Climate researcher Björn Stevens, director of the Max Planck Institute (MPI) for Meteorology in Hamburg, criticizes his Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) colleagues, calling them “alarmist”
Björn Stevens is the director of the Max Planck Institute (MPI) for Meteorology in Hamburg and an expert on clouds. In the Zeit (behind paywall), Stevens expresses criticism of colleagues, primarily at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research PIK. The Oldenburger Online Zeitung has taken up the interview and quotes indirectly from it.
Among other things, these had warned of the disappearance of all clouds due to global warming. ‘That’s nonsense,’ Stevens said. The scenario is wrong, he said. ‘It’s based on a paper from our institute taken out of context and on a second paper that has numerous flaws.’
The dramatic behavior of the climate in that simulation is based on a gross simplification of clouds that has nothing to do with reality, he said. You can’t get rid of clouds that easily, said Stevens, whose research group simulates clouds in climate models and on whose expertise in cloud issues the world climate report relies heavily. Why his colleagues claimed otherwise, he said, is a question for them to answer. ‘I can only admire the way colleagues there scour the literature for the most alarmist stories.'”
But the blasphemy goes even further.
‘But the tipping points that my colleague Hans Joachim Schellnhuber and others at PIK emphasize are based on their private, much weaker definition. They reinterpret tipping points to include less abrupt or even reversible climate changes. With this new definition, they find tipping points everywhere. Then it’s permanent alarm.'”
Enviro-loonies glue themselves to a Porsche pavilion, go on climate hunger strike
People gluing themselves to surfaces in order to obstruct our daily lives: This sort of thing is happening everywhere in Germany. This phenomenon is no better illustrated than by the following Twitter thread:
According to Mr. Grimalda’s Twitter profile, he’s a sociologist, one who probably has rarely set foot outside his publicly funded academic bubble echo-chamber.
Grimalda and his followers, I suppose, must be searching for some sort of meaning in life, and so they fancy themselves as planet-saving heroes, guided by some higher wisdom the rest of us are just unable to comprehend. And by acting the way they do, they have assigned themselves positions of higher moral and intellectual authority over us. The rest of us, in their frightened eyes, know not what we are doing, and so we need to be led to safety by their great wisdom.
Of course the reality is very different. These people are not intellectual at all. In fact, their intellect is so lacking that they’ve allowed themselves to become completely brainwashed and radicalized. They’re acting like fools when you get right down to it. Good luck trying to reason with them.
Reality doesn’t mean a thing to them because they don’t live in it. A fantasy is their reality. Admittedly, it’s great entertainment – if you’re into clown shows. But sadly, these are the people who are teaching our young ones at our institutions of higher education.
Source: Australian Government, Bureau of Meteorology
La Niña continues to ravage Australia for the third year in a row, and for the third time this year – instead of the increasing drought that was predicted a few years ago – Australia is experiencing repeated flooding.
Eighteen years ago, Australia’s climate commissioner and climate activist Tim Flannery predicted that Australia’s reservoirs would not be able to be filled due to the lack of rain caused by alleged climate change (synonymous with the lack of global warming). Since then, there has been a series of floods in Australia especially in La Niña years.
A BOM analysis showed record-breaking rainfall in large parts of Australia as early as March 2021, with rainfall amounts up to 800 mm. New rainfall records were set especially in the eastern part of Australia, which turned into a partly devastating flood of the century with overflowing dams in the Sydney area. But also large parts of the “outback” in central Australia around the “Ayers Rock” received rainfall amounts far above average, which caused floods even in the desert. Special joke at the end: now “climate change” is to blame for the floods and not the failing Tim Flannery drought.
It so difficult to constrain errors in identifying the cloud impact on Earth’s radiation budget that the orders-of-magnitude smaller radiative impact of CO2 cannot be distinguished from noise.
According to a new study using CERES data, the observed biases in detecting the radiative effects of clouds on climate are 2.5 to 6.25 W/m² for longwave (LW) and shortwave (SW), respectively (Sun et al., 2022). Standard deviations in cloud radiative effects amount to 8 (LW) to 20 (SW) W/m². This variability and built-in estimation error wipes out the isolation of CO2 as a detectable factor in top of atmosphere (TOA) climate forcing.
This is because the cloud radiative effects (CRE) bias and standard deviation values are 15 to 100 times larger than the presumed cumulative surface radiative effects of CO2 forcing over a span of 10 years (0.2 W/m²).
It has long been estimated that when clouds are present they dominate as the driver of greenhouse effect forcing. Quantitatively, the greenhouse effect of clouds is larger than a 100-fold increase in the CO2 concentration (~40,000 ppm).
The shortwave radiative effect of clouds is even larger, with ranges of ±300 W/m² (Sedlar et al., 2022). These values are 3,000 times greater than the total effect of CO2 surface forcing (0.2 W/m²) over a span of 10 years (Feldman et al., 2015).
German Chancellor Olaf Scholz apparently has had enough of his coalition partner Green Party’s sabotage of the country’s electric power supply and so on Monday he decided that the three remaining nuclear power plants should keep running through the winter – against the wishes of the radical Greens, who also hate nuclear power.
Wood theft in Germany is on the rise as heating fuel prices skyrocket. Symbol photo by P. Gosselin
These three remaining plants were scheduled to be taken offline for good at the end of this year, but Scholz ordered them to stay in operation until April, 2023.
A legal basis will be established and “allow the operation of the nuclear power plants Isar 2, Neckarwestheim 2 and Emsland to continue until April 15, 2023,” Scholz said in a statement. The three plants have the capacity to reliably and cleanly power millions of households and so will be a crucial step in helping Germany avoid a blackout. Without them, Germany would be forced to generate power with natural gas, a fuel that is, however, in short supply due to the disrupted Nordstream pipeline from Russia.
Although the threat of a winter power blackout has diminished somewhat, thanks to Scholz’s announcement, natural gas prices for heating still remain excruciatingly high and this is making alternatives like firewood more attractive. Gas heating bills have become so high that the demand for firewood has risen accordingly and thus has also become extremely expensive.
Energy prices are now fueling wood theft. According to the ‘Tagesschau‘, the activities of wood thieves are reaching professional levels. But modern technology should help to prevent the theft.
‘Individual professional timber thieves have also been reported to have stolen entire truckloads in the forest,’ says the North Rhine-Westphalia State Office for Forests and Timber. However, the scarce supply should not tempt people to help themselves in the forest. Timber theft is not a trivial offense, says Gero Hütte-von Essen, head of department at Forestry and Timber North Rhine Westphalia: ‘Stealing timber from the forest without permission or cutting down trees whose wood is then taken is theft in legal terms and therefore a criminal offense. This can be punished with heavy fines, and in special cases even imprisonment.’
For this reason, Forestry and Timber North Rhine Westphalia is now using GPS tracker technology on a random basis. Used correctly, it can be used to catch timber thieves in the act, the authority hopes. If for example, a log is moved, the tracker triggers an alarm to the owner, and the route the thief takes can be tracked precisely.”
Extreme weather events, like tropical storms, are supposed to be intensifying and becoming more frequent as the world warms, the global warming alarmists like to claim as they try to spread panic and anxiety. This, they say, is robustly supported by science and so humanity is facing dire consequences unless it stops burning fossil fuels immediately.
Today let’s use the scientific data on Pacific typhoons to see if the alarmist claims are true. These data are provided by the renowned Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA). Surely typhoons must be increasing in frequency year by year since the temperature has risen over the 20th century.
First we look at the number of typhoons occurring in September, since 1951:
Lo and behold, the trend in terms of typhoon frequency in September has been upward and so the alarmists must be correct. The science is settled!
But not so fast. Firstly, if we ignore the 1950s, the above trend would be pretty much flat, if not slightly declining. Secondly, examining only one month doesn’t really tell much at all.
Trending downward
So next we look at the data that accounts for the entire January-September period for each year since 1951:
Accounting for the entire 9-month period each year, we see that the number of typhoons occurring has been trending downward for the past 7+ decades. The warming the planet has seen over this particular period has not led to more Pacific typhoon activity. To the contrary, warming seems to be putting the brakes on storm brewing in the Pacific.
That’s good news, but you’ll never hear it from the alarmist climate hoaxers. They only want you to believe their fantasies and to not look at the real, hard data.
The typhoon trend is just more “Inconvenient Truth” that the climate scamming alarmists don’t want the public to know.
“The cause of global warming is still under debate.” – Choi and Manousiouthakis, 2022
Radiative models estimating the temperature effects of increasing CO2 to 420 ppm indicate 0.64°C of the alleged 1.2°C warming since the 19th century could be explained by CO2 increases.
German talk show host Sandra Maischberger interviewed climate activist Greta Thunberg in her native Sweden. The interview aired on Wednesday.
Many climate policy critics see Greta Thunberg (19) as a puppet of interest groups who can’t possibly have any motivation of her own due to her young age and lack of education. It is noticeable, however, that she occasionally makes recommendations that can generate downright hatred, especially in Germany, among Green and Fridays for Future circles.
She was harshly criticized for this and avoided the topic for three years. Since the Greens began in the mid-1970s as scattered citizens’ initiatives against nuclear power plants – which only later also turned to various aspects of nature conservation – energy generation from nuclear fission has become considered as a high-risk technology, and not only in left-wing educated bourgeois circles.
The fact that the civilian use of nuclear power has resulted in far fewer deaths and injuries than, for example, modern traffic or conventional power generation, is often overlooked or deliberately not communicated. The factual situation therefore no longer plays a role here, but only its political usability.
Nevertheless, Thunberg has ventured forth once again with the topic of nuclear power – albeit cautiously – and compares it to coal power, which is also maligned. In words: “If they [the German nuclear plants] are already running, I think it would be a mistake to shut them down and turn to coal.”
In FfF circles, this can already be called courageous because Greta’s popularity is especially large in the rich and populous German-speaking countries where a green-loaded media landscape made Thunberg’s idol figure possible in the first place. Next to Stockholm, Berlin is her main field of activity and here she is always received effusively and with much attention.
From the point of view of the inclined EIKE reader, the above quote is of course at best pragmatic over the short-term, yet it does not show an attitude favorable to a sustainable economic and social welfare development. However, since Brussels redefined nuclear power as a “green” technology months ago, it can be assumed that increasingly parts of the FfF movement are also losing interest in the German government’s misguided energy policy. Perhaps in the near future Greta will already recommend the inherently safe new breeder and DFR reactor types, which already theoretically can no longer be called risky.
The fact that Greta got anointed as an expert without any objective reason is now being questioned from the point of view of nuclear power despisers.
Some in Berlin are trying to denigrate her view. The taz points to approval of Greta’s remark by the CDU conservatives and the FDP free democrats. In addition, lobbyists such as the brother of Eckart von Hirschhausen or Armin Simon are quoted:
“Greta Thunberg is mistaken when she implies that nuclear power plants could help in dealing with the current gas crisis.” (Simon)
“Nuclear power cannot be an instrument of climate policy”, (Hirschhausen, Scientists for Future).
Completely wrong – the more nuclear power plants are on the grid, the more electricity there is, and the cheaper the energy is, which is old familiar market logic. And if there is more electric power, less gas has to be burned to generate it, which benefits the bankruptcy-threatened metal and food industries. Hirschhausen is an economist and thus, in contrast to Greta, an expert. How can it be that the activist without a degree knows more about economics than the economics professor?
A mostly ignored problem in the hydrogen discussion is that the existing gas grids are not suitable for handling larger amounts of hydrogen. Thus, the Scientific Advisory to the German Bundestag had already dealt with the issue in the past. It came to the conclusion that “unlimited quantities of methane” could be fed into the gas networks. But concluded
For hydrogen produced by means of electrolysis, the limits are currently 1-10 percent by volume.”
Indeed, a problem generally known in materials research is that hydrogen leads to the embrittlement of metals. Many of the pipeline steels currently in use react to contact with hydrogen by significantly reducing elongation at break and becoming hydrogen brittle.”
The article is also critical of heating with hydrogen:
Using hydrogen to heat homes is, by comparison, less economical, less efficient, more resource-intensive and also has a greater environmental impact, Rosenow argues.
But the alternative is not as ‘green’ as hydrogen likes to be called. Among other things, it is pointed out that considerable technical changes would also be required in households, including the piping in the home, among other things due to embrittlement. This would also cost households an enormous amount of money.
In addition, it is abundantly inefficient to use electricity from renewable sources to electrolyze water to produce hydrogen for this purpose. ‘In the UK, heating homes with green hydrogen would use about six times more renewable electricity than heat pumps,’ David Cebon of the Hydrogen Science Coalition and professor of mechanical engineering at Cambridge University tells the BBC.
There is neither the time nor the resources to investigate further the role of hydrogen in heating homes, especially if the laws of thermodynamics are respected, he added.”
This comes just months after fellow Australian athlete Shane Warne passed away after suffering a heart attack, aged 52. Warne had urged Australians to get vaccinated in September, 2021.
Just days ago, Brighton football star Enock Mwepu was forced to suddenly retire, aged 24, due to a heart problem that officials just happened discover as being “hereditary”.
During the much-warmer-than-today Mid-Holocene, when CO2 concentrations lingered around 265 ppm, sea levels were multiple meters higher than they are now.
From about 5000 to 7000 years ago, when Earth was several degrees warmer than it is today, there was less water locked up on land as ice. Consequently, relative sea levels were much higher and land areas now well above sea level were submerged beneath the sea.
None of these paleo indicators suggest warmth, ice melt, or relative sea level are consistent with claims CO2 is a climate driver.
“In the Middle Holocene (7000 years ago), there was a rapid rise in relative sea level (RSL) to the current sea level on the Japanese coast in response to melting Antarctic ice sheets (Nakada and Lambeck, 1987; Sakaguchi, 1983; Tanabe, 2020; Tanigawa et al., 2013). The RSL during the Middle and the Late Holocene reached an estimated maximum 2 m higher than the current sea level 4000 years ago during the Holocene high stand (HHS, Yokoyama et al., 2012), and morphological observations have confirmed this at Lake Ogawara during the Middle Holocene (Hirai, 1983). At that time, Lake Ogawara was the inner bay of the Pacific Ocean; however, in the late Holocene, as sea levels fell, Lake Ogawara became brackish (Hirai, 1983).”
“The reconstructions indicate Holocene paleo-sea levels between 3.1 m and 2.5 m above present one.”
“This study presents spatiotemporal paleo-sea-level reconstructions from Abrolhos archipelago and Abrolhos Bank, and fill in a coastline gap of 500 km where no precise paleo-sea level reconstruction exists. The reconstructions are based on sedimentary, biological and geomorphological evidences. The data indicates sea-levels up to 2.9 m higher than the current one between the Mid- to Late Holocene, in agreement with the empirical sea-level envelope and with predictions of geophysical sea-level models for the Brazilian coast.”
“The new data indicate that sealevel was higher at the Late-Holocene than it is at present and that the hydrodynamic factors overlap with sea-level changes, precluding more precise paleo-sea level reconstructions. According to previous works, the Rocas Atoll presents one of the most conspicuous paleo-sea level indicators, represented by reef remains.”
When the German Greens need an energy crisis bailout, suddenly warming is welcome.
Normally the climate alarmists are convinced that a warming planet can only be bad for us, no matter where or when. They complain that the summers are too hot and we no longer get cold and snowy winters like we used to. Mild winters, they say, are a climate disaster that will doom us! The warmth is only causing trouble for everything and there’s nothing good about it. We have to cool the planet back to 1960s temperature levels, they keep suggesting.
But now that Germany’s energy supply crisis is dangerously intensifying, Federal Economics Minister Robert Habeck (Green Party) is desperately scrambling for ways to somehow get the country through the winter without the gas supply running out and millions of people freezing. One way is pleading for Germans to turn the heat in their homes way down in order not to deplete the gas supply before the cold weather ends next May. But that alone won’t be enough.
Now, ironically, Habeck is also hoping for a warmer winter to bail out the country from its energy crisis. A warm winter will mean burning less gas and help the country avoid untold misery. Alas – warming is rescue!
He said recently, in mid September:
“If everything goes well in terms of saving gas and we are lucky with the weather, then we have a chance of getting through the winter well.”
Here he of course means if the winter is warm – and not cold and snows like the winters they long to return to – we might get through it without freezing to death before spring finally arrives. Please, please, please let it be warm, Habeck and his greens are hoping now.
To deal with the looming winter energy crisis, most countries in Europe are aiming to save 15 percent. In Germany, however, the government is pushing for savings of 20 percent, and warm winters are welcome again.
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