Natural Cycles In A Random World Are Unmistakable...Future Holds Nothing To Fear

Natural Cycles In A Random World Are Unmistakable…Future Holds Nothing To Fear

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Share this…FacebookTwitterBy Ed Caryl Recently, Roy Spencer posted a graph that appeared to be a data record of some kind for the last 100 years. Then he revealed that it was generated in Excel with a simple random number function. The graph showed details that resembled things like El Niño’s and La Niña’s, pauses, and […]

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AMO And PDO Directly Affect The Weather, CO2 Does Not

AMO And PDO Directly Affect The Weather, CO2 Does Not

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Share this…FacebookTwitterThe Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is defined as the variability of the North Atlantic sea surface temperature compared to the rest of the global ocean from 60°N to 60°S once trends are removed. The AMO high is usually seen off eastern Canada and north and east of Iceland. The AMO low has the pattern […]

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What Caused the Global Warming Pause or Why Hate the Hiatus?

What Caused the Global Warming Pause or Why Hate the Hiatus?

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Share this…FacebookTwitterDepending on which global temperature data one looks at, temperatures have not increased in the last 18 or so years. The reasons proposed have been various, ranging from natural cycles to increased aerosols, to heat escaping to space or the deep ocean. Perhaps there are some other reasons that have not been considered. The […]

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CO2 Emissions And Ocean Flux: Long-Term CO2 Increase Due To Emissions, Not Ocean Temperature

CO2 Emissions And Ocean Flux: Long-Term CO2 Increase Due To Emissions, Not Ocean Temperature

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Share this…FacebookTwitterIf you take the annual CO2 atmospheric content, and differentiate it, that is calculate the year-to-year change, then you get a plot that looks a lot like the ocean temperature. This has led many people to think that the ocean is the source of the additional CO2. This is not the case. The additional […]

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CO2 Emissions Have Been Flat For Four Years. What Does This Mean For The Future?

CO2 Emissions Have Been Flat For Four Years. What Does This Mean For The Future?

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Share this…FacebookTwitterThe CO2 concentration in the atmosphere has been steadily increasing since regular measurements began at the Mauna Loa Observatory. This increase is partially driven by fossil fuel use but the year to year rate of increase is driven by ocean temperature. This was discussed in October 2012 here. The International Energy Agency (IEA) tracks […]

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The Sun And Ocean Cycles Drive Global Temperature...Natural Factors Bringing Cooling For Next 30 Years

The Sun And Ocean Cycles Drive Global Temperature…Natural Factors Bringing Cooling For Next 30 Years

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Share this…FacebookTwitterIt has been clear for a long time to those who simply observe climate that temperatures are driven by, in the long term, orbital and Earth tilt cycles, the Milanković cycles, in the medium term by solar cycles with ocean cycles. like the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation (AMO), and in the short term, by ocean […]

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Urban Warming - There is More To It Than Just A Heat Island

Urban Warming – There is More To It Than Just A Heat Island

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Share this…FacebookTwitterThe descriptions of urban warming dwell on the heating of the air by the local infrastructure. There is more to it than simple conduction to the air mass from warmed surfaces. In the far infrared, where the peak radiation wavelength is determined by the temperature, much of the energy from warmed surfaces is absorbed by […]

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Is 2014 The Warmest Year?

Is 2014 The Warmest Year?

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Share this…FacebookTwitterAccording to the news (the Associated Press, Seth Borenstein) 2014 is the hottest year on record. His numbers come from NOAA and NASA, so of course they are correct (sarc off). And of course the record Seth is quoting only goes back to the last half of the Nineteenth Century, so that leaves out […]

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Sea Level Goes The Way The Wind Blows...Wind, Pressure Play Major Roles

Sea Level Goes The Way The Wind Blows…Wind, Pressure Play Major Roles

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Share this…FacebookTwitterThis is one of those posts about things noticed, remembered, and linked while surfing the web. It is well known that the local sea level is heavily influenced by wind speed and direction as well as barometric pressure. Most people are aware of storm surges associated with hurricanes, for example. The same thing happens […]

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