By P Gosselin on 29. January 2019
Share this…FacebookTwitterAt Die kalte Sonne site here, Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt and Frank Bosse published an analysis of Gebbie et al 2019. What follows is the translation in the English. ============================================================ Climate surprises A paper very worth reading from the USA from January 2019 in Science (Geoffrey Gebbie of the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution/Peter Huybers of […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, Models, Oceans |
By Kenneth Richard on 24. January 2019
Share this…FacebookTwitter“It is not possible to reliably support the view of the presence of global warming in the sense of an enhanced greenhouse effect due to human activities.” — Drs. Varotsos and Efstathiou, 2019 Image Source: Varotsos and Efstathiou, 2019 In a step-by-step dissection of the anthropogenic global warming (AGW) hypothesis, or “greenhouse hypothesis of global […]
Posted in CO2 and GHG, Models |
By Kenneth Richard on 14. January 2019
Share this…FacebookTwitterThere are large regions of the globe where observations indicate there has been no warming (even cooling) during the last decades to century. Climate models rooted in the assumption that fossil fuel emissions drive dangerous warming dismiss these modeling failures and project temperature increases of 3° – 10°C by 2100 for these same regions […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG, Models |
By P Gosselin on 19. December 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterJochem Marotzke, Director of Germany’s Max Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPIM), says we would have to wait 20 years before seeing any impact on climate from CO2 reductions, based on model simulations. Climate variability prevails… ===================================================== Reduction of CO2 emissions possibly would have no effect on climate over the coming 20 years By Die […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG, Models |
By P Gosselin on 18. December 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterPeople familiar with the chaos that is weather will agree that seasonal forecasts based merely on computer simulations are highly speculative and involve much guesswork. The quality of their output leaves little to be desired. As much as some of these forecasts may be presented with authoritative tones, in the end they all come with […]
Posted in Models, Natural Oceanic Oscillations, Natural Variability, Weather |
By P Gosselin on 15. December 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterThe European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) here posted a video of excerpts of a German Parliamentary hearing on climate change in the German Federal Parliament featuring Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) scientist Anders Levermann and atmospheric physicist Prof. Nir Shaviv of Hebrew University in Jerusalem. The hearing was to look […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG, Hockey Team, Models, Scepticism |
By Kenneth Richard on 6. December 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterMany new scientific papers affirm climate model results conflict with one another, diverge from observations, and aren’t fully rooted in established physics. Image Source: Essex and Tsonis, 2018 Climate models are predicated on the assumption that greenhouse gases exert fundamental control on the Earth’s climate system. That’s why for decades it’s been predicted that disaster […]
Posted in Climate Politics, Models |
By P Gosselin on 1. December 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterUniversity of Exeter: Role of natural climate factors is underestimated By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) One of the main criticisms of the IPCC climate assessment is the marginalization of natural climate drivers. Indrani Roy of the University of Exeter published a paper in Frontiers, promoting greater […]
Posted in Models |
By P Gosselin on 30. November 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterObservations surprise global warming alarmists as snow forecast to fall in Florida, this decade’s November snow cover hits record high, Arctic ice volume stabilizes, models having hard time with forecasts… Yesterday Joe Bastardi at Weatherbell’s Daily Update showed that December in the US and Canada will be starting on the unusually snowy side. As […]
Posted in Arctic, Models |
By P Gosselin on 10. November 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterClimate modeler Jochem Marotzke: more time to decarbonize, earlier climate models were too sensitive ========================================================= Correction (12 November 2018): Dr. Lüning writes that he had to modify his post on Marotzke a bit. “Marotzke did not mean CO2 climate sensitivity but that more CO2 is buffered, adding less to the atmosphere.” However, the goalposts […]
Posted in Models |
By P Gosselin on 27. October 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterCorrection: It’s the CFSV2 that is “busted”, and not the GFS as mistakenly reported earlier. ========================================= At his Weatherbell Saturday Summary here, veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi takes a hard look at the US CFSV2 October-2018 forecast and compares it to what really happened. “Horrible bust” For energy dealers and those in the agriculture business, […]
Posted in Models, Weather |
By P Gosselin on 8. September 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterMy daughter will be visiting Wilmington next week, and so Hurricane Florence has been very much on my mind. Days ago, almost all weather models showed the cyclone curving out into the North Atlantic and going nowhere, but they’ve turned out to be wrong. Bastardi saw it a week ago Already a week ago […]
Posted in Hurricanes/Tornados, Models |
By P Gosselin on 31. August 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterNo longterm trend in heatwaves in North America By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) The playbook is well-known: After a drought, heat wave or flood occurs, journalists and climate alarmists fall all over themselves in the race to issue shrill warnings that this is only the beginning […]
Posted in Alarmism, Drought and Deserts, Hurricanes/Tornados, Models |
By P Gosselin on 19. August 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterSerious Climate Doping Suspicion Against RSS: Satellite Temperatures Raised One And Half Tenths Of A Degree By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (Translated/edited by P Gosselin) Temperatures can be measured from the ground and from satellites. Satellite data have two versions, UAH and RSS. The version of UAH (University of Alabama, Huntsville) makes […]
Posted in Activism, Cooling/Temperature, Models |
By P Gosselin on 29. July 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterA recently published paper appearing in the PNAS authored by Bridget R. Scanlon et al reveals that calculations of water storage in many river basins from commonly used global computer models differ markedly from storage estimates from GRACE satellites. Source: PNAS, Bridget R. Scanlon et al Because we increasingly rely on models to project […]
Posted in Models, Stupid Predictions |
By P Gosselin on 25. July 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterJust add volcanic dust whenever climate models some cooling Original image by NASA By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) The temperature of the last 100 years was also the topic of a new publication by Folland et al. 2018. The authors are very much at home in the […]
Posted in Cooling/Temperature, Data Manipulation, Models, Tectonics/Volcanoes |
By Kenneth Richard on 28. June 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterIn just the first 6 months of 2018, 254 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise serve to question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media sources. […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG, Cooling/Temperature, Models, Natural Oceanic Oscillations, Natural Variability, Paleo-climatology, Scepticism, Sea Ice, Sea Levels |
By Kenneth Richard on 17. May 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterThe abysmal track record of computer models in simulating climate trends has increasingly been highlighted in the scientific literature. Recently published papers indicate that in some cases climate models actually get it right zero percent of the time (Luo et al., 2018; Hanna et al., 2018), or that hydrological models are off by a factor […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, Models |
By P Gosselin on 25. April 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterGerman scientists Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt — and new recent studies — show climate models have a long way to go before they can be used for advising policymakers. Climate sciences cannot reliably advise policymakers as long as model uncertainties cannot be reduced By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text […]
Posted in Models |
By P Gosselin on 6. April 2018
Share this…FacebookTwitterThe addition of an esteemed Norwegian climate scientist to the London-based GWPF will help bring some sobriety back to a science that has all too often been immersed in alarmism. The London-based Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) recently announced Professor Ole Humlum of Norway was joining its Academic Advisory Council. This brings another persuasive […]
Posted in Models, Oceans, Scepticism, Solar Sciences |
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