By P Gosselin on 21. June 2017
Climate models overstate global precipitation by almost a half By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited By P Gosselin) Slowly people are realizing that not everything in the climate modeling world is as rosy as once claimed for years. It’s bit like the Tour de France, where racers were once celebrated […]
Posted in Models |
By P Gosselin on 14. June 2017
Climate models in distress: Problems with forecast performance give cause to worry By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) The 2015/16 El Nino 2015/16 is over, and so are the celebrations by the climate alarmists. It’s becoming increasingly clear that the projections made by the climate models were wildly […]
Posted in Models |
By P Gosselin on 6. May 2017
Analyses show that global temperatures continue their rapid cooling trend, as Schneefan here writes. What follows are excerpts of his recent comprehensive analysis. The cooling comes naturally in the wake of the moderate La Nina conditions that have ruled over the past months. In April surface temperatures 2 meters above the ground plummeted as the following […]
Posted in Arctic, Cooling/Temperature, Models |
By Kenneth Richard on 20. April 2017
Climate Models Fail To Simulate Past & Present NH Temperatures Reconstructions Of Northern Hemisphere Temperatures Indicate Medieval Period Was As Warm As Recent Decades Abrantes et al., 2017 Otto and Roberts, 2016 Other NH Reconstructions Indicate Pre-Industrial Temps Were Highly Variable, 1940s As Warm As 2000s Schneider et al., 2015 Stoffel et al., 2015 New Paper: […]
Posted in Medieval Warm Period, Models, Paleo-climatology |
By P Gosselin on 8. April 2017
What follows is a wrap up of an article written by skeptic climate and weather site wobleibtdieerderwaermung.de here. It writes that for thousands of years it has been the solar and ocean cycles that have been influencing the weather worldwide and in Germany. And looking at data objectively, it is pretty clear that there is […]
Posted in Cooling/Temperature, Models |
By P Gosselin on 7. April 2017
Amazon forest by Manaus. Photo: Phil P Harris, CC BY-SA 2.5 Climate Damaging Palm Oil: Rain Deficit in Amazon Due To Deforestation By Dr. Sebastian Lüning And Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt [German text translated/edited by P Gosselin] In a press release on March 13, 2017, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) presented model results on […]
Posted in Drought and Deserts, Models |
By P Gosselin on 31. March 2017
Climate scientists at Switzerland’s renowned ETH Zurich and the University of Bern have long warned of the risks of man-made global warming. But in a brand new study their results now appear to have compelled them to postpone the expected global warming – by a few decades! They now claim that a weaker sun (now […]
Posted in CO2 and GHG, IPCC, Models, Solar Sciences |
By P Gosselin on 29. March 2017
A new paper is out by Rodolfo G. Cionco and Willie W. H. Soon: “Short Term Orbital Forcing (STOF): A quasi-review and a reappraisal of realistic boundary conditions for climate modeling“. It suggests that climate models have neglected to take surrounding astro-climatic parameters correctly into account, and thus their output results are likely even less […]
Posted in Models |
By P Gosselin on 24. March 2017
Climate models fail on the test stand By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt [German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) 20 years ago climate models were celebrated as a huge breakthrough. Finally we were able to reproduce reality in the computer, which had been becoming ever more powerful and faster. Everyone believed that only minor […]
Posted in Misc., Models |
By Kenneth Richard on 13. March 2017
Climate Model Errors = 20 W m-2 CO2 Climate Forcing = 0.2 W m-2 Scott Pruitt, the new head of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, has recently been characterized as a climate science “denialist” by world news organizations. A UK Guardian headline, for example, has claimed that “EPA head Scott Pruitt denies that carbon dioxide causes global […]
Posted in CO2 and GHG, IPCC, Models |
By P Gosselin on 5. February 2017
A SUNDAY MORNING BOMBSHELL UPDATE: “Being retired sure is liberating.” – John Bates. Read: https://judithcurry.com/2017/02/04/climate-scientists-versus-climate-data/#more-22794 =================================== According to a just published article by the Online Mail of the UK here, a “high-level whistleblower” has disclosed that America’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) “breached its own rules on scientific integrity” and “duped” world leaders with manipulated […]
Posted in Activism, Cooling/Temperature, Hockey Team, Models |
By Kenneth Richard on 19. January 2017
What Models Say: ♦ IPCC TAR (2001): “Milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms“ ♦ Kunkel et al., 2002: “Surface conditions favorable for heavy lake-effect snow decreased in frequency by 50% and 90% for the HadCM2 and CGCM1 [models], respectively, by the late 21st Century. This reduction was due almost entirely to … an increase in […]
Posted in Cooling/Temperature, Models |
By P Gosselin on 6. January 2017
As Europe and USA brace for more frigid weather, some are asking if this is what we need to expect to cope with in the future. Now it’s clear that the recent “record warm” 2 years had little to do with CO2, and instead were almost entirely due to the well-known El-Nino phenomenon over the […]
Posted in Arctic, Cooling/Temperature, Models, Oceans |
By Kenneth Richard on 2. January 2017
Climate science is supposed to be settled, right? We are told that there is an overwhelming agreement, or consensus, among scientists that most weather and climate changes that have occurred since the mid-20th century have been caused by human activity — our fossil fuel burning and CO2 emissions in particular. We are told that natural mechanisms that […]
Posted in CO2 and GHG, Cooling/Temperature, Drought and Deserts, Glaciers, Green Follies, Hockey Team, Models, Oceans, Scepticism, Sea Levels, Solar, Tectonics/Volcanoes, Weather |
By P Gosselin on 23. December 2016
If President-elect Donald Trump is looking for places to cut costs, he might want to take a look at the National Weather Service’s seasonal forecasting unit. Yesterday at the Daily Update over at Weatherbell Analytics, veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi looked at the season forecasts, generated by billion dollar super-computers, recently put out by NCEP. Turns out […]
Posted in Models, Weather |
By P Gosselin on 16. December 2016
The Sun in November 2016. And models coming back to reality By Frank Bosse and Fritz Vahrenholt (Translated/edited by P Gosselin)The star at the center of our solar system last month again approached bottom with its solar activity. The monthly mean for sunspot number (SSN) was 21.4. Just how low this is, is clearly illustrated by […]
Posted in Models, Oceans, Solar Sciences |
By P Gosselin on 20. November 2016
What follows is another example of climate science making up a theory to fit an observation. Of course, most of us suspect that natural cycles are what’s really at play here. ============================================================ Warmer Mediterranean turns the Sahel green Anthropogenic climate change contributes to fanning of the West African monsoon by moisture from the Mediterranean Climate […]
Posted in Drought and Deserts, Models |
By P Gosselin on 10. November 2016
Models and experts of every type have had plenty of setbacks making forecasts for chaotic systems. Recent examples include the election results and Nobel laureate Paul Krugman’s prediction that the US market would dive in response to the election of Trump (it in fact went on and set a new all-time record high). If anything has lost […]
Posted in Arctic, Cooling/Temperature, Models |
By P Gosselin on 29. October 2016
Climate science critical geologist Dr. Sebastian Lüning and chemist Professor Fritz Vahrenholt informed readers here that a new book has been recently published: “Evidence-Based Climate Science: Data Opposing CO2 Emissions as the Primary Source of Global Warming“. The book’s publisher is glacier geologist Don Easterbrook, Western Washington University. At their site Lüning and Vahrenholt write […]
Posted in IPCC, Models, Paleo-climatology |
By P Gosselin on 2. October 2016
Mr. Kyoji Kimoto has asked me to post the following essay, which tells us leading climate sensitivity scientist Dr. Robert Cess admits the IPCC assumptions are erroneous. (Note: Because WordPress didn’t handle some of the scientific notation, I had to cut and paste parts of the text as images). =================================== Dr. Robert D. Cess admits mathematical errors […]
Posted in CO2 and GHG, IPCC, Models |
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