Northwest Europe has been awfully dry since April this year, and Germany is on track to set a new record for most days over 30°C this year. Real experts says it’s due to natural cycles.
Moreover, acute drought conditions have taken hold across parts of northern Europe and the situation threatens to significantly worsen before things improve.
Naturally the climate change ambulance chasers are coming out and pointing the finger at manmade climate change.
The online Austrian Wochenblick reported here, however that the finger pointing is misguided, and writes that the northern European heat is merely weather and not related to manmade climate change.
Not related to climate change
Klaus Haslinger, climate scientist at the Austrian Zentralanstalt für Meteorologie und Geodynamik (ZAMG), told the Wochenblick that the very dry conditions fundamentally are “nothing more than a weather phenomenon and that it has nothing to do per se with ‘manmade climate change.”
Haslinger, who specializes in regional climate analysis. modelling, hydrology and drought, explains that the dry weather is due to a blocking high positioned over Scandinavia and that acts to prevent moist Atlantic air from reaching Northern Europe. He told the Wochenblick that the situation, however, looks very different in southeastern Austria.
Southern Europe wetter than normal
While extremely dry conditions persist over northern Europe, much of southern Europe is seeing the opposite.
A couple of days ago meteorologist Joe Bastardi of WeatherBell Analytics tweeted the following charts which show that although a large part of Europe is dry, the situation was far worse across much of Europe back in 2003:
Chart: NCEP/NCAR reanalysis via Joe Bastardi, WeatherBell.
Upcoming El Nino, cold North Atlantic
Joe explains that the northern European drought is likely because of the sudden cooling in the northwest Atlantic, which leads to the development of the summer ridge.
In his most recent Saturday Summary beginning at the 14:10 mark, Joe explains more what’s behind Europe’s recent weather anomalies: natural ocean cycles – namely El Nino and a cold North Atlantic.
Central Europe summers tending wetter
And when it comes to drought and climate change, climate alarmists like to tell us that periods of extreme dryness are only going to get worse as global temperatures rise. Yet a recent long term study shows worldwide droughts have decreased over the recent decades:
Droughts worldwide easing over the past 35 years. Source: Nature.
Central Europe has trended wetter over the past 15 years
Concerning Central Europe going dry during the summer, as a number of climatologists warned in the wake of the extremely hot and dry 2003 summer, Central Europe summers have in reality gotten wetter, and not dryer.
In 2016 I wrote here that 11 of 13 the previous summers had seen either normal or above normal precipitation in Germany. Since then the years 2016 and 2017 were normal and above normal in terms of precipitation respectively. That nowmeans 13 of the past 15 years have been normal or above normal wet.
After this summer Germany will finally be able to book a dry one.
The climate “experts” have once again been shown to be totally wrong with their forecasts of scorched Central European summers.
The CAGW camp says that increased droughts are expected with increased human-driven climate change.
The CAGW camp says that increased floods are expected with increased human-driven climate change.
The mainstream media never calls them out on this.
Preposterous .
Good thing you guys exist, showing the experts how things really are. You should get into the consulting business for climate scientists and make some money with your skills.
EMPTY seb comment
TROLLING for attention
Tell us exactly how your reply contains content, spike55?
Mr. Spike just pointing out the obvious.
Mr. SebH no content in post.
Oh dear, more attention seeking from sad, lonely, EMPTY child-seb
@Spike
You correctly point out that he has nothing to say, which means you have actually said something.
By his false assertion he draws attention to and underscores the truth of your post, while saying more of the nothing for which he’s so famous.
Sad.
Check out the earth.nullschool dot net.
10:31 BST
There is a wide extent High in the Atlantic.
There are 4 small Lows from Iceland toward Svalbard.
The High over northern Europe appears disorganized.
Maybe at a different altitude that High would show better.
Joe’s 2018 map is not out of date.
Sorry, last line “not” should be “now”.
A similar blocking event caused the Moscow heat wave of 2010. We’re now back to low solar activity conditions like then, and we’re again seeing severe blocking events.
This is just as Mike Lockwood said in 2010. Either a heat wave or a cold event, depending on which side of the Rossby wave you happen to be.
I haven’t checked out the jet streams to see if this particular event is jet stream related, but the recent Californian heat wave clearly was, as were a couple of UK heatwaves. Of course unseasonal cold events tend not to get reported in the MSM for the obvious reason.
[…] Europe Drought Not Due To Climate Change Says Austria’s ZAMG […]
DNFTT
Thanks Pierre for the heads-up on the current weather and how the Austrian alarmist attempt to tie this to ‘Climate Change™’ (aka cAGW).
I find it instructive that the Japanese government has (sanely) declared their current heatwave as an act of nature! https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-44935152