By Kirye
and Pierre Gosselin
Global warming is supposed to mean a shorter winter, and thus we should expect a March warming trend for the northern hemisphere.
Today we look at the latest March data now available from the Japan Meteorology Agency (JMA) for France, Ireland and Finland.
As we have seen in other countries, the untampered JMA data show that the month of March has not warmed in these countries in decades.
30 years of March cooling in France
First we plot the mean temperature data for the surface stations in France for which the JMA has sufficient (untampered) data – going back more than 3 decades:
Data source: JMA.
As the above chart shows, only three of the 12 stations plotted show any warming for the month of March. Nine of 12 stations show cooling or no meaningful trend. So also in France spring appears to have been coming a bit over the past three decades.
Ireland – 4 decades of March cooling
Next we plot the mean temperature for the stations in Ireland, also for which the JMA has sufficient data, going back close to four decades.
Ireland is particularly interesting due to its location in the Northeast Atlantic, and so can tell us what impacts oceanic cycles could be having:
. Data source: JMA.
And that impact seems to be a wee bit of cooling. Five of six stations in Ireland show cooling, or flat. CO2 is definitely not driving the climate there.
Finland, the neighbor of Greta Thunberg’s Sweden
Next we plot the March data for Finland, also the stations for which the JMA has adequate data:
Data source: JMA.
Like in Greta Thunberg’s Sweden, Finland’s winters are not getting shorter. The data there show no warming in March taking place in more than 30 years. Winter is taking its time leaving. Nothing is really changing. Why would this be a “crisis”?
In summary, along with Canada, Alaska and Sweden, also Finland, France and Ireland have been showing no March warming.
One of the coldest Aprils on record in Germany
And finally, our friend Snowfan here reports how April, 2021, in Germany is coming in as one of the coolest since recording began in 1881.
The following chart of Germany shows the April mean temperature anomaly so far, up to April 29th, for various locations. Used is the new 1991 – 2020 reference period:
April 2021 temperatures have been running some 3°C below the 1991-2020 mean.
The latest forecast also foresees a cool start for May.
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In my opinion, the reasons for the cold spring are related to the high level of use by shipping, off-shore facilities, etc. The two seas are getting warmer and warmer (http://www.ocean-climate-law.com/12/arch/4.html), but if they are constantly “stirred”, the stored heat is gone in spring. On the one hand, this favors a high pressure trend, which favors little humidity, which results in sunnier days and colder nights. Recent years March/April were similarly
HERE is today (April 1st) temperature anomaly for EUROPE
https://oceansgovernclimate.com/wp-content/uploads/2021/02/48-0501-2021.jpg
Northern Europe air temperature will remain below average in May 2021 according NOAA forecast
https://1ocean-1climate.com/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/22-May-.jpg
Link does not work : Oops! That page can’t be found.
It looks like nothing was found at this location. Maybe try one of the links below or a search?
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Kirye
We know you are smart.
We are glad you believe in real science, presenting data rather than wild guesses of the future climate.
We saw your photo at Real Climate Science, so we know you are cute too.
We know your charts are colorful and could be in a museum of modern art.
But, you put too much information on each chart and they are hard to read. Rather than just complaining I offer a suggestion:
No more than three weather stations per chart
Use dark thick lines for the linear trend lines
Use thin faint lines for the actual data.
The result will be masterpiece charts, IMHO
Thank you for considering my suggestion.
R. Greene
President of your Michigan USA fan club
LOL
Yes, Richard, it’s a problem. Maybe Kirye is just trying to avoid criticism by the trolls of “cherry picking” for only showing some locations? Now she shows many, and the skeptics are up in arms.
Normally I would agree, but given the limited space she has, I don’t see how else she can present a lot of data. Yes, it is messy. I don’t know how to improve on it to satisfy everyone.
Can’t please one’s opposition, can’t please one’s supporters. What is one to do? //;o]
Yonason
I offered my suggestion of more charts … but if that can’t happen, my other two suggestions would help:
The important points are the slope of the trend lines — make them thick bold color coded trend lines.
The supporting data, that look like a bowl of colorful spaghetti, would be much less of a distraction if the lines were very thin and faint (in the background).
They would still be on the chart, but the trend lines would be more visible. I did a survey of the charts with two friends who could not care less about climate change, and they agreed the charts were not legible.
I tried to be nice to Kirye because I try to be nice to skeptics, unlike what I would have said to a climate alarmist who made charts like those.
For some reason I thought my comment would get forwarded to Kirye, and not published here. … But there are really only two words to describe those spaghetti charts: “Oy Vey”