Models

Get Ready For Insane Climate Ambulance Chasing Headlines: Global Warming Causing "Unprecedented Hurricane" Florence!

Get Ready For Insane Climate Ambulance Chasing Headlines: Global Warming Causing “Unprecedented Hurricane” Florence!

My daughter will be visiting Wilmington next week, and so Hurricane Florence has been very much on my mind. Days ago, almost all weather models showed the cyclone curving out into the North Atlantic and going nowhere, but they’ve turned out to be wrong. Bastardi saw it a week ago Already a week ago veteran […]

Media Claims Of More Heat Waves Refuted By Multiple Recent Studies, Longterm Data

No longterm trend in heatwaves in North America By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) The playbook is well-known: After a drought, heat wave or flood occurs, journalists and climate alarmists fall all over themselves in the race to issue shrill warnings that this is only the beginning and […]

RSS Suspected Of “Serious Data Doping”, German Scientists Say…”Values Fudged To Fit Models”!

Serious Climate Doping Suspicion Against RSS: Satellite Temperatures Raised One And Half Tenths Of A Degree By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (Translated/edited by P Gosselin) Temperatures can be measured from the ground and from satellites. Satellite data have two versions, UAH and RSS. The version of UAH (University of Alabama, Huntsville) makes a […]

GRACE Satellite Measurements Show Models For Water Storage Trends Have Been Useless So Far!

GRACE Satellite Measurements Show Models For Water Storage Trends Have Been Useless So Far!

A recently published paper appearing in the PNAS authored by Bridget R. Scanlon et al reveals that calculations of water storage in many river basins from commonly used global computer models differ markedly from storage estimates from GRACE satellites. Source: PNAS, Bridget R. Scanlon et al Because we increasingly rely on models to project the impacts […]

German Scientists: Chris Folland's Findings On Climate Models "Good For a Loud Laugh"..."Pulling Tricks Like Troopers"

German Scientists: Chris Folland’s Findings On Climate Models “Good For a Loud Laugh”…”Pulling Tricks Like Troopers”

Just add volcanic dust whenever climate models some cooling Original image by NASA By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated/edited by P Gosselin) The temperature of the last 100 years was also the topic of a new publication by Folland et al. 2018. The authors are very much at home in the camp […]

What Scientific 'Consensus'? 254 New 2018 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

What Scientific ‘Consensus’? 254 New 2018 Papers Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarmism

In just the first 6 months of 2018,  254 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise serve to question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media sources. These […]

6 New Papers: Climate Models Are Literally Worth ZERO - Even Water Vapor + Feedback 'Does Not Exist'

6 New Papers: Climate Models Are Literally Worth ZERO – Even Water Vapor + Feedback ‘Does Not Exist’

The abysmal track record of computer models in simulating climate trends has increasingly been highlighted in the scientific literature.  Recently published papers indicate that in some cases climate models actually get it right zero percent of the time (Luo et al., 2018; Hanna et al., 2018), or that hydrological models are off by a factor of […]

Model Uncertainties Too Great To Reliably Advise Policymakers, German Scientists Say

German scientists Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt — and new recent studies — show climate models have a long way to go before they can be used for advising policymakers. Climate sciences cannot reliably advise policymakers as long as model uncertainties cannot be reduced By Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt (German text translated […]

Top Climate Scientist: CO2 Model Assumptions “Invalid”…”Natural Climatic Variations Dominate”!

The addition of an esteemed Norwegian climate scientist to the London-based GWPF will help bring some sobriety back to a science that has all too often been immersed in alarmism. The London-based Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) recently announced Professor Ole Humlum of Norway was joining its Academic Advisory Council. This brings another persuasive voice […]

485 Scientific Papers Published In 2017 Support A Skeptical Position On Climate Alarm

‘Consensus’ Science Takes A Hit In 2017 During 2017,  485 scientific papers have been published that cast doubt on the position that anthropogenic CO2 emissions function as the climate’s fundamental control knob…or that otherwise question the efficacy of climate models or the related “consensus” positions commonly endorsed by policymakers and mainstream media. These 485 new […]

Model Failure…New Papers Show Climate Models Unreliable…At Times “Near-Zero Performance”!

At the German Die kalte Sonne site here, Dr. Sebastian Lüning and Prof. Fritz Vahrenholt present another two recent papers showing that models are failing to simulate the climate and cannot be used to make prognoses. ======================================== What are temperature prognoses really worth? Climate models fail completely in the all-important reality tests [German text translated/edited […]

New Paper: Humans Caused Central U.S. To Cool By -0.35°C Since The 1940s As Crop Yields Soared

New Paper: Humans Caused Central U.S. To Cool By -0.35°C Since The 1940s As Crop Yields Soared

Post-1940s ‘Agricultural Intensification’ Caused Deep Cooling, 400% Crop Growth In a new paper published in Geophysical Research Letters, three MIT scientists assert that the human influence on the climate of the Central United States is dominated by agricultural activity rather than greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Human activity has caused a significant long-term cooling trend (-0.35°C between […]

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