Models

Expert Climate Scientists Conclude From Historical Trends That Anthropogenic Factors Are Overweighted In Models

What follows is another paper to add to the list of 400 peer-reviewed papers published this year which show claims surrounding man-made global warming are in fact hyped up. ================================== By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) On July 4 in the journal Atmospheric and Climate Sciences an […]

Again And Again: Experts And New Findings Show No Link Between European Storm Activity And CO2

DWD: For the past there is no clear evaluation showing change in the strength and intensity of storms over Germany By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P. Gosselin) This month two major North Sea storms have hit Europe rather severely, and not surprisingly the usual climate ambulance chasers were out […]

New Working Paper: “Advent Of Computer Modelling Has Corrupted Climate Science”

A new working paper here by Dr. Anthonie Bastiaan Ruighaver concludes that climate science has been corrupted by computer models and that it is time to get back to how science is supposed to function. The working paper is titled: “The Power of Falsification, Developing a Greenhouse Gas Theory“. What follows are some excerpts that I’ve […]

400 Scientific Papers Published In 2017 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm

A Growing Volume Of Evidence Undercuts ‘Consensus’ Science Update: For a detailed response to the YouTube video criticizing our list, see: Deconstruction Of The Critical YouTube Response To Our 400+ ‘Skeptical’ Papers Compilation   During the first 10 months of 2017, 400 435 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 […]

2 New Papers: Models 'Severely Flawed', Temp Changes Largely Natural, CO2 Influence 'Half' Of IPCC Claims

2 New Papers: Models ‘Severely Flawed’, Temp Changes Largely Natural, CO2 Influence ‘Half’ Of IPCC Claims

Atmospheric Scientists Slam Fundamentals of the Anthropogenic Global Warming Theory Scafetta et al., 2017    Natural climate variability, part 1: Observations versus the modeled predictions [T]he AGWT [Anthropogenic Global Warming Theory] was globally advocated by the IPCC in 2001 because it appeared to be supported by the ‘infamous’ Hockey Stick temperature reconstructions by Mann et al. […]

Storms Expose Just How Huge Model Uncertainty Can Be...Even With 6-Hour Forecasts!

Storms Expose Just How Huge Model Uncertainty Can Be…Even With 6-Hour Forecasts!

Last Wednesday evening, Florida State University graduate student Levi Cowan showed at his Tropical Tidbits site his analysis of what was later to develop into tropical storm Nate in the Gulf of Mexico. His analysis exposed the great differences – thus huge uncertainty – between the US GFS and the European ECMWF models for the early projected […]

New Paper: Investigative Journalism Professor Slams Today's 'Fake News' Climate Science Reporting

New Paper: Investigative Journalism Professor Slams Today’s ‘Fake News’ Climate Science Reporting

Professor: Climate Journalism Awash In ‘Emotional Propaganda’, ‘Mythological Constructs’ Too Much Reliance On Models, ‘Consensus’ Profile Source, Image Source A University of Wollongong (Australia) investigative journalism professor with a research interest in ecological science and exposing environmental fraud has just published a scathing indictment of the climate science journalism industry in the academic journal Asia […]

Germany Experts Revise (Junk) Model Projections For Summer Precipitation After String Of Failures

Since the Met Office’s infamous prediction of “barbecue summers” and snowless winters, Germany’s “climate experts” too have made some awfully embarrassing and sorrowfully wrong model projections. For example they too predicted that Central Europe’s winters would become snowless and summers would be more like the 2003 summer: long stretches of heat and drought conditions. However, […]

Climate Models Out Of Whack …Also Warming From Arctic Soot Underestimated

What follows is another report on how it’s “back-to-the drawing-board” for climate models. ============================================== Climate models underestimate soot amounts and their warming effect in the Arctic By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (Translation/editing of German text by P Gosselin) Soot (black carbon aerosol) is a climate warming aerosol. Some years ago we recognized […]

Recent Studies Find Climate Models (Used By Policymakers) Are Way Off The Mark

Climate models overstate global precipitation by almost a half By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited By P Gosselin) Slowly people are realizing that not everything in the climate modeling world is as rosy as once claimed for years. It’s bit like the Tour de France, where racers were once celebrated […]

“Projections Made By Climate Models Wildly Exaggerated,” Scientists Say

Climate models in distress: Problems with forecast performance give cause to worry By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) The 2015/16 El Nino 2015/16 is over, and so are the celebrations by the climate alarmists. It’s becoming increasingly clear that the projections made by the climate models were wildly […]

Data Analyses Show Rapid Global Surface Cooling, Growing Arctic Ice Thickness

Data Analyses Show Rapid Global Surface Cooling, Growing Arctic Ice Thickness

Analyses show that global temperatures continue their rapid cooling trend, as Schneefan here writes. What follows are excerpts of his recent comprehensive analysis. The cooling comes naturally in the wake of the moderate La Nina conditions that have ruled over the past months. In April surface temperatures 2 meters above the ground plummeted as the following […]

New Paper Asserts 'Biased' Climate Models Underestimate Natural Variability And The Warmth Of The Past

New Paper Asserts ‘Biased’ Climate Models Underestimate Natural Variability And The Warmth Of The Past

Climate Models Fail To Simulate Past & Present NH Temperatures Reconstructions Of Northern Hemisphere Temperatures Indicate Medieval Period Was As Warm As Recent Decades Abrantes et al., 2017  Otto and Roberts, 2016 Other NH Reconstructions Indicate Pre-Industrial Temps Were Highly Variable, 1940s As Warm As 2000s Schneider et al., 2015 Stoffel et al., 2015 New Paper: […]

Pause Or Not, Climate Models Continue To Grossly Overstate Global Temperature Trends

What follows is a wrap up of an article written by skeptic climate and weather site wobleibtdieerderwaermung.de here. It writes that for thousands of years it has been the solar and ocean cycles that have been influencing the weather worldwide and in Germany. And looking at data objectively, it is pretty clear that there is […]

‘Climate Protecting’ Palm Oil Backfires …Deforestation May Be Leading To Drought!

Climate Damaging Palm Oil: Rain Deficit in Amazon Due To Deforestation By Dr. Sebastian Lüning And Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt [German text translated/edited by P Gosselin] In a press release on March 13, 2017, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) presented model results on the impacts of drought on the Amazon rainforest. What follows is […]

Breaking: In New Study Leading Warmist Scientists Determine Sun Plays Major Role – Warming Delayed by Decades!

Climate scientists at Switzerland’s renowned ETH Zurich and the University of Bern have long warned of the risks of man-made global warming. But in a brand new study their results now appear to have compelled them to postpone the expected global warming – by a few decades! They now claim that a weaker sun (now […]

Beleaguered Models: Harvard Physicist/New Study Say Daily Insolation Errors Not Accounted For!

Beleaguered Models: Harvard Physicist/New Study Say Daily Insolation Errors Not Accounted For!

A new paper is out by Rodolfo G. Cionco and Willie W. H. Soon: “Short Term Orbital Forcing (STOF): A quasi-review and a reappraisal of realistic boundary conditions for climate modeling“. It suggests that climate models have neglected to take surrounding astro-climatic parameters correctly into account, and thus their output results are likely even less […]

Recent Research Shows Climate Models Are Mostly “Black Box” Fudging, Not Real Science

Climate models fail on the test stand By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt [German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) 20 years ago climate models were celebrated as a huge breakthrough. Finally we were able to reproduce reality in the computer, which had been becoming ever more powerful and faster. Everyone believed that only minor […]

Uncertainties, Errors In Radiative Forcing Estimates 10 - 100 Times Larger Than Entire Radiative Effect Of Increasing CO2

Uncertainties, Errors In Radiative Forcing Estimates 10 – 100 Times Larger Than Entire Radiative Effect Of Increasing CO2

Climate Model Errors = 20 W m-2 CO2 Climate Forcing = 0.2 W m-2 Scott Pruitt, the new head of the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, has recently been characterized as a climate science “denialist” by world news organizations.   A UK Guardian headline, for example, has claimed that “EPA head Scott Pruitt denies that carbon dioxide causes global […]

Heat’s On At NOAA As “High Level Whistle Blower” Exposes Data Fraud, “Scientific Integrity Breaches”!

A SUNDAY MORNING BOMBSHELL UPDATE: “Being retired sure is liberating.” – John Bates. Read: https://judithcurry.com/2017/02/04/climate-scientists-versus-climate-data/#more-22794 =================================== According to a just published article by the Online Mail of the UK here, a “high-level whistleblower” has disclosed that America’s National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) “breached its own rules on scientific integrity” and “duped” world leaders with manipulated […]