By Kenneth Richard on 19. December 2022
If the error and uncertainty associated with determining the extent to which natural factors (aerosol forcing, downwelling shortwave variability) affect climate are factors of ten times larger than the presumed effects of human activity, then we cannot definitively say human activity is driving climate change. It takes 10 years and 22 ppm for CO2 forcing […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, Natural Variability |
By Kenneth Richard on 8. December 2022
Of the warming trends in Poland and greater Europe, “only about 4–5% are explained by an increase in CO2 concentration.” – Marsz et al., 2022 Internal changes to the thermal structure of the ocean transmit decadal-scale changes in the atmospheric circulation and consequent surface air temperature via its modulating impact on the variation in the […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, Cloud Climate Influence, CO2 and GHG, Solar Sciences |
By Kenneth Richard on 24. November 2022
German physicists claim to have experimentally demonstrated the greenhouse effect from greenhouse gases like CO2 and CH4 is a real phenomenon, but assess the climate sensitivity to a doubling of CO2 with feedbacks is “only ECS = 0.7°C … 5.4x lower than the mean value of CMIP6 with ECS = 3.78°C.” “The derived forcing for […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG |
By Kenneth Richard on 20. October 2022
It so difficult to constrain errors in identifying the cloud impact on Earth’s radiation budget that the orders-of-magnitude smaller radiative impact of CO2 cannot be distinguished from noise. According to a new study using CERES data, the observed biases in detecting the radiative effects of clouds on climate are 2.5 to 6.25 W/m² for longwave […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, Cloud Climate Influence |
By Kenneth Richard on 17. October 2022
“The cause of global warming is still under debate.” – Choi and Manousiouthakis, 2022 Radiative models estimating the temperature effects of increasing CO2 to 420 ppm indicate 0.64°C of the alleged 1.2°C warming since the 19th century could be explained by CO2 increases. Image Source: Choi and Manousiouthakis, 2022 A 2013 study suggested only 0.26°C […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG |
By Kenneth Richard on 25. August 2022
A late 2021 study finds water vapor and temperature changes accounted for 90% of the changes in clear-sky downwelling longwave or greenhouse effect forcing since the mid-1980s. CO2 forcing assumed a mere bit-player role. The seminal Feldman et al. (2015) study concluded it takes 10 years and a 22 ppm increase in CO2 to account […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, Cloud Climate Influence, CO2 and GHG |
By Kenneth Richard on 30. June 2022
CO2 and water vapor greenhouse effect impacts are not independent climate forcings . A new study affirms the “variance in the radiance in these channels is primarily controlled by…temperature” and “atmospheric absorption is strongly saturated in these [CO2, water vapor] channels”. It has previously been established that greenhouse gas (water vapor, CO2) forcing “cannot be […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG |
By Kenneth Richard on 23. June 2022
From about 11,000 to 9,000 years ago the summer solar irradiance absorbed by the Earth’s surface has been estimated to be 40-60 W/m² greater than today from latitudes 40°N to 70°N (Ullman et al., 2015). These values seriously undermine the claim CO2 is the driver of climate change. Image Source: Ullman et al., 2015 Despite […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, Solar Sciences |
By Kenneth Richard on 20. June 2022
Professor Herman Harde, an environmental physicist, has authored a new position paper on the follies of assuming humans significantly impact the climate. As detailed in his 2017 paper, Dr. Harde concludes the “anthropogenic contribution to the actual CO2 concentration is found to be 4.3% [a figure derived from IPCC AR5], its fraction to the CO2 […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 and GHG |
By Kenneth Richard on 6. June 2022
A new study finds the modeling-based claim that cloud cover changes are only responding to anthropogenic CO2 forcing as a feedback – and not functioning independently as a forcing – has (again) been contradicted by observations. Since this is a water planet, and since clouds are formed when water vapor turns into water droplets, it […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, Cloud Climate Influence |
By Kenneth Richard on 28. April 2022
If decadal- and century-scale glacier advance and retreat is strongly indicative of a region’s climate, glacier behavior in Iceland saps the narrative that says anthropogenic CO2 is a climate driver. Per a new study, many of the northern Icelandic glaciers in existence today had “disappeared” from about 10,000 to 6,000 years ago. At the time, […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, Glaciers, Paleo-climatology |
By Kenneth Richard on 25. April 2022
A new study published in Geophysical Research Letters highlights the abysmal model performance manifested in the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change report (AR6). The 38 CMIP6 general circulation models (GCMs) fail to adequately simulate even the most recent (1980-2021) warming patterns over 60 to 81% of the Earth’s surface. Dr. Scafetta places particular emphasis […]
Posted in Climate Sensitivity, CO2 Greens the Earth, IPCC, Models |
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