Not only should we be concerned about the overall cooling that is now in the works for the globe, as we reported here, but for those of us in Central Europe we can now forget about getting out the sundry summer items for at least another week.
The frost on my car’s windshield yesterday morning here in the north German lowlands was a sign of what lies ahead.
The forecast for Central Europe shows the month of April getting sharply colder, rather than warmer like it’s supposed to. The latest forecast even sees snow down in the north German flatlands next Monday.
At Weatherbell Analytics, the forecast snow was impressive enough for veteran meteorologist Joe Bastardi to mention it yesterday in his daily weather video. Joe put up an NCEP chart depicting the temperature anomaly for the coming days ahead for Europe and also warned of possible snowfall for Germany:
NCEP image cropped at Weatherbell. Hat-tip: Dan F.
Though temperatures that are 6°C below normal are not really so unusual, what is unusual is the forecast for snow for this time of year. Recall how top climatologists, e.g. David Viner and Mojib Latif, told us 15 years ago snow would disappear even in the wintertime – never mind late April.
Great Britain has already gotten a taste of the white stuff and cold that is about to hit the remainder of Europe.
Little wonder climatologists have had to scramble and think up of new reasons to explain the inconvenient cold events and the overall warming pause. Many of these reasons have been nothing new, and have been in fact long well-known. Like the Rossby Waves, for example.
Though they ignore the many studies showing weather extremes have not increased, the ultra-alarmist Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) has produced a video explaining the Rossby Waves, which I think is very useful.
But as is always the case with the PIK, one has to be careful when discerning fact from theory, or just plain alarmist fantasy, in the information they put out. The general rule for the PIK is: If it’s alarmist, then it’s science. If it’s not alarmist, then they ignore it or downplay it.
Also note how in his daily video Joe Bastardi reminds us that the “permanent drought” forecasts for Texas recently made by “climate experts” have suddenly and already crumbled as the region gets doused by heavy rainfall. Yet another alarmist scenario that has turned out to be totally bogus.
29 responses to “Snow Now A Thing Of Late April. Cold Blast With Possible Snow Set To Grip Central Europe!”
You know, Pierre, that sod will go into shock again. Can you create a safe space somewhere on your blog where he doesn’t have to read this?
I guess snow in April has never ever happened before?
And the children song (“April april, it does what it wants”) was talking about weather strictly excluding snow?
The weather forecast is showing snow in a´single town, 6 days ahead.
is this for real?
You didn’t read. Snow is unusual LATE in April.
Read here as well: http://www.tz.de/welt/wetter-froestel-fruehling-deutschland-steht-kaelteschock-bevor-zr-6324861.html
“You didn’t read. Snow is unusual LATE in April.”
January 2016 was 1.8°C above the norm.
March 2016, which you proclaimed a “march winter” actually was close to normal (-0.3°C below the norm):
So will April be, what January was for warm weather? Or another basically normal month, which was hyped to be spectacular cold?
Again you are not reading. I wrote about late April, and not the whole month. I expect April overall will come in close to normal – thanks in part to the natural lagging effects of the recent El Nino.
January was the spike from the El Nino WEATHER event.
GET OVER IT !!
What has January got to do with this post? Once again you seek to derail a discussion
“What has January got to do with this post? Once again you seek to derail a discussion”
January was really abnormal. It was much too warm.
March, which was named a “march winter” here, was more or less normal. Not significantly cold, nor a extreme “winter” event.
So my question is simple: do we expect April to be a cold event similar to the warm event in January or will it be a dud (lots of talk about cold and snow, invisible in the data) like March was?!?
Meanwhile, here in the US state of Colorado:
“4ft of Global Warming Cancels Denver Cannabis Rally.”
“A large public event, a celebration of Cannabis culture, was cancelled in Denver on Sunday, because of heavy snowfall…I’m sure our hearts go out to Denver’s Cannabis community.”
“Recall how top climatologists, e.g. David Viner and Mojib Latif, told us 15 years ago snow would disappear even in the wintertime – never mind late April.”
That is false. Read the original article:
“heavy snow will return occasionally” and that “Snow will probably cause chaos in 20 years time”.
“Also note how in his daily video Joe Bastardi reminds us that the “permanent drought” forecasts for Texas recently made by “climate experts” have suddenly and already crumbled as the region gets doused by heavy rainfall. Yet another alarmist scenario that has turned out to be totally bogus.”
This is also false. Instead we actually expect drought conditions under global warming conditions, broken by heavy rain (hotter air can carry more water).
Sorry, but Viner’s and Latif’s predictions are legendary. http://dailycaller.com/2014/03/04/top-5-failed-snow-free-and-ice-free-predictions/
“Sorry, but Viner’s and Latif’s predictions are legendary. ”
again, the article gives the full context:
If somebody says “kids will not know snow” but later says “Heavy snow will return occasionally”, then you have to put these points together.
You should also factor in the other examples in the article. The guy from the ice scating club, who simply says that it was done outdoors but now is only possible indoors. Or even the wolf example.
People do not expect to see no snow never ever. But they expect snow to be a rare and fleeting event. Snow (or ice on lakes) will change in many places from several day events, that allows a real experience for kids, into something absent, unusable (the snow transformed into mud before school is over) or catastrophic (the rare real snow event hitting unprepared communities not used to it).
As the article directly contradicts the “no more snow ever” claim, i do not know why this nonsense is repeated so often.
But it is even worse in these situations, which basically are exactly what was predicted by these scientists:
Winter was completely AWOL before January last season. Then we got a few snow events, but the snow basically vanished immediately again. And if we are lucky (or rather not), we might have another one of those freak and useless “snow events” next week.
That is exactly, what the Independent article describes, if you read beyond the on sentence that sceptics prefer to quote:
Here’s the link to the Independent’s story (read the link itself): http://www.independent.co.uk/environment/snowfalls-are-now-just-a-thing-of-the-past-724017.html
Too embarrassing I suppose, and so the Independent took the story down.
Okay, your scientists are right. Late April snows will be normal in the future. And whatever happens, will have been perfectly predicted by the scientists. Mojib Latif also told snow would be a thing of the past at our latitudes. But I guess he is right, no matter if it snows in April.
“Instead we actually expect drought conditions under global warming conditions, broken by heavy rain (hotter air can carry more water).”
Well that just shows that you have no idea of what a tropical climate is. No wonder as your models can’t simulate a thunderstorm or a convective front.
Tony Heller has a new related post:
The CAGW-science is a prime example of what comes out when you create “safe spaces”.
Are warmunists allowed to have shoelaces in their safespace?
Old men used to sit in the mercantile on Main Street, play checkers, and talk about the crazy weather. I know because Mom would send me uptown to fetch Gramps at supper time. I don’t know if folks play checkers anymore but talking about the crazy weather seems to be popular.
talking & playing
Too much talking these days. Not enough checkers.
Let me go beyond the interpretation of claims made in the past (about snow and Co).
Why is it bad, to just jump on every prediction of some minor cold weather in the future?
Because these sort of claims (incoming global cooling, death of alternative power) have real consequences.
Look at what is happening to coal today.
This WaPo Article is talking about the disrupting effect of the sudden death of Coal in the USA:
What happened, was also false predictions, based on false claims:
Instead of going up till 2030, coal is expecting to shrink by 25% in 2016 (in comparison to 2014!).
The same effect can be seen in ski resorts, when we talk about snow in the form of wishful thinking.
“Because these sort of claims (incoming global cooling, death of alternative power) have real consequences.
Look at what is happening to coal today.
This WaPo Article is talking about the disrupting effect of the sudden death of Coal in the USA:”
That’s not the fault of a weather prediction. This was announced by Barack Hussein Obama in 2008 and implemented by him by subsidizing uneconomic companies to destroy the economic ones.
Just like the Green-SPD-CDU front consciously and with full intent bankrupts companies like EON and RWE.
This has nothing at all to do with weather and everything with conscious market destruction by “progressive” politicians.
The remaining question is: Do they do it so they can get kickbacks and bribes or do they work for the KGB? I mean, the KGB must do SOMETHING, no?
“The remaining question is: Do they do it so they can get kickbacks and bribes or do they work for the KGB [or it’s anti-social equivalent]?” – DirkH
I would say “yes” and “yes.”
Nothing wrong with making a profit while destroying the world, eh? …of if the world is a mess, where will they spend their money? Oh, well, I guess they’ll burn that bridge when they come to it.
My idea is that once you become an effective obstacle for market forces – that always work to create maximum efficiency – and you stand in their way – you automatically create a potential difference; like a dam blocks water; and can always derive a profit/ take a cut for letting some of the potential through.
So the nature of the state, and that of the politician, is always to prevent market forces from operating. It is their MO.
Sadly, that does seem all too often to be the case.
In the meantime, the Chinese are laughing at the sods of the world, on their way to the bank:
The Combined Cycle Power Plant or combined cycle gas turbine and shale gas extraction (fracking) has had more to do with the U. S. coal industry problems than their other problems. I found it instructive to learn of the CCPP:
Overview of Combined Cycle Power Plant
Coal has many advantages (storage being a major one) but ramp rate is not one of them – has been improved, though. When coal has to back-up wind and solar that come and go rapidly (or can), then the coal plant cannot operate efficiently. Gas, nukes, or hydro can do a better job.
Coal will still be around for a long time and this, too, is instructive:
gas, debt, economy, regs – coal goes down
[…] https://notrickszone.com/2016/04/19/snow-now-a-thing-of-late-april-cold-blast-with-possible-snow-set-… […]
[…] Fonte di spunto: notrickszone […]