Models

New Paper: Investigative Journalism Professor Slams Today's 'Fake News' Climate Science Reporting

New Paper: Investigative Journalism Professor Slams Today’s ‘Fake News’ Climate Science Reporting

Professor: Climate Journalism Awash In ‘Emotional Propaganda’, ‘Mythological Constructs’ Too Much Reliance On Models, ‘Consensus’ Profile Source, Image Source A University of Wollongong (Australia) investigative journalism professor with a research interest in ecological science and exposing environmental fraud has just published a scathing indictment of the climate science journalism industry in the academic journal Asia […]

Germany Experts Revise (Junk) Model Projections For Summer Precipitation After String Of Failures

Since the Met Office’s infamous prediction of “barbecue summers” and snowless winters, Germany’s “climate experts” too have made some awfully embarrassing and sorrowfully wrong model projections. For example they too predicted that Central Europe’s winters would become snowless and summers would be more like the 2003 summer: long stretches of heat and drought conditions. However, […]

Climate Models Out Of Whack …Also Warming From Arctic Soot Underestimated

What follows is another report on how it’s “back-to-the drawing-board” for climate models. ============================================== Climate models underestimate soot amounts and their warming effect in the Arctic By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (Translation/editing of German text by P Gosselin) Soot (black carbon aerosol) is a climate warming aerosol. Some years ago we recognized […]

Recent Studies Find Climate Models (Used By Policymakers) Are Way Off The Mark

Climate models overstate global precipitation by almost a half By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited By P Gosselin) Slowly people are realizing that not everything in the climate modeling world is as rosy as once claimed for years. It’s bit like the Tour de France, where racers were once celebrated […]

“Projections Made By Climate Models Wildly Exaggerated,” Scientists Say

Climate models in distress: Problems with forecast performance give cause to worry By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) The 2015/16 El Nino 2015/16 is over, and so are the celebrations by the climate alarmists. It’s becoming increasingly clear that the projections made by the climate models were wildly […]

Data Analyses Show Rapid Global Surface Cooling, Growing Arctic Ice Thickness

Data Analyses Show Rapid Global Surface Cooling, Growing Arctic Ice Thickness

Analyses show that global temperatures continue their rapid cooling trend, as Schneefan here writes. What follows are excerpts of his recent comprehensive analysis. The cooling comes naturally in the wake of the moderate La Nina conditions that have ruled over the past months. In April surface temperatures 2 meters above the ground plummeted as the following […]

New Paper Asserts 'Biased' Climate Models Underestimate Natural Variability And The Warmth Of The Past

New Paper Asserts ‘Biased’ Climate Models Underestimate Natural Variability And The Warmth Of The Past

Climate Models Fail To Simulate Past & Present NH Temperatures Reconstructions Of Northern Hemisphere Temperatures Indicate Medieval Period Was As Warm As Recent Decades Abrantes et al., 2017  Otto and Roberts, 2016 Other NH Reconstructions Indicate Pre-Industrial Temps Were Highly Variable, 1940s As Warm As 2000s Schneider et al., 2015 Stoffel et al., 2015 New Paper: […]

Pause Or Not, Climate Models Continue To Grossly Overstate Global Temperature Trends

What follows is a wrap up of an article written by skeptic climate and weather site wobleibtdieerderwaermung.de here. It writes that for thousands of years it has been the solar and ocean cycles that have been influencing the weather worldwide and in Germany. And looking at data objectively, it is pretty clear that there is […]

'Climate Protecting' Palm Oil Backfires ...Deforestation May Be Leading To Drought!

‘Climate Protecting’ Palm Oil Backfires …Deforestation May Be Leading To Drought!

Amazon forest by Manaus. Photo: Phil P Harris, CC BY-SA 2.5 Climate Damaging Palm Oil: Rain Deficit in Amazon Due To Deforestation By Dr. Sebastian Lüning And Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt [German text translated/edited by P Gosselin] In a press release on March 13, 2017, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) presented model results on […]

Breaking: In New Study Leading Warmist Scientists Determine Sun Plays Major Role – Warming Delayed by Decades!

Climate scientists at Switzerland’s renowned ETH Zurich and the University of Bern have long warned of the risks of man-made global warming. But in a brand new study their results now appear to have compelled them to postpone the expected global warming – by a few decades! They now claim that a weaker sun (now […]

Beleaguered Models: Harvard Physicist/New Study Say Daily Insolation Errors Not Accounted For!

Beleaguered Models: Harvard Physicist/New Study Say Daily Insolation Errors Not Accounted For!

A new paper is out by Rodolfo G. Cionco and Willie W. H. Soon: “Short Term Orbital Forcing (STOF): A quasi-review and a reappraisal of realistic boundary conditions for climate modeling“. It suggests that climate models have neglected to take surrounding astro-climatic parameters correctly into account, and thus their output results are likely even less […]

Recent Research Shows Climate Models Are Mostly “Black Box” Fudging, Not Real Science

Climate models fail on the test stand By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt [German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) 20 years ago climate models were celebrated as a huge breakthrough. Finally we were able to reproduce reality in the computer, which had been becoming ever more powerful and faster. Everyone believed that only minor […]

Uncertainties, Errors In Radiative Forcing Estimates 10 - 100 Times Larger Than Entire Radiative Effect Of Increasing CO2

Uncertainties, Errors In Radiative Forcing Estimates 10 – 100 Times Larger Than Entire Radiative Effect Of Increasing CO2

Climate Model Errors = 20 W m-2 CO2 Climate Forcing = 0.2 W m-2 Scott Pruitt, the new head of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, has recently been characterized as a climate science “denialist” by world news organizations.   A UK Guardian headline, for example, has claimed that “EPA head Scott Pruitt denies that carbon dioxide causes global […]

Heat’s On At NOAA As “High Level Whistle Blower” Exposes Data Fraud, “Scientific Integrity Breaches”!

A SUNDAY MORNING BOMBSHELL UPDATE: “Being retired sure is liberating.” – John Bates. Read: https://judithcurry.com/2017/02/04/climate-scientists-versus-climate-data/#more-22794 =================================== According to a just published article by the Online Mail of the UK here, a “high-level whistleblower” has disclosed that America’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) “breached its own rules on scientific integrity” and “duped” world leaders with manipulated […]

Defying IPCC Models, U.S. Blizzard Frequency Has Nearly Quadrupled Since 1960, As U.S. Continues Cooling

Defying IPCC Models, U.S. Blizzard Frequency Has Nearly Quadrupled Since 1960, As U.S. Continues Cooling

What Models Say: ♦  IPCC TAR (2001):  “Milder winter temperatures will decrease heavy snowstorms“ ♦   Kunkel et al., 2002:  “Surface conditions favorable for heavy lake-effect snow decreased in frequency by 50% and 90% for the HadCM2 and CGCM1 [models], respectively, by the late 21st Century. This reduction was due almost entirely to … an increase in […]

Shock Freeze A Harbinger Of Things To Come? The Many Signs Of More Cooling!

Shock Freeze A Harbinger Of Things To Come? The Many Signs Of More Cooling!

As Europe and USA brace for more frigid weather, some are asking if this is what we need to expect to cope with in the future. Now it’s clear that the recent “record warm” 2 years had little to do with CO2, and instead were almost entirely due to the well-known El-Nino phenomenon over the […]

Crumbling 'Consensus': 500 Scientific Papers Published In 2016 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm

Crumbling ‘Consensus’: 500 Scientific Papers Published In 2016 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm

Climate science is supposed to be settled, right? We are told that there is an overwhelming agreement, or consensus, among scientists that most weather and climate changes that have occurred since the mid-20th century have been caused by human activity — our fossil fuel burning and CO2 emissions in particular.  We are told that natural mechanisms that […]

National Weather Service's Multi-Billion Dollar Models Fail ...Totally Botched Forecasts!

National Weather Service’s Multi-Billion Dollar Models Fail …Totally Botched Forecasts!

If President-elect Donald Trump is looking for places to cut costs, he might want to take a look at the National Weather Service’s seasonal forecasting unit. Yesterday at the Daily Update over at Weatherbell Analytics, veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi looked at the season forecasts, generated by billion dollar super-computers,  recently put out by NCEP. Turns out […]

Current Solar Cycle Weakest In 2 Centuries! And Grant Foster’s “Far-Fetched” Model Claims

The Sun in November 2016.  And models coming back to reality By Frank Bosse and Fritz Vahrenholt (Translated/edited by P Gosselin)The star at the center of our solar system last month again approached bottom with its solar activity. The monthly mean for sunspot number (SSN) was 21.4. Just how low this is, is clearly illustrated by […]

Max Planck Institute (Model Calculations): Sahel Is Greening (Due To Human Activity)!

What follows is another example of climate science making up a theory to fit an observation. Of course, most of us suspect that natural cycles are what’s really at play here. ============================================================ Warmer Mediterranean turns the Sahel green Anthropogenic climate change contributes to fanning of the West African monsoon by moisture from the Mediterranean Climate […]