Models

Scientists: ‘Falsified’ Climate Models ‘Do Not Employ Known Physics Fully’…‘Don’t Agree With Reality'

Scientists: ‘Falsified’ Climate Models ‘Do Not Employ Known Physics Fully’…‘Don’t Agree With Reality’

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Share this…FacebookTwitterMany new scientific papers affirm climate model results conflict with one another, diverge from observations, and aren’t fully rooted in established physics. Image Source: Essex and Tsonis, 2018 Climate models are predicated on the assumption that greenhouse gases exert fundamental control on the Earth’s climate system.  That’s why for decades it’s been predicted that disaster […]

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New University Of Exeter Study Finds Climate Models Skewed, Overhype CO2 ..."Uncertainties Rigorously Concealed"!

New University Of Exeter Study Finds Climate Models Skewed, Overhype CO2 …”Uncertainties Rigorously Concealed”!

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Share this…FacebookTwitterUniversity of Exeter: Role of natural climate factors is underestimated By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) One of the main criticisms of the IPCC climate assessment is the marginalization of natural climate drivers. Indrani Roy of the University of Exeter published a paper in Frontiers, promoting greater […]

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Snow Forecast To Reach Florida, Mexico... This Decade's November Snow Cover Highest On Record

Snow Forecast To Reach Florida, Mexico… This Decade’s November Snow Cover Highest On Record

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Share this…FacebookTwitterObservations surprise global warming alarmists as snow forecast to fall in Florida, this decade’s November snow cover hits record high, Arctic ice volume stabilizes, models having hard time with forecasts… Yesterday Joe Bastardi at Weatherbell’s  Daily Update showed that December in the US and Canada will be starting on the unusually snowy side. As […]

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Max Planck Institute Climate Modeler Admits: "Reprieve Extended 10 Years" …"Earlier Models Too Sensitive"!

Max Planck Institute Climate Modeler Admits: “Reprieve Extended 10 Years” …”Earlier Models Too Sensitive”!

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Share this…FacebookTwitterClimate modeler Jochem Marotzke: more time to decarbonize, earlier climate models were too sensitive ========================================================= Correction (12 November 2018): Dr. Lüning writes that he had to modify his post on Marotzke a bit. “Marotzke did not mean CO2 climate sensitivity but that more CO2 is buffered, adding less to the atmosphere.” However, the goalposts […]

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US CFSV2 Model "Horrible Bust" October Forecast ...Month Ends Up Brutally Cold Across Western Hemisphere!

US CFSV2 Model “Horrible Bust” October Forecast …Month Ends Up Brutally Cold Across Western Hemisphere!

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Share this…FacebookTwitterCorrection: It’s the CFSV2 that is “busted”, and not the GFS as mistakenly reported earlier. ========================================= At his Weatherbell Saturday Summary here, veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi takes a hard look at the US CFSV2 October-2018 forecast and compares it to what really happened. “Horrible bust” For energy dealers and those in the agriculture business, […]

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Get Ready For Insane Climate Ambulance Chasing Headlines: Global Warming Causing "Unprecedented Hurricane" Florence!

Get Ready For Insane Climate Ambulance Chasing Headlines: Global Warming Causing “Unprecedented Hurricane” Florence!

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Share this…FacebookTwitterMy daughter will be visiting Wilmington next week, and so Hurricane Florence has been very much on my mind. Days ago, almost all weather models showed the cyclone curving out into the North Atlantic and going nowhere, but they’ve turned out to be wrong. Bastardi saw it a week ago Already a week ago […]

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Media Claims Of More Heat Waves Refuted By Multiple Recent Studies, Longterm Data

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Share this…FacebookTwitterNo longterm trend in heatwaves in North America By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) The playbook is well-known: After a drought, heat wave or flood occurs, journalists and climate alarmists fall all over themselves in the race to issue shrill warnings that this is only the beginning […]

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RSS Suspected Of “Serious Data Doping”, German Scientists Say…”Values Fudged To Fit Models”!

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Share this…FacebookTwitterSerious Climate Doping Suspicion Against RSS: Satellite Temperatures Raised One And Half Tenths Of A Degree By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (Translated/edited by P Gosselin) Temperatures can be measured from the ground and from satellites. Satellite data have two versions, UAH and RSS. The version of UAH (University of Alabama, Huntsville) makes […]

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GRACE Satellite Measurements Show Models For Water Storage Trends Have Been Useless So Far!

GRACE Satellite Measurements Show Models For Water Storage Trends Have Been Useless So Far!

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Share this…FacebookTwitterA recently published paper appearing in the PNAS authored by Bridget R. Scanlon et al reveals that calculations of water storage in many river basins from commonly used global computer models differ markedly from storage estimates from GRACE satellites. Source: PNAS, Bridget R. Scanlon et al Because we increasingly rely on models to project […]

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German Scientists: Chris Folland's Findings On Climate Models "Good For a Loud Laugh"..."Pulling Tricks Like Troopers"

German Scientists: Chris Folland’s Findings On Climate Models “Good For a Loud Laugh”…”Pulling Tricks Like Troopers”

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Share this…FacebookTwitterJust add volcanic dust whenever climate models some cooling Original image by NASA By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) The temperature of the last 100 years was also the topic of a new publication by Folland et al. 2018. The authors are very much at home in the […]

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What Scientific 'Consensus'? 254 New 2018 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

What Scientific ‘Consensus’? 254 New 2018 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

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Share this…FacebookTwitterIn just the first 6 months of 2018,  254 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise serve to question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media sources. […]

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6 New Papers: Climate Models Are Literally Worth ZERO - Even Water Vapor + Feedback 'Does Not Exist'

6 New Papers: Climate Models Are Literally Worth ZERO – Even Water Vapor + Feedback ‘Does Not Exist’

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Share this…FacebookTwitterThe abysmal track record of computer models in simulating climate trends has increasingly been highlighted in the scientific literature.  Recently published papers indicate that in some cases climate models actually get it right zero percent of the time (Luo et al., 2018; Hanna et al., 2018), or that hydrological models are off by a factor […]

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Model Uncertainties Too Great To Reliably Advise Policymakers, German Scientists Say

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Share this…FacebookTwitterGerman scientists Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt — and new recent studies — show climate models have a long way to go before they can be used for advising policymakers. Climate sciences cannot reliably advise policymakers as long as model uncertainties cannot be reduced By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text […]

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Top Climate Scientist: CO2 Model Assumptions “Invalid”…”Natural Climatic Variations Dominate”!

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Share this…FacebookTwitterThe addition of an esteemed Norwegian climate scientist to the London-based GWPF will help bring some sobriety back to a science that has all too often been immersed in alarmism. The London-based Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) recently announced Professor Ole Humlum of Norway was joining its Academic Advisory Council. This brings another persuasive […]

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485 Scientific Papers Published In 2017 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm

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Share this…FacebookTwitter‘Consensus’ Science Takes A Hit In 2017 During 2017,  485 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media. These 485 […]

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Model Failure…New Papers Show Climate Models Unreliable…At Times “Near-Zero Performance”!

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Share this…FacebookTwitterAt the German Die kalte Sonne site here, Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt present another two recent papers showing that models are failing to simulate the climate and cannot be used to make prognoses. ======================================== What are temperature prognoses really worth? Climate models fail completely in the all-important reality tests [German text […]

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New Paper: Humans Caused Central U.S. To Cool By -0.35°C Since The 1940s As Crop Yields Soared

New Paper: Humans Caused Central U.S. To Cool By -0.35°C Since The 1940s As Crop Yields Soared

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Share this…FacebookTwitterPost-1940s ‘Agricultural Intensification’ Caused Deep Cooling, 400% Crop Growth In a new paper published in Geophysical Research Letters, three MIT scientists assert that the human influence on the climate of the Central United States is dominated by agricultural activity rather than greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Human activity has caused a significant long-term cooling trend (-0.35°C […]

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Review Of Climate Models Show They Are Unreliable For Forecasting…”So Much Disappointment”

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Share this…FacebookTwitterBefore getting to the subject of climate models, first two small points worth bringing up: Eco-Trumpism spreading Firstly, it appears that Trump’s policies are sending powerful political impulses worldwide. For example ultra-alarmist German climate and energy site klimaretter here bemoans that leading socialist Sigmar Gabriel seems to be turning into an “Eco-Trump”. Gabriel actually […]

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Expert Climate Scientists Conclude From Historical Trends That Anthropogenic Factors Are Overweighted In Models

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Share this…FacebookTwitterWhat follows is another paper to add to the list of 400 peer-reviewed papers published this year which show claims surrounding man-made global warming are in fact hyped up. ================================== By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) On July 4 in the journal Atmospheric and Climate Sciences […]

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Again And Again: Experts And New Findings Show No Link Between European Storm Activity And CO2

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Share this…FacebookTwitterDWD: For the past there is no clear evaluation showing change in the strength and intensity of storms over Germany By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P. Gosselin) This month two major North Sea storms have hit Europe rather severely, and not surprisingly the usual climate ambulance chasers were […]

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