By Thomas Lifson
Read more, original story at The American Thinker here.
The warmist fraud has a big problem: its predictions of doom have consistently failed to generate any serious pain. Yes, they blame hot weather in the summer in global warming, and if there are hurricanes, they must be caused by “climate change,” though when we have a year with few hurricanes, or, as in 2018 no tornadoes at all, nobody sings the praises of the benefits of “climate change.”
But they’ve hit a gold mine with their predictions of island nations being sunk beneath the waves, and coastal communities (especially in rich countries) forced to be abandoned.
The theory is that melting ice at the earth’s polar regions will swamp us. And that is triggering moves to raise insurance premiums on coastal properties that are supposed to be flooded, in low-lying coastal places like Florida, as the Sun-Sentinel writes:
In just two or three years, Congress may change the way it sets rates in the Federal Emergency Management Agency’s National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) to reflect more realistic assessments of risk, including the expected impacts of sea-level rise.
According to the chair of Miami’s Sea Level Rise Committee, FEMA officials believe the largest provider of flood insurance in the United States will be aligning the cost of premiums much closer to the heightened risks of flooding. And that the changes will come sooner than many expect.”
A huge rise in insurance premiums would inflict the sort of major pain that could generate support for “anti-Warming” measures.
But, as an independent examination of the actual data from the measuring stations in the polar regions shows, if anything, we are in the midst of a cooling phase where most of the ice hangs out. Pierre Gosselin, building on the work of Kirye in Tokyo:
We constantly hear from the untrustworthy media how polar ice is melting rapidly – due to human-induced global warming.
But when we look at the real data, we understand why audiences worldwide increasing distrust the mainstream media and their constant stream of doomsday reports, which they uncritically produce.
A recent chart shows that late summer Arctic sea ice volume has GROWN over the past 12 years, and not plummeted as the alarmists once warned:
Note how predictions made back in 2007 by “leading experts” were completely wrong, and sea ice volume instead has been rising modestly, thus totally surprising and shaming the doomsday prophets.”
At what point does extracting money from people based on erroneous predictions of climate disaster become criminal fraud?
Read the entire story at The American Thinker here.
20 responses to “Scam? Ice Isn’t Melting As Predicted At The Poles, Yet Big Insurance Hikes On Coastal Properties Loom!”
“…Big Insurance Hikes On Coastal Properties Loom!”
The rats did the same with insurance rates in Florida. When I moved here the total insurance on my home was about $300.00 a year. Now, after dropping sink-hole coverage, which amounts to between 1/4 and 1/3 of the bill before dropping it, I still pay over $3,000.00 a year. A friend inherited his parent’s home, but had to sell it. The flood insurance alone was over $12K after they were done.
NOTE – Rino Jeb Bush was governor of Florida when that all was allowed to start.
Just like in Europe, our politicians pay more intention to the special interests of their wealthy friends, than the welfare of the citizens they swear to protect.
My note is this, has al gore sold his beach front property? Oh, not yet, or put it up for sale? Not yet?
But, incredible as it is, ice expands as it cools. Part of why it floats, on water. As water cools, it expands also. One of it’s properties. That makes me wonder, did scientists skip third grade, basic science. Or are they so caught up in grants, they forget basic details. Another basic details is cold kills more people faster then warmth. So why are we arguing about global warming? Money?
“So why are we arguing about global warming? Money?”
Yep! Enough to build several walls
And a political/social agenda as multiple members of the UN have made clear in their statements.
Where does Al Gore have beach front property?
None that I can find a reference to.
Al Gore’s primary residence is in Tennessee. No doubt spurned by his successes after leaving D.C., h and his wife apparently purchased another mansion on the W. Coast, in Montecito (Santa Barbara), California.
Though considerably closer to the sea than anything in Tennessee, this is not on the beach front, however. This is a nice forested area, with mansions above and below. Many homes have spectacular views.
Santa Barbara is more prone to fires than rising seas.
While the house is set back and up and is “ocean view,” the property is ocean front.
Plenty of references. Here are a few.
And, can you believe, no solar panels?
Now Obama wants to be close to the ocean, too.
Kinda makes one wish the oceans did rise, in certain select locations that is.
Read “The $82 Billion Prediction”
“…..Joining them was British climate physicist Mark Saunders, who argued that insurers could use model predictions from his insurance-industry-funded center to increase profits 30 percent……”
And what would one expect when we get a steady ration of this kind of misinformation in our “news”.
Reinsurers started it. Primary insurers quickly caught on. Gullible state regulators wishing to be thought of as part of the Religion of Climate Change bought it hook, line, and sinker.
When will it be a criminal fraud?
It already is🤯!
Building and rebuilding structures located in wetlands, flood plains and the edge of the ocean should not be subsidized by the taxpayers. Huge damages were racked up recently in NYC and Houston when “normal” storms and hurricanes struck.
Furthermore the sea IS rising about 1′ a century … that’s been happening for 20K years… has nothing to do with climate change… Don’t deny reality!
Sea level rise is local/regional. Sea level is falling along the the Alaska and Scandinavian coasts. It’s rising along the U.S. East Coast and Gulf, but land subsidence is more influential in the relative sea levels than the insignificant contributions from glacier melt.
And the 12 inches/century is a little high. Sea levels rose by about 1.4 mm/yr between 1958-2014, which is about 6 inches per century.
Piecuch et al., 2018
“Here we analyse instrumental data and proxy reconstructions using probabilistic methods to show that vertical motions of Earth’s crust exerted the dominant control on regional spatial differences in relative sea-level trends along the US East Coast during 1900–2017, explaining most of the large-scale spatial variance. Rates of coastal subsidence caused by ongoing relaxation of the peripheral forebulge associated with the last deglaciation are strongest near North Carolina, Maryland and Virginia. Such structure indicates that Earth’s elastic lithosphere is thicker than has been assumed in other models. We also find a substantial coastal gradient in relative sea-level trends over this period that is unrelated to deglaciation and suggests contributions from twentieth-century redistribution of ice and water. Our results indicate that the majority of large-scale spatial variation in long-term rates of relative sea-level rise on the US East Coast is due to geological processes that will persist at similar rates for centuries.”
Whether it’s 6″/ century or more than that… whether it’s subsidence or not, coastal areas and wet lands ware affected by large storms. Building in these zones should be halted and phased out, not subsidized on;y to be washed away again.
Subsidize? Gives me the shivers! I’d rather the insureance companies worry about such things. They have to compete.
Don’t build in wetlands or in sand dunes… and don’t subsidize those who do… the seas are rising as they have for 20 K years
Many of the houses/properties in danger of flooding have been built on land that should have been off limits, and left as natural wildlife habitat.
When you build behind a berm, and put your house up on stilts, just a foot or two above sea level you, the builder, and the insurance company know there is a problem.
There is no easy way to fix this. If I lived in such a place [Not a chance!], I would place several colorful potted flowers leading to the freshly painted door with a “For Sale” sign on it.
A couple of years ago I posted about a report from the “Sea Level Rise Task Force” commissioned by the “Miami-Dade Climate Change Advisory Task Force”. The report, now incorporated in the area’s climate change strategy has three projections of sea level rise. The lowest is from IPCC AR5 RCP8.5 scenario (the most extreme in that report) which projects sea levels to be 31 inches (79 cm) higher in 2100 than in 2015. The highest – from NOAA – projects a sea level rise of 81 inches (206 cm) by 2100.
The tide gauge for Key West shows a linear rise of 2.37 mm a year over the last hundred years. At that rate sea levels will be 8 inches or 20 cm higher than in 2015. Taking extreme modeled projections – even by the standards of the IPCC consensus – over the actual data has lead perverse policy initiatives that are likely to be extremely costly to those who live in Florida.
To paraphrase Stalin, “It’s not what the tide gauges read. It’s what the officially certified readers say they read.”
Here’s a guest post from over at WUWT on the topic more generally.
Note links at bottom to other posts on related issues.
Floating ice such as the Arctic Ice cap has no effect on sea level. Float an ice cube in your Vermouth and check your V level before and after the ice melts. Scare stories involving Arctic Ice are bollocks. Grounded ice such as the Greenland Ice Sheet (or the Antarctic Ice Cap) is a different story. From the Danish Meteorology Society website, Here is a chart of meltwater runoff and SMB (Surface Mass balance) for Greenland Ice over time. Meltwater runoff increased and SMB decreased from 2000 to 2012, but SMB has recently made a strong recovery.
Whilst the 2017-2018 season shows a healthy, albeit encouraging, increase in Greenland Ice Sheet Mass – as here https://www.dmi.dk/en/groenland/maalinger/greenland-ice-sheet-surface-mass-budget – the Light Grey line refers, progressive updates from the DM Institute indicates that the current 2018-19 melt rate (Blue Line) has increased & is now virtually on par with the 2011-2012 season (Red Line) ie; running slightly below the 1981-2010 Mean (Dark Grey line).
If the full year 2018-19 (Blue Line) outcome recovers, or exceeds, the 2017-18 (Light Grey line) result (Fingers’nToes crossed!), that will be a far more telling/convincing argument than a potentially once off outlier that the Alarmists will not enjoy!