Reader Kurt in Switzerland points out that Germany’s Climate Pope John Schellnhuber, Director of the end-of-times Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), has just postponed the timepoint when man’s CO2 emissions must reach a peak and start their (rapid) downward trend.
Two days ago I quoted Professor Schellnhuber, who said:
At the latest by 2030 Co2 emissions must reach their peak and start downward.”
That deadline appeared to be new, so Kurt in Switzerland checked if that was the deadline Schellnhuber had given in the past. Kurt writes:
In 2011, Schellnhuber insisted that the emissions curve needed to peak no later than 2020 in order to meet the 2 degree warming target. http://www.wbgu.de/wbgu_jg2011_ZfE.pdf (See p. 7 of 34).”
Indeed in 2011 here Prof. Schellnhuber wrote:
The global emissions trend reversal must occur no later than 2020 [in order to assure compliance to the 2-degree C limit].”
Three years ago Schellnhuber was warning we had to turn things around by 2020 at the latest, or else we would be doomed. Now suddenly we’ve just been given 10 more years?
Now what could have possibly compelled Prof. Schellnhuber to recalculate a new peak time? Perhaps it was the sudden the realization that his expectation of a possible trend change by 2020 was one of Lucy in the Sky with Diamonds? Global CO2 emissions have not even yet started to slow down, and a trend reversal point is nowhere near in sight. Major emerging industrial countries like China and India are still seeing rapid, accelerating CO2 emissions growth.
Even Schellnhuber’s home country of Germany, supposedly a model for cutting CO2 emissions, has not managed to reduce CO2 emissions since 2000 – despite more than tripling its renewable energy capacity at a cost of hundreds of billions of euros, as EIKE shows here today:
CO2 emissions from electricity are depicted by the red line. Renewable energy capacity by the blue line. It’s not working! Source: BDEW
The story is the same in neighboring Austria. Die Presse here quotes Austrian Green Party spokeswoman Christiane Brunner:
According to an evaluation by participants of the UN Climate Conference in Lima Peru, Austria has not ‘saved a single gram of CO2.’ […]
In 1990 Austria saw CO2 emissions of 78 million tonnes; in 2005 it was 82 million tonnes. ‘When one calculates the EU2020 taregts, Austria will end up once again at only 78 million tonnes in the year 2020 – and that only if additional measures get implemented,’ Brunner criticizes.”
We can certainly expect Professor Schellnhuber to make yet another recalculation in the year 2018 or so, pushing back yet again the deadline for a trend change to 2040 or even 2050. This of course is as remote from science as one could possibly get. Professor Schellnhuber and his scientists in Potsdam are rapidly making themselves to a laughing stock.
31 responses to “Goal Post Migration Alert! Father of 2°C Target Schellnhuber Postpones CO2 Emissions Peak 10 Years: From 2020 To 2030!”
Another great catch @ntz.
Of course, this new goalpost makes much more sense, as the well informed climate scientist Bob Geldof said the world could end in 2030.
PS. I have stopped buying green bananas and, no, you can’t call me crazy!
PPS Try watermelons, they are always (over)ripe.
Man kann übrigens mit folgenden Link-Thread auf die relevante .pdf-Seite direkt-aufrufbar verlinken:
“Global CO2 emissions have not even yet started to slow down, and a trend reversal point is nowhere near in sight. Major emerging industrial countries like China and India are still seeing rapid, accelerating CO2 emissions growth. “
This statement gives weight to the lie that humans are the main source of atmospheric CO2.
We are not, rge rest of nature is. We do not control atmospheric CO2 levels.
It’s nice to see that the ever resourceful German Development Bank (KFW) has earmarked $200 million (USD) support in form of Green Credit Line for the development of renewable energy and energy efficiency projects.
Renate Von Bodden also disclosed that another facility worth €5 million (Euros) has been set aside for technical assistance through the KFW, adding that the German agency is endowed with required experience that would be useful to Nigerians in developing their capacities in renewable energy projects.
“Also, he stated that after the last bi-national meeting in Berlin, the Germany have approved the one megawatt renewable electricity project for the University of Ibadan.
This, he said, would also create opportunities for research, as he observed that Nigerians are tired of the nuisance created by diesel run generators.”
Nuisance? Diesel? Out of my head I have difficulty imagining anything more reliable than a Diesel. Also, Nigeria has oil, perfect match. These guys are getting funny as they’re trying to justify all the stolen taxpayer money sloshing in all directions.
Pierre, you mentioned the southern neighbour of Germany, Austria, but not the eastern neighbour, the Czech republic, where they still use nuclear reactors. Surely the CO2 problem lies with the absence of nuclear power generation?
“Now what could have possibly compelled Prof. Schellnhuber to recalculate a new peak time?”
Maybe the Chinese targets.
Shame? Schellnhuber? He used to be a fixture on German state TV back when Global Warming was the moral panic of the day. Schellnhuber wouldn’t know shame or embarassment if it bit him in the ass.
It is like a screen or a carnival mask, carried in front of the alarmists, 10 years in front. After all, it is just one digit they need to change; we must reverse the trend in 2 (that’s right) 0 (correct) 2-3-4-5-etc, and 0 (again, correct).
So, out of 4 digits in the timetable for climate disaster, only 1 needs to change. Which means that 75% of the prediction is right, right? Just like in Himalayagate, 2035 or 2350 so what? They are 75% right anyway.
They know what year it is?
For Schelly? Any year between 1934 and 1944.
h/t to Adrian O. (commenting at Andy Revkin’s Dot Earth at the NY Times) for the link to the “Welt im Wandel” pamphlet put out by Schellnhuber’s WBGU.
Greenpeace jackboots trampling the rights of small inconsequential nations. Happily ignoring Peruvian laws limiting access to the Nazca lines, to produce a photo they could easily have photoshopped. But that would mean respecting other people.
Greenpeace Feldmarshall now heading to Peru to apologize.
“The Peruvian government said it would prosecute the activists who took part. ”
What ever happened to those who were let out of Russia just before Christmas last year?
Greenpeace said they will accept “reasonable consequences”. Given their reasoning capacity and the fact they believe to be above the laws of nations, they won’t accept any.
Yeah, well step across the line…
DirkH asks: “what could possibly gave compelled Prof. Schellnhuber to recalculate a new peak time?”
Since he is advising Frau Merkel on climate policy, what does this mean for future German emission targets? Will those also be postponed 10 years into the future?
Official German policies and what gets done are two different things.
Schellnhuber seems to be a mostly decorative figure now.
Merkel used to have herself called the Climate Chancellor as long as that was needed to outgreen the Greens. Now, the Greens concentrate on promoting uncontrolled mass immigration and some other, unpalatable, ingredients of the culture revolution agenda, so, Merkel never mentions climate these days, she knows it has become political poison.
CO2 emissions peak is a moving target just like a nuclear fusion power.
My prediction: CO2 emissions will peak when a fusion becomes available.
“Greenpeace Feldmarshall now heading to Peru to apologize.”
File under “2 wrongs don’t make a right.”
Peru should take this goon directly to jail – if they let his glider land at all.
By the way, the CO2 emissions drop post 2007 was due to massive economic downturn. What people should have keyed on was that while human CO2 emissions dropped, global atmospheric CO2 levels continued to rise unabated. If human caused emissions were the primary contributor to atmospheric CO2 content, one would have expected the rate of rise to fall. In fact, there is no discernible change in the rate of atmospheric CO2 increase even though human emissions fell.
From the UK Telegraph
“Climate scientists at the Royal Society produce a 60 second guide addressing common assertions made by people who dismiss climate change “
Well, didn’t address any of my assertions – e.g. that there is no positive water vapor feedback in reality, only in models. They do not see a need to change their tactics as long as fresh taxpayer money keeps rolling in.
Here is another goalpost move which occurred around the end of November.
Late this year Prof. Wadhams changed his prediction of an ice-free Arctic from 2016 to 2020.
New Lies of “ClimatePope” Schellnhuber:
[…] https://notrickszone.com/2014/12/10/goal-post-migration-alert-father-of-2c-target-schellnhuber-postpo… […]
The supply of postponements is infinite.