Natural Variability

Hamburg Meteorologists Find New Method For Better European Winter Forecasts...80% Certainty

Hamburg Meteorologists Find New Method For Better European Winter Forecasts…80% Certainty

People familiar with the chaos that is weather will agree that seasonal forecasts based merely on computer simulations are highly speculative and involve much guesswork. The quality of their output leaves little to be desired. As much as some of these forecasts may be presented with authoritative tones, in the end they all come with a […]

New Science: Arctic AND Antarctic Sea Ice More Extensive Today Than Nearly All Of The Last 10,000 Years

New Science: Arctic AND Antarctic Sea Ice More Extensive Today Than Nearly All Of The Last 10,000 Years

It is often claimed that modern day sea ice changes are “unprecedented”, alarming, and well outside the range of natural variability.  Yet scientists are increasingly finding that biomarker proxies used to reconstruct both Arctic and Antarctic sea ice conditions since the Early Holocene reveal that today’s sea ice changes are not only not unusual, there […]

Missed A Few, IPCC? 368 New 2018 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

Missed A Few, IPCC? 368 New 2018 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

In the first 9½ months of 2018,  368 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise serve to question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media sources. These 368 […]

In The Arctic, AMO/NAO 'Predominantly Force Ocean Temperatures' And 'Cause Major Melting Events'

In The Arctic, AMO/NAO ‘Predominantly Force Ocean Temperatures’ And ‘Cause Major Melting Events’

6 New Papers Link Arctic/North Atlantic Climate Changes To Natural Factors 1. Natural variability/NAO/AMO “predominantly force ocean temperatures” and Greenland ice sheet melt  Hahn et al., 2018 “North Atlantic Natural Variability Modulates Emergence of Widespread Greenland Melt in a Warming Climate … Using reanalysis data and a large ensemble of climate model simulations, we find that a […]

New Paper: The GCR-Cloud Link To Solar-Driven Climate Change Persists Despite The Post-2000 'Violation'

New Paper: The GCR-Cloud Link To Solar-Driven Climate Change Persists Despite The Post-2000 ‘Violation’

The strong correlation between Galactic Cosmic Rays (GCRs) and cloud formation has for decades been postulated as a primary mechanism  for solar-driven natural climate change. Concisely, “When the Sun is active fewer cosmic rays reach the Earth and, with fewer low clouds, the world warms up” (Svensmark et al., 2017).  Since about 2000, however, this […]

Climate Scientist Karl Zeller Sums Up The 'Discovery' That Pressure, Not CO2, Determines Planets' Temps

Climate Scientist Karl Zeller Sums Up The ‘Discovery’ That Pressure, Not CO2, Determines Planets’ Temps

In an interview at the Porto Climate Conference earlier this month, Dr. Karl Zeller provided a brief overview of the theory he and Dr. Ned Nikolov developed. The model uses empirical NASA data to quantify the surface temperature of “all the planets across our solar system” precisely and accurately by using two values only: (1) distance from the […]

2 New Studies Affirm Coral Bleaching Events Are Natural - More Bleaching In 1750s, 1890s Than Today

2 New Studies Affirm Coral Bleaching Events Are Natural – More Bleaching In 1750s, 1890s Than Today

Coral reef bleaching events occur after exposure to unusually warm water temperatures or excessive sunlight.  Activists claim that today’s coral bleaching events are not only unprecedented, but reefs will soon disappear.  In contrast, scientists have determined that modern-day bleaching events are not unusual or unprecedented, but only a continuation of a naturally-occurring phenomenon. A few […]

US Instrumental Records Indicate More Heat Waves Occurred In the 1930s Than Today

US Instrumental Records Indicate More Heat Waves Occurred In the 1930s Than Today

During the 1930s, when the atmospheric CO2 concentration was about 100 ppm lower than today (310 ppm vs. 410 ppm), United States heat waves were just as if not more common than recent decades. Recently there has been much ado about heat waves and the hottest-ever-recorded-temperatures making their rounds in Northern Hemisphere summer. Yet scientists […]

False Alarm: New Study Finds Global Ocean Warmed By 0.02°C From 1994-2013, With Cooling Below 3600m

False Alarm: New Study Finds Global Ocean Warmed By 0.02°C From 1994-2013, With Cooling Below 3600m

A new analysis of top-to-bottom (0-5000 m) ocean heat content changes since the mid-1990s reveals that (a) large regions of the global ocean have undergone cooling, and (b) the overall net temperature change for 1994-2013 was a modest 0.02°C.  In contrast, during the Holocene the oceans naturally warmed at a rate and magnitude several times […]

Five New Studies From Around The World Show Today’s Weather Fully Within Range Of Natural Variability!

Despite hysterical headlines from the fake media claiming the weather is weirding out due to man-made climate change, recent studies show that it’s mostly superstition and that our modern climate in fact is well within the range of natural climate variability. If one really wants to understand today’s weather and climate, it is essential to keep […]

What Scientific 'Consensus'? 254 New 2018 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

What Scientific ‘Consensus’? 254 New 2018 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

In just the first 6 months of 2018,  254 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise serve to question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media sources. These […]

What Warming?  The First Blooming Date For Trees In Beijing Occurs No Earlier Today Than A.D. 1741-1795

What Warming? The First Blooming Date For Trees In Beijing Occurs No Earlier Today Than A.D. 1741-1795

The day of the year that a plant first blooms is widely considered to be “an important natural indicator of climate change” when observed over the course of decades to centuries.  A new study (Liu et al., 2018) reveals that a flowering plant in Beijing, the Amygdalus davidiana, has not been blooming any earlier in recent decades […]

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