of my comment … finally a skeptic understood what I meant 😉

  4. scott

    I know it’s just weather, but across the pond we are experiencing some early season cold. Houston just had snow; earliest ever recorded. And San Antonio just broke a record low going back to 1916.

  5. sasquatch

    Baffin Island weather, the air temp is at minus 25 degrees C today. It’ll be cold up there for a few months, not much sunlight to none at all. Doesn’t warm up much during the daytime. Many days of -39 to -42 C, bone chilling temps.

    The remnants of the Laurentide Ice Sheet will remain frozen for the rest of this fall and all the way through winter, don’t have to worry about that being gone.

    The temps remain fairly warm into September, once the autumnal equinox arrives, Baffin Island begins to cool and then moves to below temps like today’s.

    Sea Ice Extent, the Arctic Ocean isn’t mostly water yet.

    The coldest temp I have ever seen on a cold winter day was -42 F, cold, you stay inside. The year was 1997 during the month of February. The weather changes with the seasons, the climate seems to not change that much, seen it happening for enough time through aging, the climate continues as such.

    Dundee Satellite Receiving Station

    You have to register to view images, it is free.

    A plethora of images of the whole earth, great viewing, a lot to see.

    On a clear day you can see Atlantic waters. Near enough to the Tropic of Capricorn these days, there will be a full circle image of sun, the rays reflecting off the water.

    Looks like it takes up one time zone from the east side of the image to the west side.

  6. Max

    How do you like the weather in Russia? :)))

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