Models

Top Climate Scientist: CO2 Model Assumptions “Invalid”…”Natural Climatic Variations Dominate”!

The addition of an esteemed Norwegian climate scientist to the London-based GWPF will help bring some sobriety back to a science that has all too often been immersed in alarmism. The London-based Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) recently announced Professor Ole Humlum of Norway was joining its Academic Advisory Council. This brings another persuasive voice […]

485 Scientific Papers Published In 2017 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm

‘Consensus’ Science Takes A Hit In 2017 During 2017,  485 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media. These 485 new […]

Model Failure…New Papers Show Climate Models Unreliable…At Times “Near-Zero Performance”!

At the German Die kalte Sonne site here, Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt present another two recent papers showing that models are failing to simulate the climate and cannot be used to make prognoses. ======================================== What are temperature prognoses really worth? Climate models fail completely in the all-important reality tests [German text translated/edited […]

New Paper: Humans Caused Central U.S. To Cool By -0.35°C Since The 1940s As Crop Yields Soared

New Paper: Humans Caused Central U.S. To Cool By -0.35°C Since The 1940s As Crop Yields Soared

Post-1940s ‘Agricultural Intensification’ Caused Deep Cooling, 400% Crop Growth In a new paper published in Geophysical Research Letters, three MIT scientists assert that the human influence on the climate of the Central United States is dominated by agricultural activity rather than greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Human activity has caused a significant long-term cooling trend (-0.35°C between […]

Review Of Climate Models Show They Are Unreliable For Forecasting…”So Much Disappointment”

Before getting to the subject of climate models, first two small points worth bringing up: Eco-Trumpism spreading Firstly, it appears that Trump’s policies are sending powerful political impulses worldwide. For example ultra-alarmist German climate and energy site klimaretter here bemoans that leading socialist Sigmar Gabriel seems to be turning into an “Eco-Trump”. Gabriel actually had […]

Expert Climate Scientists Conclude From Historical Trends That Anthropogenic Factors Are Overweighted In Models

What follows is another paper to add to the list of 400 peer-reviewed papers published this year which show claims surrounding man-made global warming are in fact hyped up. ================================== By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) On July 4 in the journal Atmospheric and Climate Sciences an […]

Again And Again: Experts And New Findings Show No Link Between European Storm Activity And CO2

DWD: For the past there is no clear evaluation showing change in the strength and intensity of storms over Germany By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P. Gosselin) This month two major North Sea storms have hit Europe rather severely, and not surprisingly the usual climate ambulance chasers were out […]

New Working Paper: “Advent Of Computer Modelling Has Corrupted Climate Science”

A new working paper here by Dr. Anthonie Bastiaan Ruighaver concludes that climate science has been corrupted by computer models and that it is time to get back to how science is supposed to function. The working paper is titled: “The Power of Falsification, Developing a Greenhouse Gas Theory“. What follows are some excerpts that I’ve […]

400 Scientific Papers Published In 2017 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm

A Growing Volume Of Evidence Undercuts ‘Consensus’ Science Update: For a detailed response to the YouTube video criticizing our list, see: Deconstruction Of The Critical YouTube Response To Our 400+ ‘Skeptical’ Papers Compilation   During 2017, 485 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s […]

2 New Papers: Models 'Severely Flawed', Temp Changes Largely Natural, CO2 Influence 'Half' Of IPCC Claims

2 New Papers: Models ‘Severely Flawed’, Temp Changes Largely Natural, CO2 Influence ‘Half’ Of IPCC Claims

Atmospheric Scientists Slam Fundamentals of the Anthropogenic Global Warming Theory Scafetta et al., 2017    Natural climate variability, part 1: Observations versus the modeled predictions [T]he AGWT [Anthropogenic Global Warming Theory] was globally advocated by the IPCC in 2001 because it appeared to be supported by the ‘infamous’ Hockey Stick temperature reconstructions by Mann et al. […]

Storms Expose Just How Huge Model Uncertainty Can Be...Even With 6-Hour Forecasts!

Storms Expose Just How Huge Model Uncertainty Can Be…Even With 6-Hour Forecasts!

Last Wednesday evening, Florida State University graduate student Levi Cowan showed at his Tropical Tidbits site his analysis of what was later to develop into tropical storm Nate in the Gulf of Mexico. His analysis exposed the great differences – thus huge uncertainty – between the US GFS and the European ECMWF models for the early projected […]

New Paper: Investigative Journalism Professor Slams Today's 'Fake News' Climate Science Reporting

New Paper: Investigative Journalism Professor Slams Today’s ‘Fake News’ Climate Science Reporting

Professor: Climate Journalism Awash In ‘Emotional Propaganda’, ‘Mythological Constructs’ Too Much Reliance On Models, ‘Consensus’ A University of Wollongong (Australia) investigative journalism professor with a research interest in ecological science and exposing environmental fraud has just published a scathing indictment of the climate science journalism industry in the academic journal Asia Pacific Media Educator. Pulling […]

Germany Experts Revise (Junk) Model Projections For Summer Precipitation After String Of Failures

Since the Met Office’s infamous prediction of “barbecue summers” and snowless winters, Germany’s “climate experts” too have made some awfully embarrassing and sorrowfully wrong model projections. For example they too predicted that Central Europe’s winters would become snowless and summers would be more like the 2003 summer: long stretches of heat and drought conditions. However, […]

Climate Models Out Of Whack …Also Warming From Arctic Soot Underestimated

What follows is another report on how it’s “back-to-the drawing-board” for climate models. ============================================== Climate models underestimate soot amounts and their warming effect in the Arctic By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (Translation/editing of German text by P Gosselin) Soot (black carbon aerosol) is a climate warming aerosol. Some years ago we recognized […]

Recent Studies Find Climate Models (Used By Policymakers) Are Way Off The Mark

Climate models overstate global precipitation by almost a half By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited By P Gosselin) Slowly people are realizing that not everything in the climate modeling world is as rosy as once claimed for years. It’s bit like the Tour de France, where racers were once celebrated […]

“Projections Made By Climate Models Wildly Exaggerated,” Scientists Say

Climate models in distress: Problems with forecast performance give cause to worry By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) The 2015/16 El Nino 2015/16 is over, and so are the celebrations by the climate alarmists. It’s becoming increasingly clear that the projections made by the climate models were wildly […]

Data Analyses Show Rapid Global Surface Cooling, Growing Arctic Ice Thickness

Data Analyses Show Rapid Global Surface Cooling, Growing Arctic Ice Thickness

Analyses show that global temperatures continue their rapid cooling trend, as Schneefan here writes. What follows are excerpts of his recent comprehensive analysis. The cooling comes naturally in the wake of the moderate La Nina conditions that have ruled over the past months. In April surface temperatures 2 meters above the ground plummeted as the following […]

New Paper Asserts 'Biased' Climate Models Underestimate Natural Variability And The Warmth Of The Past

New Paper Asserts ‘Biased’ Climate Models Underestimate Natural Variability And The Warmth Of The Past

Climate Models Fail To Simulate Past & Present NH Temperatures Reconstructions Of Northern Hemisphere Temperatures Indicate Medieval Period Was As Warm As Recent Decades Abrantes et al., 2017  Otto and Roberts, 2016 Other NH Reconstructions Indicate Pre-Industrial Temps Were Highly Variable, 1940s As Warm As 2000s Schneider et al., 2015 Stoffel et al., 2015 New Paper: […]

Pause Or Not, Climate Models Continue To Grossly Overstate Global Temperature Trends

What follows is a wrap up of an article written by skeptic climate and weather site wobleibtdieerderwaermung.de here. It writes that for thousands of years it has been the solar and ocean cycles that have been influencing the weather worldwide and in Germany. And looking at data objectively, it is pretty clear that there is […]

‘Climate Protecting’ Palm Oil Backfires …Deforestation May Be Leading To Drought!

Climate Damaging Palm Oil: Rain Deficit in Amazon Due To Deforestation By Dr. Sebastian Lüning And Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt [German text translated/edited by P Gosselin] In a press release on March 13, 2017, the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) presented model results on the impacts of drought on the Amazon rainforest. What follows is […]