Unprecedented? Central England Warming Of 1692 - 1737 Twice As Fast As Late 20th Century Warming!

Unprecedented? Central England Warming Of 1692 – 1737 Twice As Fast As Late 20th Century Warming!

By Ed Caryl The Warmunists are fond of stating that the warming in the late twentieth century was unusual and unprecedented, and could only have been caused by rising CO2. They refuse to recognize that the early twentieth century warming was just as rapid. Of course that statement is also based on the lack of […]

Analysis Indicates The Real Cause of Recent Warming Is Not CO2

Analysis Indicates The Real Cause of Recent Warming Is Not CO2

By Ed Caryl I would like to thank a faithful warmist commenter for inspiring this research. His claim for my mental state seen here, in The 85-year Pause, forced me to “put up, or shut up” on the subject of warming seasonality and the reasons for it. To that end, I added many more stations […]

The 85-Year "Pause"

The 85-Year “Pause”

By Ed Caryl Yes, you read that right. There has been NO warming in 85 years. There are many surface land stations with records going back more than 100 years. Some records exist back to 1880 and earlier. GISS cuts the records off at 1880. There are many gaps in these records before 1930, and […]

NASA "Homogenization" Infusing MORE Error? Adelaide Airport: Cooling Turns Into Warming

NASA “Homogenization” Infusing MORE Error? Adelaide Airport: Cooling Turns Into Warming

By Ed Caryl There have been several reports of temperature data fudging by the authorities, the most recent by Paul Homewood on several stations in Paraguay. While exploring long temperature records in Australia, I discovered a particularly egregious example of temperature changing at Adelaide Airport. GISS now offers easy access to their several sets of […]

GISS Temperature Data Website Changes (For The Better!)

By Ed Caryl Yesterday, I resumed some temperature analysis I had been doing and found an amazing improvement in the GISS website for station data. Instead of the tiny map with no station locations marked on it, I found a nice rotatable and zoomable globe with dots marking the station locations. There is also now […]

Social Benefit Of Carbon Is Ten To A Hundred Times The Estimated Social Cost

Social Benefit Of Carbon Is Ten To A Hundred Times The Estimated Social Cost

By Ed Caryl We see many articles and posts about the Social Cost of Carbon (SCC) as an excuse for carbon taxes, but nothing about the Social Benefits of Carbon (SBC). The very reason civilization is consuming fossil fuels and producing carbon dioxide is ignored. Carbon-based fuels drive civilization and have done so since man’s […]

South Polar Ice Age: Stations Show "Dramatic" Antarctic Peninsula Cooling Since 1998, Sea Ice Surge

South Polar Ice Age: Stations Show “Dramatic” Antarctic Peninsula Cooling Since 1998, Sea Ice Surge

[Sticky post…new articles follow after this one.] ===================================== By Ed Caryl This is a follow-up to the article AWI’s Sloppy Antarctic Peninsula Science…Overlooked GISS Temperature Data, Snowfall Amounts. The reality is that the situation at the South Pole is worrisome. Ocean around Antarctica markedly colder since 2006… It is difficult to believe that global warming/climate […]

Are Glacier Earthquakes Shaking Greenland? Scientists, WaPo Seeing Only What They Want To See

Are Glacier Earthquakes Shaking Greenland? Scientists, WaPo Seeing Only What They Want To See

By Ed Caryl The Washington Post just published an alarmist article titled: Giant earthquakes are shaking Greenland — and scientists just figured out the disturbing reason why. The article claimed that earthquakes were caused by icebergs calving off the Helheim Glacier, and that these were increasing because of increased outflow from this glacier. Here is […]

Greenland Temperatures Weaken Theory CO2 Drives Climate

Greenland Temperatures Weaken Theory CO2 Drives Climate

By Ed Caryl In my last article, we discussed the Greenland ice core temperature record. In this article we will discuss the Greenland thermometer record. All the long record thermometer readings are from villages and stations on the coast. Some of these records go back to the early 1800’s, though GISTemp only posts records going […]

Analysis Shows Current Warming Is NOT Unprecedented ...It Is Not Even "Unusual"!

Analysis Shows Current Warming Is NOT Unprecedented …It Is Not Even “Unusual”!

UPDATE: New paper: http://hockeyschtick.blogspot.de/2015/06/new-paper-shows-n-greenland-was-warmer.html ===================================== By Ed Caryl The climate calamity crowd claims that the warming we experienced in the Twentieth Century is unprecedented… it has never happened before in human history. Because we didn’t have thermometers until about 300 years ago, and even then records exist from just a few locations, it is difficult […]

Surprise! Orbiting Carbon Observatory Shows Models Have Little Resemblance To Reality

Surprise! Orbiting Carbon Observatory Shows Models Have Little Resemblance To Reality

By Ed Caryl On 1 July 2014, NASA launched OCO-2, the second attempt at orbiting a global carbon dioxide observatory. In December, the first global map was released. Compare this map with a frame from a previously released video showing a model of what the CO2 distribution was thought to be for roughly the same […]

Analysis: Coinciding Maxima Of Three Natural Cycles Ends...Cooling Ahead As They Turn Negative!

Analysis: Coinciding Maxima Of Three Natural Cycles Ends…Cooling Ahead As They Turn Negative!

Additional Thoughts On Natural Cycles  By Ed Caryl In Natural Cycles In A Random World Are Unmistakable…Future Holds Nothing To Fear, we showed plots of simulated temperature generated in Excel using the sum of three cycles and a random number generator. Some commenters realized that if you averaged many runs, like the professional climate “scientists” […]

Natural Cycles In A Random World Are Unmistakable...Future Holds Nothing To Fear

Natural Cycles In A Random World Are Unmistakable…Future Holds Nothing To Fear

By Ed Caryl Recently, Roy Spencer posted a graph that appeared to be a data record of some kind for the last 100 years. Then he revealed that it was generated in Excel with a simple random number function. The graph showed details that resembled things like El Niño’s and La Niña’s, pauses, and sudden […]

AMO And PDO Directly Affect The Weather, CO2 Does Not

AMO And PDO Directly Affect The Weather, CO2 Does Not

The Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) is defined as the variability of the North Atlantic sea surface temperature compared to the rest of the global ocean from 60°N to 60°S once trends are removed. The AMO high is usually seen off eastern Canada and north and east of Iceland. The AMO low has the pattern reversed. […]

What Caused the Global Warming Pause or Why Hate the Hiatus?

What Caused the Global Warming Pause or Why Hate the Hiatus?

Depending on which global temperature data one looks at, temperatures have not increased in the last 18 or so years. The reasons proposed have been various, ranging from natural cycles to increased aerosols, to heat escaping to space or the deep ocean. Perhaps there are some other reasons that have not been considered. The following […]

CO2 Emissions And Ocean Flux: Long-Term CO2 Increase Due To Emissions, Not Ocean Temperature

CO2 Emissions And Ocean Flux: Long-Term CO2 Increase Due To Emissions, Not Ocean Temperature

If you take the annual CO2 atmospheric content, and differentiate it, that is calculate the year-to-year change, then you get a plot that looks a lot like the ocean temperature. This has led many people to think that the ocean is the source of the additional CO2. This is not the case. The additional CO2 […]

CO2 Emissions Have Been Flat For Four Years. What Does This Mean For The Future?

CO2 Emissions Have Been Flat For Four Years. What Does This Mean For The Future?

The CO2 concentration in the atmosphere has been steadily increasing since regular measurements began at the Mauna Loa Observatory. This increase is partially driven by fossil fuel use but the year to year rate of increase is driven by ocean temperature. This was discussed in October 2012 here. The International Energy Agency (IEA) tracks fossil […]

The Sun And Ocean Cycles Drive Global Temperature...Natural Factors Bringing Cooling For Next 30 Years

The Sun And Ocean Cycles Drive Global Temperature…Natural Factors Bringing Cooling For Next 30 Years

It has been clear for a long time to those who simply observe climate that temperatures are driven by, in the long term, orbital and Earth tilt cycles, the Milanković cycles, in the medium term by solar cycles with ocean cycles. like the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation (AMO), and in the short term, by ocean and […]

Urban Warming - There is More To It Than Just A Heat Island

Urban Warming – There is More To It Than Just A Heat Island

The descriptions of urban warming dwell on the heating of the air by the local infrastructure. There is more to it than simple conduction to the air mass from warmed surfaces. In the far infrared, where the peak radiation wavelength is determined by the temperature, much of the energy from warmed surfaces is absorbed by the […]

Is 2014 The Warmest Year?

Is 2014 The Warmest Year?

According to the news (the Associated Press, Seth Borenstein) 2014 is the hottest year on record. His numbers come from NOAA and NASA, so of course they are correct (sarc off). And of course the record Seth is quoting only goes back to the last half of the Nineteenth Century, so that leaves out the […]