Models

German Climate Professors Confirm CO2 Climate Sensitivity Projections Seriously Exaggerated!

German Climate Professors Confirm CO2 Climate Sensitivity Projections Seriously Exaggerated!

Note: The NTZ site remains crippled due to WordPress upgrade from version 4.2.2 to 4.2.3. Until the issue gets resolved new posts can only be viewed through the NTZ homepage. Reader comments function is also disabled by the recent upgrade. ========================================= At the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE), retired climate scientist Hans-Joachim Lüdecke […]

Consensus Gone: Only 56% Of Nobel Laureates Sign Mainau Declaration 2015 On Climate Change!

Consensus Gone: Only 56% Of Nobel Laureates Sign Mainau Declaration 2015 On Climate Change!

The online German flagship daily Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ) conducted an interview with Australian astrophysicist and Nobel Prize laureate Brian Schmidt, revealing that so far only 36 of 65 Nobel laureates attending the Lindau Nobel laureate conference have signed the so-called 2015 Mainau Declaration, a document urging world leaders to act quickly on climate change. The FAZ interview […]

Heartland Institute Now Distributing 'The Neglected Sun' ...Scientists Say IPCC "Grossly Incorrect"

Heartland Institute Now Distributing ‘The Neglected Sun’ …Scientists Say IPCC “Grossly Incorrect”

A reader recently left a comment saying he had been having difficulty getting a copy of “The Neglected Sun“, the best-selling non-alarmist climate science book showing how man-made climate change is nowhere near as serious as the IPCC wants us to believe it is. Order here now. Good news! The Die kalte Sonne site here […]

Max Planck Society Confirms Warming Pause! …Scrambles To Explain Widespread Model Failure

Max Planck Society: “Temperatures stagnant approximately since 1998, but at high level” By Sebastian Lüning and Fritz Vahrenholt [Translated/edited by P. Gosselin] Attempting midterm predictions The Max-Planck Society publishes the magazine “Max Planck Forschung” on a regular basis. In its 1/2015 issue beginning on page 68 one finds the article: “…and now on the climate […]

Surprise! Orbiting Carbon Observatory Shows Models Have Little Resemblance To Reality

Surprise! Orbiting Carbon Observatory Shows Models Have Little Resemblance To Reality

By Ed Caryl On 1 July 2014, NASA launched OCO-2, the second attempt at orbiting a global carbon dioxide observatory. In December, the first global map was released. Compare this map with a frame from a previously released video showing a model of what the CO2 distribution was thought to be for roughly the same […]

German Scientists Call Matthew England’s Attempt To Declare Climate Models “Robust” A Real Joke

By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof Fritz Vahrenholt It’s rather peculiar: None of the IPCC climate models projected the warming pause of the last 17 years. An real embarrassment. Scientist Stefan Rahmstorf was devastated, and so publicly disputed that there even was a pause at all. Naturally this strategy cannot be successful over the long run. Then […]

Natural Cycles In A Random World Are Unmistakable...Future Holds Nothing To Fear

Natural Cycles In A Random World Are Unmistakable…Future Holds Nothing To Fear

By Ed Caryl Recently, Roy Spencer posted a graph that appeared to be a data record of some kind for the last 100 years. Then he revealed that it was generated in Excel with a simple random number function. The graph showed details that resembled things like El Niño’s and La Niña’s, pauses, and sudden […]

Björn Stevens’ New Paper In Nature Has Kevin Trenberth Trembling…Lindzen’s Iris Sees Vindication

NOTE: I upgraded to the latest version of WordPress this morning. But now it appears readers are unable to leave comments because no “Reply” button is appearing. Will work on this….please be patient… -PG ============================= Change in the climate debate? Climate models start converging towards reality By Frank Bosse and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt [Translated, condensed by P. […]

What Caused the Global Warming Pause or Why Hate the Hiatus?

What Caused the Global Warming Pause or Why Hate the Hiatus?

Depending on which global temperature data one looks at, temperatures have not increased in the last 18 or so years. The reasons proposed have been various, ranging from natural cycles to increased aerosols, to heat escaping to space or the deep ocean. Perhaps there are some other reasons that have not been considered. The following […]

Georgia Tech Climatologist Curry: “No Sign Of Slowdown” In AMOC…Sees Atlantic “Arctic Sea Ice Recovery”, Hints Of Greenland Cooling

Michael Mann’s and Stefan Rahmstorf’s recent AMOC paper has been promptly and widely discredited since it came out, see here WUWT, WUWT, and NTZ. The sharp criticism has since picked up. Veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi for example blasted the paper in a comment at WUWT, calling the claims “nonsense” and reminded that renowned climatology expert […]

German Meteorologist Says Climate Models Have Gotten 11 Of The Past 12 European Summers Wrong!

German meteorologist Dominik Jung writes at wetter.net that the first preliminary forecast for Central Europe for the upcoming summer issued by the NOAA does not look very favorable. Expect a “grisly summer”, he writes. He writes that over the last 10 years spring has generally been on the warm and sunny side, but that Central […]

Spiegel: NOAA “Embarrassment” Over “Four Years Of Failed El Niño Forecasts” …”Numerous Buoys Have Ceased To Function”!

We keep hearing that the climate and weather forecasting tools are gaining in sophistication, and correspondingly in reliability. Climate model simulators claim to be able to see decades, even centuries, into the future! Yet Spiegel Science journalist Axel Bojanowski has an analysis here which looks at the recent spate of failed El Niño predictions by the NOAA, […]

Spiegel Demolishes Syria War-Climate Change Paper By Kelley et al. …”Hardly Tenable” … “Distraction From Real Problems”

Spiegel science journalist Axel Bojanowski here looks at the new paper “Climate change in the Fertile Crescent and implications of the recent Syrian drought,” PNAS, March 2, 2015 by Kelley et al, which claims the 2007−2010 drought contributed to the war in the region. A number of major news outlets, such as the New York Times […]

“Stunning Development” … EPA Chief Doesn’t Even Know If Climate Projections Are Rights Or Wrong!

It is indeed stunning. A must-watch. It’s as damaging a performance on behalf of a cause that you will ever see. EPA chief Gina McCarthy also says she doesn’t even know whose models policy is being based on. She says that the models diverging from actual observations “on the whole makes no difference to the […]

Solar Cycle Weakening…And: German Analysis Shows Climate Models Do Overestimate CO2 Forcing

By Frank Bosse and Fritz Vahrenholt In February the sun was very quiet in activity. The observed sunspot number (SSN) was only 44.8, which is only 53% of the mean value for this month into the solar cycles – calculated from the previous systematic observations of the earlier cycles. Figure 1: Solar activity of the current […]

Climate Models Turn Out To Be “Fairy Tales” … Long-Term Central Europe Winters Show Distinct COOLING Trend!

Josef Kowatsch and Stefan Kämpfe at the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) analyze the winter data from Germany’s DWD Weather Service an conclude that winters have been cooling. The two authors present a lengthy analysis of German winter trends and what factors impact them the most. Today I will focus on the first […]

Fluctuating Atlantic … German Experts Say “Things Could Become Very Bitter For The IPCC Forecast Models”!

The latest post by Frank Bosse and Fritz Vahrenholt looks at solar cycle 24 in January, and the climate impacts of the North Atlantic. The two authors write that the IPCC models may be in for a bitter surprise. ================================== The sun in January 2015 and Atlantic prognoses By Frank Bosse and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt […]

German Experts: New Paper By Gleisner Shows 2013 Cowtan And Way Arctic Data Hole Paper Was A Lemon

German experts Sebastian Lüning and Fritz Vahrenholt tell at their Die kalte Sonne site us why the 2013 Cowtan and Way paper has proven to be a flop. ======================================== Failed spectacularly: Arctic data hole theory for the warming pause collapses By Sebastian Lüning and Fritz Vahrenholt (Translated, edited by P Gosselin) For quite some time […]

The Sun And Ocean Cycles Drive Global Temperature...Natural Factors Bringing Cooling For Next 30 Years

The Sun And Ocean Cycles Drive Global Temperature…Natural Factors Bringing Cooling For Next 30 Years

It has been clear for a long time to those who simply observe climate that temperatures are driven by, in the long term, orbital and Earth tilt cycles, the Milanković cycles, in the medium term by solar cycles with ocean cycles. like the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation (AMO), and in the short term, by ocean and […]

German Analysis: “Current Warm Period Is No Anthropogenic Product” – Major Natural Cycles Show No Signs Of Warming!

Climate cycles and their extrapolation into the future By Dr. Dietrich E. Koelle (Translated/edited by P Gosselin) As the reconstruction of the climate’s development in the past by proxy data shows, there’s a series of temperature cycles that appear to be unknown, or ignored by many climate scientists. Among these are the larger climate cycles […]