Models

Little Evidence Showing Climate “Tipping Points” Are Tipping At All! …Artefacts Of Simplistic Models

Geologist Dr. Sebastian Luning and chemist Prof. Fritz Vahrenohlt have recently looked at the so-called climate “Tipping Points” hypothesis, one that is heavily promoted by the alarmist Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK). The idea of the climate irreversibly tipping into something completely different and potentially hostile once certain thresholds are reached is one often put […]

Profound Admission: New Nature Study Shows Models Still Very Embryonic, "Hardly Trustworthy" Says Top Climate Modeler

Profound Admission: New Nature Study Shows Models Still Very Embryonic, “Hardly Trustworthy” Says Top Climate Modeler

Spiegel science journalist Axel Bojanowski held an interview with climate modeling scientist Edouard Zorita of the GKSS Research Center in Geestacht near Hamburg, Germany. Eduardo Zorita, paleoclimatologist, GKSS Research Centre Germany tells Spiegel climate models have a long way to go, much remains poorly understood and that they are hardly trustworthy. Photo:  http://coast.gkss.de/staff/zorita/; CC BY-SA […]

Huge NOAA Correction! 2016 Likely Will Not Even Be Close To Setting New Temperature Record As La Niña Kicks In

NOAA/CFSv2 strongly corrects ENSO forecast Schneefan at German climate science site wobleibtdieerderwaermung.de writes here that the NOAA’s ENSO model CFSv2 saw considerable deficiency with its recent forecasting, which not long ago foresaw ongoing global warming El Niño conditions for 2016. What follows is the BOM Climate Model Summary from 16 March 2016 with the NOAA/CFSv2 […]

Three Brand New Peer-Reviewed Papers Refute IPCC Global Warming Science, Climate Models!

What follows are the 3 newly published papers and their abstracts which flat out conclude IPCC alarmist science may be fatally flawed. Hat-tip Kenneth Richard. The main points are emphasized in bold print. 1. Trends in Extreme Weather Events since 1900 – An Enduring Conundrum for Wise Policy Advice It is widely promulgated and believed […]

Two German Scientists Say GISS Has "Squandered Much Credibility" ...Playing A "Shady Role"

Two German Scientists Say GISS Has “Squandered Much Credibility” …Playing A “Shady Role”

By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (Translated/edited by P Gosselin) Photo: Vahrenholt/Lüning; Source: DkS The GISS-Institute of NASA is playing a shady role in the climate debate. For years it was directed by creedal climate activist James Hansen, and has since squandered much credibility. Now his years-long colleague Gavin Schmidt is at the […]

German Scientists: Urgent Corrections Needed …Global Temperature Rise Far Below “Best Estimate” Model Projection!

By now most German readers here know the excellent site by global warming science skeptics Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt. The two authored the book “Die kalte Sonne“, which upset the German climate science establishment. The book is also available in English under the title: The Neglected Sun. At their Die kalte Sonne site […]

Veteran Meteorologist Bastardi Calls Policymaking Based On "Grossly Overwarmed" Models "Insanity"

Veteran Meteorologist Bastardi Calls Policymaking Based On “Grossly Overwarmed” Models “Insanity”

The whole of this week’s Weatherbell’s Saturday Summary by high profile meteorologist Joe Bastardi of course is excellent, but this week especially the first 4 minutes or so dealing with climate are of particular interest. In it the veteran meteorologist, who has an unusual talent for making long-range forecasts, brings up some excellent points as the […]

Climate/Geology Professor Friedrich-Karl Ewert Says “Standards Of Science Not Met” By Climate Models

A few days ago I posted a piece about an article written by award-winning journalist Günter Ederer, who had reported on Prof. Karl-Friedrich Ewert’s analysis of NASA temperature data – data that he found to have been “incredibly altered” to show warming. That NTZ post has been shared or liked close to 20,000 times so […]

A Hell Week For Global Warming Alarmists: Crumbling Consensus, Inconvenient Data And Policy Rejection

It hasn’t been a good week for the global warming alarmists. Three events have rocked the movement and caused alarmists to go into a state of alarm. Putin calls global warming “a fraud” The first event Russian President Vladimir Putin, who used to play along with the issue, has come out and called global warming science […]

Germany October 2015 Almost 2°C Below Climate Model Projections! …0.8°C Colder Than 1981 – 2010 Mean

Germany’s DWD national weather service now presents the preliminary weather results for October 2015 in Germany, a region that finds itself in the middle of Europe. Like September, also October is coming in cooler than normal, i.e. no sign of climate change. The real fact of the matter is that if it weren’t for all the […]

Scientists: No Need For "Economic Kamikaze Program In Paris" ...2°C Warming Won't Be Reached Even With IPCC Numbers!

Scientists: No Need For “Economic Kamikaze Program In Paris” …2°C Warming Won’t Be Reached Even With IPCC Numbers!

Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt and Frank Bosse present a guest post, reviewed by Nicolas Lewis, explaining why the IPCC’s claimed climate forcing by CO2 is overly inflated and that the world does not have to be rushing madly to eliminate CO2 emissions. Note: The above title is my own, and not of the authors. -PG ================================================ […]

What Using NONE Of The World’s Fossil Fuels Would Do To Human Society …Hundreds Of Millions Dead In Just Weeks!

The latest dubious climate scare story just out involves a far-fetched thought-spiel that creates a scenario of what would happen if all the world’s fossil fuels were burned – that scenario all based on an inflated CO2 climate sensitivity and crystal ball quality science. The theorized result would be the possible melting of Antarctic ice and a 120+meter rise […]

New Study On 20th Century Sea Level Rise Signals That IPCC 21st Century Projections May Be Grotesquely Overblown

New Study On 20th Century Sea Level Rise Signals That IPCC 21st Century Projections May Be Grotesquely Overblown

Germany’s University of Siegen issued a press release on a recent study conducted by climate scientists. It turns out that natural oceanic cycles indeed do play a far greater role on sea level fluctuations than first believed. Hat-tip: Die kalte Sonne. Therefore, because the factors were not correctly considered in the past, we can immediately […]

German Climate Professors Confirm CO2 Climate Sensitivity Projections Seriously Exaggerated!

German Climate Professors Confirm CO2 Climate Sensitivity Projections Seriously Exaggerated!

Note: The NTZ site remains crippled due to WordPress upgrade from version 4.2.2 to 4.2.3. Until the issue gets resolved new posts can only be viewed through the NTZ homepage. Reader comments function is also disabled by the recent upgrade. ========================================= At the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE), retired climate scientist Hans-Joachim Lüdecke […]

Consensus Gone: Only 56% Of Nobel Laureates Sign Mainau Declaration 2015 On Climate Change!

Consensus Gone: Only 56% Of Nobel Laureates Sign Mainau Declaration 2015 On Climate Change!

The online German flagship daily Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ) conducted an interview with Australian astrophysicist and Nobel Prize laureate Brian Schmidt, revealing that so far only 36 of 65 Nobel laureates attending the Lindau Nobel laureate conference have signed the so-called 2015 Mainau Declaration, a document urging world leaders to act quickly on climate change. The FAZ interview […]

Heartland Institute Now Distributing 'The Neglected Sun' ...Scientists Say IPCC "Grossly Incorrect"

Heartland Institute Now Distributing ‘The Neglected Sun’ …Scientists Say IPCC “Grossly Incorrect”

A reader recently left a comment saying he had been having difficulty getting a copy of “The Neglected Sun“, the best-selling non-alarmist climate science book showing how man-made climate change is nowhere near as serious as the IPCC wants us to believe it is. Order here now. Good news! The Die kalte Sonne site here […]

Max Planck Society Confirms Warming Pause! …Scrambles To Explain Widespread Model Failure

Max Planck Society: “Temperatures stagnant approximately since 1998, but at high level” By Sebastian Lüning and Fritz Vahrenholt [Translated/edited by P. Gosselin] Attempting midterm predictions The Max-Planck Society publishes the magazine “Max Planck Forschung” on a regular basis. In its 1/2015 issue beginning on page 68 one finds the article: “…and now on the climate […]

Surprise! Orbiting Carbon Observatory Shows Models Have Little Resemblance To Reality

Surprise! Orbiting Carbon Observatory Shows Models Have Little Resemblance To Reality

By Ed Caryl On 1 July 2014, NASA launched OCO-2, the second attempt at orbiting a global carbon dioxide observatory. In December, the first global map was released. Compare this map with a frame from a previously released video showing a model of what the CO2 distribution was thought to be for roughly the same […]

German Scientists Call Matthew England’s Attempt To Declare Climate Models “Robust” A Real Joke

By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof Fritz Vahrenholt It’s rather peculiar: None of the IPCC climate models projected the warming pause of the last 17 years. An real embarrassment. Scientist Stefan Rahmstorf was devastated, and so publicly disputed that there even was a pause at all. Naturally this strategy cannot be successful over the long run. Then […]

Natural Cycles In A Random World Are Unmistakable...Future Holds Nothing To Fear

Natural Cycles In A Random World Are Unmistakable…Future Holds Nothing To Fear

By Ed Caryl Recently, Roy Spencer posted a graph that appeared to be a data record of some kind for the last 100 years. Then he revealed that it was generated in Excel with a simple random number function. The graph showed details that resembled things like El Niño’s and La Niña’s, pauses, and sudden […]