German Meteorologists Ridiculing IPCC – PIK Science: “Climate Hysterics Are Back…Coming Out Of Their Caves”

Sometimes it takes awhile for bad science to be exposed.

Often it starts with one person finding an inconsistency, digging a little deeper, and then announcing that something is rotten. That person in turn gets attacked and smeared as an outcast. But a few other, open-minded persons take a closer look and they too realize that something is indeed wrong. Before you know it, other scientists and experts in the field are joining in and chipping away, and soon the whole thing collapses.

Jung Dominik_TwitterGerman meteorologist Dominik Jung (right) wonders why climate “hysteric scientists” have come out of their cave.

This is what is happening now in climate science in Germany – lots of skeptic people are now chipping away and that process has become a run-away train.

Just a few years ago, the science was as good as settled in Germany. Yet, a few skeptical, mainly retired scientists looked into the dissent coming from America and found that the AGW hypothesis was indeed full of holes. They formed into the European Institute for Climate and Energy (EIKE) and before too long more than 60 German scientists signed an open letter rejecting man-made global warming. Eventually some small-scale media outlets, journalists and blogs joined in. They in turn were followed by skeptical major articles appearing in flagship news magazines such as Spiegel and Bild, see here, herehere, and here, for example.

In 2012 one of the fathers of the modern German environmental movement, Professor Fritz Vahrenholt, teamed up with geologist Dr. Sebastian Lüning and released a best selling skeptic book Die kalte Sonne. That book shook up the German climate establishment. The alarmists scrambled and put on a full-court press, but failed to contain the book’s spread. Now that book is appearing worldwide in English next month.

Recently, Germany’s leading meteorologists have begun taking note and have used their immense skills to analyze the climate data. They too have concluded that the science is far from convincing, see here, here, here, and here. Earlier, many simply had accepted the IPCC findings as truth, but for whatever reason they began taking a closer look just to be sure. And when they did, they too quickly realized that much was rotten with AGW science. Today that fact is so obvious that German meteorologists are now openly ridiculing the once highly respected institutes as opportunist prophets of doom scamming for public funding. The German skeptic train is now running away.

The latest prominent meteorologist to express harsh criticism is Dominik Jung, who I follow at Twitter. Here he linked to a short commentary at his wetternet site where he takes a slap at the Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK) for their recent fit of alarmism in projecting an 8-fold increase in heat waves in Germany by the year 2040 – based on failed models.

Here’s his commentary at wetternet.de:

Weather: The Climate Hysterics Are Back!

Wiesbaden (wetter.net), 16 August 2013 – Hard to believe: heat and drought in the middle of the summer – now who’d have ever expected that? Hardly a summer was dryer or nicer in the last 10 years, and already the climate experts are coming out on stage.

Drought?

After a really warm July and a very hot start in August, it had to be expected: the climate experts are again coming out of their caves and warning us of extreme heat summers that are supposedly now imminent.

At least that’s what we read last Thursday and Friday in the media. There are going to be more and more heat-waves until 2040, so claim the prognoses. Yet, we are still waiting for the German winters with no snow and ice which were prophesized in the year 2000 . Perhaps the lady and gentleman climate scientists should simply once ask the workers of the road maintenance and winter snow clearing crews?

Weird: Over the last two rather cool and unsettled summers, we heard or saw almost nothing from the climate prophets. Also during the last colder than normal winters there was silence. Perhaps it is once again time for applying for new research funding …who knows, who knows…

Dominik Jung
Meteorologist, chief editor at wetter.net

Photo credit Dominik Jung: https://twitter.com/WetterExperte

 

10 responses to “German Meteorologists Ridiculing IPCC – PIK Science: “Climate Hysterics Are Back…Coming Out Of Their Caves””

  1. mwhite

    Just wait until the PIK scientists catch up.

    http://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2013/08/15/climate-clowns-predict-cold-wet-hot-dry-summers/

    “Climate Clowns Predict Cold Wet Hot Dry Summers”

    And don’t forget cold winters are a sure sign of global warming

  2. Jimbo

    Hi Pierre, (O/T)
    I have an Arctic ice free compilation which I want you to add to (if possible) for Germany’s scientists. It would be useful for the mid-September Arctic minimum.

    Xinhua News Agency – 1 March 2008
    “If Norway’s average temperature this year equals that in 2007, the ice cap in the Arctic will all melt away, which is highly possible judging from current conditions,” Orheim said.
    [Dr. Olav Orheim - Norwegian International Polar Year Secretariat]
    __________________

    Canada.com – 16 November 2007
    “According to these models, there will be no sea ice left in the summer in the Arctic Ocean somewhere between 2010 and 2015.

    “And it’s probably going to happen even faster than that,” said Fortier,””
    [Professor Louis Fortier - Université Laval, Director ArcticNet]
    __________________

    National Geographic – 12 December 2007
    “NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally said: “At this rate, the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer by 2012, much faster than previous predictions.” ”
    [Dr. Jay Zwally - NASA]
    __________________

    BBC – 12 December 2007
    Our projection of 2013 for the removal of ice in summer is not accounting for the last two minima, in 2005 and 2007,”…….”So given that fact, you can argue that may be our projection of 2013 is already too conservative.”
    [Professor Wieslaw Maslowski]
    __________________

    Independent – 27 June 2008
    Exclusive: Scientists warn that there may be no ice at North Pole this summer
    “…..It is quite likely that the North Pole will be exposed this summer – it’s not happened before,” Professor Wadhams said.”
    [Professor Peter Wadhams - Cambridge University]
    __________________

    Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences
    Vol. 40: 625-654 – May 2012
    The Future of Arctic Sea Ice
    “…..one can project that at this rate it would take only 9 more years or until 2016 ± 3 years to reach a nearly ice-free Arctic Ocean in summer. Regardless of high uncertainty associated with such an estimate, it does provide a lower bound of the time range for projections of seasonal sea ice cover…..”
    [Professor Wieslaw Maslowski]
    __________________

    Yale Environment360 – 30 August 2012
    “If this rate of melting [in 2012] is sustained in 2013, we are staring down the barrel and looking at a summer Arctic which is potentially free of sea ice within this decade,”
    [Dr. Mark Drinkwater]
    __________________

    Guardian – 17 September 2012
    This collapse, I predicted would occur in 2015-16 at which time the summer Arctic (August to September) would become ice-free. The final collapse towards that state is now happening and will probably be complete by those dates“.
    [Professor Peter Wadhams - Cambridge University]
    __________________

    Sierra Club – March 23, 2013
    “For the record—I do not think that any sea ice will survive this summer. An event unprecedented in human history is today, this very moment, transpiring in the Arctic Ocean….”
    [Paul Beckwith - PhD student paleoclimatology and climatology - part-time professor]
    __________________

    Financial Times Magazine – 2 August 2013
    “It could even be this year or next year but not later than 2015 there won’t be any ice in the Arctic in the summer,”
    [Professor Peter Wadhams - Cambridge University]
    __________________

    A different view.

    WUWT – 22 July 2013
    “…As the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and Arctic Oscillation shift to their cool phases and solar activity wanes, natural climate cycles predict that Arctic sea ice should recover within the next 5 to 15 years. Climate models have demonstrated that Arctic sea ice can recover in just a few years after the winds change.7 Allowing for a lag effect as subsurface heat ventilates and thicker multiyear ice begins to accumulate, recovery could be swift….”
    [Dr. Jim Steele, Director emeritus Sierra Nevada Field Campus, San Francisco State University]
    __________________

    22 March 2012
    “Could Arctic Sea Ice Decline be Caused by the Arctic Oscillation?
    …In 2002, a paper was published in the Journal of Climate entitled Response of Sea Ice to the Arctic Oscillation, where the authors (one of whom, Mike Wallace, was a co-discoverer of the AO) shows that changing wind patterns associated with the AO contributed to Arctic sea ice declines from one decade to the next: from 1979-1988 to 1989-1998….”
    [Dr. Roy Spencer]
    __________________

    “Climate mechanisms in the Northern Hemisphere and the Arctic are very active research topics, and our understanding of their causes and effects is far from complete. The importance of this wide-ranging research activity is very well stated by Dr. Nate Mantua, a researcher at the University of Washington, as he speaks about the PDO: “Even in the absence of a theoretical understanding, PDO climate information improves season-to-season and year-to-year climate forecasts for North America because of its strong tendency for multi-season and multi-year persistence. From a societal impacts perspective, recognition of PDO is important because it shows that ‘normal’ climate conditions can vary over time periods comparable to the length of a human’s lifetime.””
    NOAA

  3. Layne

    Very interesting Pierre, and encouraging. I always stop by for some positive news. Really like your site.

  4. Diana O. Gaines

    This is the issue being looked at by the UK Parliament’s Science and Technology Select Committee. Here is a link to a video of the Committee taking evidence from a group of concerned “experts” in engaging with the media. I must warn you that the session is about an hour long and not exactly riveting stuff, but if you have the dogged determination to view it, then like me, you may find it a kind of surreal experience. None of the speakers or the MP’s gave any hint that they might be sceptical of any aspect of the climate debate, even though at least one does have some. What was discussed was what was “going wrong” with the way climate science is being reported and how can we make sure that people have a “better” understanding. The problem for these politicians is that most of them seem to have been brain-washed and are unable to take a step back and look objectively at the issue. They need to engage with the sceptics and only then would they learn that what is wrong with their “message” is that it is inaccurate and out of date.

    1. DirkH

      Your politicians are members of Globe International, and in the UK many also of the Fabian Society.
      They know very well that CO2AGW is a means to an end; destabilization of the nation states, redistribution of money to non Western countries, until the UN remains as the only strong force.
      (I don’t think they will manage to make the UN dominant; but they succeed in destroying the nation states. They are better at bringing something that worked down than in creating something new that works. A combination of Evil and Stupid.)

  5. Weekly Climate and Energy News Roundup | Watts Up With That?
  6. Brian H

    Diana;
    Your comment contains no links.

  7. Germans | Greenhouse Bullcrap

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